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03.07.14- 8 Real World Events That Prove Your Money Isn't Safe In Europe (Or Anywhere)
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03.06.14- Putin Targets America's Achilles Heel: "He's Going to Destroy the Stock Markets"
We know the U.S. economy is literally on the brink of a collapse. All we need now is a triggering mechanism. Read More |
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03.05.14- Economist John Williams: Financial Collapse if Russia Sells U.S. Dollar Holdings
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03.04.14- When We Are In A Depression
In order to understand whether we are or aren’t in an economic depression, we need a definition of the phenomenon that we can compare to our current conditions. Wikipedia defines “depression” as follows:
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03.03.14- The Beginning of the End: It Really Is Time To Assess Where You Are on Your Preparedness Journey.
The global financial system is almost at the point of imploding with more and more countries watching their economy nose dive, the downward spiral of depression casting a shadow over hundreds of millions of lives across the world. Emerging diseases and mutations of common viruses threaten our existence on a daily basis. The Sun is producing flares that could knock us back to the stone age by wiping out the electrical grid. It’s just good fortune that the angles have been wrong so far. Read More |
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03.01.14- Gold And Silver – All Eyes On Gold And China When Silver Could Be The Tipping Point.
Fundamentals for gold and silver have become the incense of reality for Westerners. The primary focus is on how many tonnes of gold China has been importing for the past many years, the depletion of available stocks from the central bankers straw men, aka the LMBA and COMEX, the number of coins sold by various governments to the public, [a relative drop in the bucket, but its reporting has a sensation factor], etc, etc. Read More |
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02.28.14- 3 Reasons to Be Bullish on 3-D Printing in 2014
50,000 years ago, you made a knife by banging rock on flint, chipping away at the thing until it was the right shape, good, and sharp. That’s “subtractive manufacturing”, and it’s how we’ve been making things for most of history. Over the past 30 years, however, engineers and technologists have taken a different approach: …one initiative… aims to put 3-D printers in each of America’s roughly 100,000 public schools. Start with the smallest ingredients, add successive layers, until… viola! You get a whole object. Read More |
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02.26.14- Markets Climbing a Wall of Worry – or Manipulation?
This is so exciting. The stock market keeps going up. The economy must really be doing well even if most people aren't aware of it. It's like a secret economy or something ... What can we say about a stock market like this? We do understand why the market keeps moving up, though most people probably don't. Read More |
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02.25.14- A World of Manipulated Markets
"There are no markets anymore, just interventions." Once upon a time, a handful of countries sometimes described as "capitalist" claimed to operate on the principal that consenting adults should be free to buy, sell, build and consume what they wanted, with little interference or guidance from the authorities. The idea, derived from Adam Smith's 1776 classic Wealth of Nations, was that all of these self-interested actions would in the aggregate form an "invisible hand" capable of guiding society towards the greatest good for the greatest number of people. Coincidentally, the political framework for such a society was envisioned the same year on the other side of the Atlantic, when Thomas Jefferson penned in the American Declaration of Independence that in addition to life and liberty, there was a third inalienable right for every individual – the pursuit of happiness. The resulting "market-based" societies were messy but brilliant, producing more progress in two centuries than in the previous 50. Read More |
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02.24.14- An Unhealthy Obsession With All-Time Highs
As we head into today's trading session, the S&P 500 Index is just 0.26% below its all-time highs. After fighting back from a January swoon, stocks are on track to potentially break free once again this week… "Not that that's anything new," we're reminded by my trading buddy, Jonas Elmerraji. "Since 1982, almost half of the S&P 500′s closes have been within 5% of all-time highs. That's a staggering statistic, especially considering the fact that it includes some major market corrections along the way." Read More |
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02.22.14- China Starts To Make A Power Move Against The U.S. Dollar
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02.21.14- Elite Free Trade: Smell the Panic
Dominant Social Theme: Free trade is the best and this fellow Barack ought to get with the program. Free-Market Analysis: The power elite does not take kindly to political interference with one of its most sacred causes – so-called free trade. Read More |
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02.20.14- We Are Well Past the Eleventh Hour. The Global Currency Reset Looms!
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02.19.14- IMF report: 'Debt is good'. What are these people smoking?
Time travel is an almost universal fantasy. And if I could snap my fingers and turn the pages of time, I’d be seriously curious to check out the thousand-year period between the decline of the Western Roman Empire and the rise of the Renaissance. They used to refer to this period as ‘the Dark Ages’ (though historians have since given up that moniker), a time when the entire European continent was practically at an intellectual standstill. Read More |
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02.18.14- Europe May Be in the Calm Before the Storm
Yet, in today's protected and regulated banking industry, the "bust" phase of the cycle is delayed and distorted by the wide-ranging interventionism of regulators, central banks, and governments. The ongoing crisis in the European banking sector is evidence of this. Its problems of insolvency are unresolved. The ECB is at the center of interventionist efforts to stall and mitigate a European banking sector collapse that looks increasingly likely within the next 18 months.[1] Read More |
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02.17.14- The global debt reckoning – Total global debt at $230 trillion
Total global debt crossed a troubling event horizon by going past the $200 trillion mark last year. Given the latest figures we are likely well above a total global debt of $230 trillion based on a comprehensive study done by ING last year. The banking sector rummages for every possible way of accessing debt. Global central banks from the Fed to the ECB to the Bank of Japan are now fully engaged in a digital printing end game. Read More |
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02.15.14- Marijuana: How We Will Seize
Most recently, as was reported yesterday, the US Justice Department announced that banks and other financial entities could participate in the burgeoning marijuana industry without fear of penalty. This is a huge step forward, but one I expected because it is obvious a decision has been made at the highest levels that marijuana is to be legalized much like tobacco and alcohol. I've initiated immediate moves to take advantage of this incredible business opportunity – for our shareholders and our family of readers, many of whom have been with us for nearly five years. I hope you come along with us. Read More |
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02.14.14- The Vampire Squid Strikes Again: The Mega Banks' Most Devious Scam Yet
Call it the loophole that destroyed the world. It's 1999, the tail end of the Clinton years. While the rest of America obsesses over Monica Lewinsky, Columbine and Mark McGwire's biceps, Congress is feverishly crafting what could yet prove to be one of the most transformative laws in the history of our economy – a law that would make possible a broader concentration of financial and industrial power than we've seen in more than a century. Read More |
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02.13.14- Currency Wars author Jim Rickards reckons QE tapering will pause after March due to stock market event
‘My expectation is there will be one more round of taper in the March meeting of the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] where they will probably taper another $10 billion,’ he told Epoch Times. ‘But by June it will become very apparent that the economy is stalling out, the stock market is going down. They risk a stock market collapse. I think they will stop by pausing the taper. Read More |
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02.12.14- The Great Inflation of 2014
By the end of the year we are going to have a massive inflationary spike in commodity prices that will collapse the global economy. It's all going to start with a final manic melt up phase in the stock market over the next 3-4 months. Make no mistake, this bull market will not be over until the NASDAQ tests it's all time high above 5000. Read More |
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02.11.14- 100% Fake Recovery
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02.10.14- A Bear Rally to Warm Wall Street's Black Heart
It didn't help that the neutron bomb called Obamacare continued to emit deadly toxins, threatening to consume what remains of middle-class households' meager after-tax savings. Read More |
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02.10.14- We Owe It To Ourselves? 
I promised I would write a piece that explains why the “we owe it to ourselves” explanation of our national debt is pure hogwash. The thought process is that since “we owe it to ourselves” who cares how much total debt we have because it just doesn’t matter. If we defaulted, we would only be defaulting on ourselves so no harm no foul. This fallacy can be taken apart from several different angles so let’s explore a few of them. From one angle, let’s look at this from a balance sheet perspective. If we “owe” something but that “something” is also an asset then they just cancel each other out right? Well yes, sort of but you also must look at this from a “quality” standpoint. If we owe “too much” and the debt becomes unpayable from a practical or mathematical standpoint then just how “good” is the asset (Treasury bond) that we claim on our balance sheet? One must also remember that for the debt markets to actually function correctly they must also be funded by foreigners. Read More |
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02.08.14- Surmounting Hostile Incoming
"The financial crash of 2008, the same crash which has been ongoing for years, is NOT an accident. It is a concerted and engineered crisis meant to position the U.S. for currency disintegration and the institution of a global basket currency controlled by an unaccountable supranational governing body like the International Monetary Fund (IMF. The American populace is being conditioned through economic fear to accept the institutionalization of global financial control and the loss of sovereignty…. Read More |
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02.07.14- The Rockefellers, The Rothschilds and many other giant Dynasties…
These financial industry giants lived through all the wealth cycles of the past 100 years and more. What used to be long term wealth investments evolved to the day-trading, making money activities, with a top in the year 2000. Then the financial industry morphed rapidly into the absurd High Frequency Trading. All wealth is now a spooky derivative of what it once was. Debt rules! The US was the biggest gold reserve holder in the entire world, with 28,000 metric tons of gold in its vaults (60% of the world's total gold reserves). Most, if not all, of that gold disappeared from the UST, whilst the financial industry and the debt driven economy, expanded. First there was the London Gold Pool selling central bank gold reserves, then in 1974 Louise Auchincloss Boyer discovered that N. Rockefeller was selling UST Fort Knox gold. Three days later she fell out of her window (July 3, 1974). Read More |
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02.06.14- None Are So Blind As Those Who Refuse To See 
Reserved for only people who are willing to think for themselves. As you know, I am the ultimate contrarian. I take nothing at face value especially government announcements and put everything under the microscope of common sense, free market capitalist economics. Instead of beating my own drum, my regular readers already know how right I have been over the years. For those of you who don't know, you can check my past letters in the archives of gold-eagle.com and 24hgold.com and other websites in the similar vein. In light of what has recently come to pass, I have decided to extend the 2 for 1 special subscription rate of $249 for two years until February 15th. Read More |
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02.05.14- Oh Great, Here We Go Again... 
A little over two decades ago, something seemingly crazy started in Las Vegas... Archie Karas decided to drive from Los Angeles to Las Vegas with only $50 in his pocket. In six months, Karas' $50 became $17 million. In three years, he'd won more than $40 million. He beat some of the world's best poker players and pulled in over a million playing pool at $40,000 a game. He hauled around millions of dollars' worth of cash and chips in his car, bought a gun, and had to have casino security guards escort him around town. Read More |
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02.04.14- What Is Supply-Side Economics? 
Supply-side economics is an innovation in macroeconomic theory and policy. It rose to prominence in congressional policy discussions in the late 1970s in response to worsening Phillips Curve trade-offs between inflation and unemployment. The postwar Keynesian demand management policy had broken down. The attempts to stimulate employment brought higher rates of inflation, and attempts to curtail inflation resulted in higher rates of unemployment. In other words, the Phillips curve (named after economist A. W. Phillips) trade-offs between inflation and unemployment were worsening. Each additional job created had to be paid for with a higher rate of inflation, and each reduction in inflation had to be paid for with a higher rate of unemployment. Read More |
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02.03.14- We Owe It To Ourselves?
I promised I would write a piece that explains why the “we owe it to ourselves” explanation of our national debt is pure hogwash. The thought process is that since “we owe it to ourselves” who cares how much total debt we have because it just doesn’t matter. If we defaulted, we would only be defaulting on ourselves so no harm no foul. This fallacy can be taken apart from several different angles so let’s explore a few of them. From one angle, let’s look at this from a balance sheet perspective. If we “owe” something but that “something” is also an asset then they just cancel each other out right? Well yes, sort of but you also must look at this from a “quality” standpoint. If we owe “too much” and the debt becomes unpayable from a practical or mathematical standpoint then just how “good” is the asset (Treasury bond) that we claim on our balance sheet? One must also remember that for the debt markets to actually function correctly they must also be funded by foreigners. Read More |
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02.01.14- The Triffin Dilemma 
There is a fundamental incompatibility between the attainment of global economic stability and having a single national currency perform the role of the world’s reserve currency. This is hardly a new revelation. But events of the past few months have brought this topic back into the spotlight. Belgian born American economist Robert Triffin first highlighted this incompatibility in the 1960s. He observed that having the US dollar perform the role of the world’s reserve currency created fundamental conflicts of interest between domestic and international economic objectives. Read More |
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01.31.14- Critical Forecast Signals 
Sinclair's claim is correct, but the Markets' recent Negative Reaction to Argentina's Devaluation and Turkey's Massive Rate Increase provides us one Superb Forecasting Signal. Indeed, so far in 2014 the Markets have provided us with several Superb Forecast Signals in Key Sectors.
John Templeton's wise observation is Relevant given the Markets' Euphoria on January 30, and that Euphoria provide yet another "Signal". Read More |
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01.30.14- The Emerging Market Collapse Through The Eyes Of Don Corleone
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01.29.14- Prepare for Currency Chaos 
On November the 25th I published the following warning about the effects from the Fed's imminent tapering of asset purchases: "There is a good chance that the beginning of tapering will lead to a reversal of the trade to sell gold ahead of the news. But the major averages have priced in a sustainable recovery on the other side of QE, which will not come to fruition. For the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ the end of QE will be especially painful. A unilateral removal of stimulus on the part of the Fed will send the dollar soaring [especially against emerging market currencies] and risk assets plunging -- you could throw in emerging market equities and any other interest rate sensitive investment on planet earth." Read More |
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01.28.14- Before the Great Consolidation 
Hegelian Economics and Sovereign Defaults In philosophy there is a term called the Hegelian Dialectic. For those of you who don’t know, it is the resolution of conflict between two opposing positions by way of the revelation of a higher truth which serves to unite all. There is a thesis, which is in contradiction to the antithesis, and both are united by the synthesis. These are the triads of the Hegelian Dialectic. This philosophical principle has been widely used in our modern world as a form of manipulation. In simpler terms, thesis becomes the problem, antithesis becomes the reaction to the problem, and synthesis becomes the solution, or reconciliation of the first two. Read More |
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01.27.14- The Next System
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01.25.14- The Coming Bust 
Regardless of what we hear from various sources, fact is, the economy peaked in 2000. This peak corresponded with the stock market top in 2000, which was followed by the decline into the 2002 low. Since that decline began, the money masters have tried to reignite the underlying economy and in the process they have only made matters worse. Seriously, rather than letting the mainstream media tell you what to think, stop and think for a minute with some basic emotionless common sense. If the economy was so good, then why did the money masters cut interest rates following the 2000 top? It's simple, in their own words, they were trying to "stimulate aggregate demand." Read More |
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01.24.14- Thoughts from the Frontline: Forecast 2014: "Mark Twain!" 
Piloting on the Mississippi River was not work to me; it was play — delightful play, vigorous play, adventurous play – and I loved it… – Mark TwainIn the 1850s, flat-bottom paddlewheel steamboats coursed up and down the mighty Mississippi, opening up the Midwest to trade and travel. But it was treacherous travel. The current was constantly shifting the sandbars underneath the placid, smoothly rolling surface of the river. What was sufficient depth one week on a stretch of the river might become a treacherous sandbar the next, upon which a steamboat could run aground, perhaps even breaching the hull and sinking the ship. To prevent such a catastrophe, a crewman would throw a long rope with a lead weight at the end as far in front of the boat as possible (and thus the crewman was called the leadman). The rope was usually twenty-five fathoms long and was marked at increments of two, three, five, seven, ten, fifteen, seventeen and twenty fathoms. A fathom was originally the distance between a man's outstretched hands, but since this could be quite imprecise, it evolved to be six feet. Read More |
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01.23.14- The Outlook for 2014 
Before looking at the year ahead, it is useful to look back at the year just passed. This adage is particularly true now because little has changed. Three major markets – stocks, bonds and gold – will again be driven this year by the same forces that shaped 2013, but the outcome will be different in one key respect. This year the price of gold will rise. In January 2013, my outlook for the year ahead focused on three specific events. These were a rising yield on the 10-year Treasury note, growth of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, and a decline in the gold/silver ratio. Two of these events unfolded as expected. But the third did not confirm the other two. Read More |
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01.22.14- The Russo-Chinese Pincer Movement Against The US Treasury 
The Federal Reserve Bank is privately owned by member banks. If those member banks have either sold out to China or are bought for pennies on the dollar by them when the dollar crashes, then Beijing will own the American Federal Reserve Bank. Though at that point we could no longer call it American. China has bought 60% of all the real estate in the Financial District of South Manhattan. This includes the J P Morgan Chase headquarters building at one Chase Plaza which has the largest private bold bullion vault in the world. It is next door to the New York Federal Reserve vault. When Dr Jim Willie saw the price the Chinese paid for the building, he wondered if that was a typo. After he confirmed the price, he began speculating that J P Morgan might have lost a bundle and avoided bankruptcy by selling out to Beijing at a discounted price. He then began wondering whether or not the Chinese were taking over the Federal Reserve. Read More |
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01.21.14- The Big Reset: Why China Bought JPMorgan's Gold Vault 
The office building of JPMorgan with its largest private gold vaults at Chase Manhattan Plaza, opposite to the New York Federal Reserve building, has been recently sold to the Chinese. We have now arrived at the point where it is not the banks, but the countries themselves that are getting in serious financial trouble. The idea that we can 'grow our way back' out of debt is naive. The current solution to 'park' debts on to the balance sheets of central banks is just an interim solution. Read More |
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01.20.14- You Don't Need to Trust Russian Stocks 
'You can't trust the Russians,' was the warning. It came from a Moscow cab driver, delivered to our son Henry. From our point of view, it was an unnecessary caution. We never trusted them anyway. Or the Chinese. Or the Democrats. Or wealth managers. Or General Petraeus. Or people from north of Baltimore or west of Hagerstown. But what the heck? You need confidence to buy Amazon. Or Google. Or Chipotle. You need confidence to buy a US T-bond, too. Or to let a contractor remodel your house on time and materials. But Russian stocks are so cheap you don't need to trust them. Read More |
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01.18.14- Is China's economy headed for a crash? 
George Soros sees China as the biggest risk to global growth going into 2014 In his assessment of the global economy's performance 2013, legendary financier George Soros warned of dangers in the Chinese economy: The major uncertainty facing the world today is not the euro but the future direction of China. The growth model responsible for its rapid rise has run out of steam. That model depended on financial repression of the household sector, in order to drive the growth of exports and investments. As a result, the household sector has now shrunk to 35 percent of GDP, and its forced savings are no longer sufficient to finance the current growth model. This has led to an exponential rise in the use of various forms of debt financing. Read More |
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01.17.14- This Credit Event Could Crush the US Stock Market 
Now our nerves are settled. We can sleep at night. There's nothing more to worry about. Christine Lagarde, head of the IMF, has reassured us. Madame Lagarde tells us that further scaling back of QE won't mean a thing, as long as the Fed goes about its tapering in a gradual, measured way, which of course it will. 'We don't anticipate massive, heavy and serious consequences,' she said. But wait... Read More |
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01.16.14- Why We Can Not Purchase Our Way Out Of Debt 
Last week, there was a discussion in our comments section about the financial “crunch”, the big kahuna, and how it still has not happened despite our insisting it is inevitable, with people saying things like: ‘but the stock markets are way up!’, and ‘in my area home prices are up 30%’. As much as I understand the sentiments, at the same time I don’t really. Certainly for people who read The Automatic Earth, I would have thought it would be clearer what is going on “out there”. I have certainly written more articles than I care to remember about what goes on. Debt is what goes on. Because in order to understand what really goes on in the world of finance, and the economy at large, today, you need to know only one word: debt (aka credit). And you then ask yourself with everything you read: what about the debt? Read More |
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01.15.14- Iran, Russia Ruffle US Feathers With Oil Swap Deal
Reports are emerging that Iran and Russia are in talks about a potential $1.5 billion oil-for-goods swap that could boost Iranian oil exports, prompting harsh responses from Washington, which says such a deal could trigger new US sanctions. So far, talks are progressing to the point that Russia could purchase up to 500,000 barrels a day of Iranian oil in exchange for Russian equipment and goods, according to Reuters. Read More |
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01.14.14- It's All About Confidence in the Market
Company earnings you ask? What are they? Well, they are the fundamental driver of stock prices. Sometimes the market chooses to ignore them, which is what happened throughout much of last year. And sometimes the market worries about them, which seems to be what's happening now. Read More |
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01.13.14- 3 Ways You've Been Tricked Into Thinking the U.S. Economy Is Healthy 
To say that 2013 was a phenomenal year for the stock markets and its two most iconic indexes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI ) and the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC ) , would be a brutal understatement. With no sizable corrections, the Dow Jones and S&P 500 advanced by 27% and 30%, respectively, practically tripling their historic average annual return. Read More |
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01.11.14- The Malachi Crunch Continues 
Those of you who have known me any length of time know that I love to say 'they always tell you what they're going to do'. I had a really scintillating discussion yesterday with two fellow economists as to why that might be and we'll shelve that for now, but let's just say this: 'they' are at it again. Last week I referenced an IMF working paper penned by Harvard dynamic duo Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart regarding asset confiscation and other ways to wiggle our way our the current economic morass that we find ourselves in. This week I'm going to perform a full dissection because there is material in there that you simply cannot go on without knowing if you expect to salvage even a shred of your financial state as it exists today. Read More |
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01.10.14- Baltic Dry Index Collapses 35% - Worst Start To Year In 30 Years 
Introduced in 1985, the Baltic Dry Index first and foremost is a measure of the global shipping rates of dry bulk goods, mostly consisting of vital raw materials used in the creation of other products. However, it is also a measure of demand for said materials in comparison to previous months and years. When this indicator of global trade rises, everything is rosy and reams of asset-gatherers and talking-heads wil quote it as indicative of how great the world is. When it drops - silence. There's always an excuse - over- or under-capacity, too many ships, too few ships, etc. However, the last 2 weeks have seen a 35% collapse in the cost to ship bulk. There is a relative seasonal pattern over the holiday period - with shipping costs rising into the holiday and falling after but... this is the biggest drop from a Christmas Eve since at least 1984, 30 years! Seems like the inventory stacking of Q4 had absolutely no follow-through whatsoever... Read More |
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01.09.14- Three warning signs that a financial crash is imminent 
Do you really need more than that? For years, prophets of profit have warned us that the next stock market crash “will be soon”, and that such a crash will be utter catastrophic. Farber, Celente, et al., have told us that such a crash will be epic and that life as we know it will be forever changed. There are some that challenge their assertions because of fondness for the Gold Market. Many take their advice because they are conservative – play-it-safe investors. But hearing the same wailing for years does no one any good unless you can see the threat. Seeing a threat makes it personal. It makes it “in your face” where you MUST deal with it. Read More |
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01.08.14- Investment Trends 2014 
Welcome to 2014. Here are some dominant social themes I've selected to watch in 2014. In each case, I've selected a recent mainstream article to illustrate the trend in question: Gold to begin with, given the slump this metal has been in of late... We don't have a time or a price point for gold going forward, but we do believe there are many signs of the yellow metal's manipulation and sooner or later it will be time to buy once again. Biotech is sure to continue benefiting from what we have called the "Wall Street Party," a series of presumably arranged monetary and regulatory events that are boosting equity markets higher around the world and especially in the US – albeit not without volatility. Obamacare hit the US hard late in 2013 and its current disastrous rollout carries in its wake numerous questions about the future of health fare in the US – and the future of insurers, as well. 2014 should hold some answers – if not for Obamacare itself, then for the future of the larger health care industry and structure. Read More |
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01.07.14- Cosmically Timeless Mogambo Monetary And Investment Wisdom (CTMMAIW) 
Snug and safe inside the silent and comforting Mogambo Big Boy Bunker (MBBB), I have a lot of spare time each day to work myself into a state of paranoid hysteria by thinking about the economic mess we are in. Being a cynic of the first order (everything is corrupt and nothing can be done) and sensing imminent doom (We're Freaking Doomed (WFD)!), it is not surprising to me that the evil Federal Reserve owns more than $3.5 trillion in Treasury debt, which is about 21 percent of ALL the nation's $17 trillion debt. As totally bizarre and horrifying as this "monetizing the debt" crap is, the damage has already been done. Namely, the damage caused by all the newly created currency and credit, used to buy all the Treasury debt in the first place, has already long since flooded into the economy via government borrowing and spending the new money, inflating the money supply and causing horrifying inflation in prices. Ergo, the national craze to increase the minimum wage. Read More |
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01.06.14- "2013: A Watershed Year" 
If you weren't paying close attention, 2013 might have gone down as a quasi-normal year. After all, the Dow Jones 'Industrials' (sic) hit 50 some new record highs, mostly in the latter half of the year. The NASDAQ went above 4,000 again (can anyone say 1999?), and the world didn't end as many had predicted. That's the surface view. Well, as a good friend of mine says, we're a mile wide and an inch deep, and in that world, a few positive headlines are good enough to pacify the average American consumer. Well, as the consumption binge-spending hangover starts to kick in, how about we take a bucket of cold water and dump it all over 2013 and the notion that it was just another normal year? I'll even provide aspirin to anyone who needs it to make this more tolerable. No, we're not going to go away just in case you were wondering. We're not required to and besides, I'd feel at least a bit honored if this piece made it into the NSA's new datacenter that is going up in Utah. Read More |
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01.04.14- Market Movers for 2014
'Incidentally, there was a time as recently as two years ago, when saying the Fed is merely propping up stocks, was blasphemous in polite economist circles. Since then even the most tenured economists (not to mention the US Treasury) have finally admitted the truth…Read More |
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01.03.14- Overthrow the Speculators |
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01.02.14- NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Breaking Bad It may affect tomorrow's trade in equities. I had put a decent short position on in the closing minutes of 31 December. I have taken most of that off the table here and now. I am long gold and silver bullion. To my mind, prices were pushed to some short term extremes for the year end tape painting. Read More |
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01.01.14- 2013 – Dense Fog Turns Into Toxic Smog 
In mid-January of this year I wrote my annual prediction article for 2013 –Apparitions in the Fog. It is again time to assess my inability to predict the future any better than a dart throwing monkey. As usual, sticking to facts was a mistake in a world fueled by misinformation, propaganda, delusion and wishful thinking. I was far too pessimistic about the near term implications of debt, civic decay and global disorder. Those in power have successfully held off the unavoidable collapse which will be brought about by their ravenous unbridled greed, and blatant disregard for the rule of law, the U.S. Constitution and rights and liberties of the American people. The day to day minutia, pointless drivel of our techno-narcissistic selfie showbiz society, and artificially created issues (gay marriage, Zimmerman-Martin, Baby North West, Duck Dynasty) designed to distract the public from thinking, are worthless trivialities in the broad landscape of human history. Read More |
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12.31.13- Market Crash In the Works: "A Canary May Have Just Keeled Over" 
As holiday shoppers raided Black Friday sales and internet retailers ahead of Christmas, the establishment media heralded a new era of economic boom for the 2013 shopping season. But things are not at all as they may seem if all you do is follow official government statistics and propagandized mainstream news report. In the week leading up to Christmas, for example, retail analysis firm ShopperTalk advised that brick & mortar retail traffic was down over 20% this year. Read More |
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12.30.13- All the King's Horses and All the King's Men, Part Two:
I might have been a bit "over the top" when I referred to the conflict, which is currently focused on Syria, as a farce. It is typical of "those who would be kings" to prefer to do everything they can, to control all of what is, rather than intelligently creating more, or by reducing the need. Read More |
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12.28.13- Top Ten Trends 2014: A Year of Extremes 
KINGSTON, NY, 26 December 2013 — In 33 years of forecasting trends, the Trends Research Institute has never seen a new year that will witness severe economic hardship and social unrest on one hand, and deep philosophic enlightenment and personal enrichment on the other. A series of dynamic socioeconomic and transformative geopolitical trend points are aligning in 2014 to ring in the worst and best of times. Ready or not, here they come. Read More |
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12.27.13- A Trip Through The Bitcoin Mines 
Once upon a time, money – in the form of precious metals – used to be literally dug out of the earth. Limitations on the amount that could be mined, and on how much growth could be borrowed from the future (all debt is, is future consumption denied), is why eventually the world’s central bankers moved from money backed by precious metals, to “money” backed by “faith and credit”, in the process diluting both. It was the unprecedented explosion in credit money creation that resulted once money could be “printed” out of thin air that nearly destroyed the western financial system. Which brings us to Bitcoin, where currency “mining” takes place not in the earth’s crust, or in the basement of the Federal Reserve, but inside supercomputers. Read More |
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12.26.13- Greed + Confirmation Bias = Disaster 
If I could force-feed my readers a single concept to consider every day in their investing and trading endeavors, it would be to be cognizant of the perils of confirmation bias, and to do their best to avoid falling into the confirmation bias mindset. I’ve written about confirmation bias previously, on more than one occasion, but the topic is essential so I’ll write about it again. My summary of my thoughts on avoiding confirmation bias are simple:
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12.25.13- Retail Traffic Plunges By "Staggering" 21% In Week Before Christmas 
(Editor's Note: The misinformation which spews continually from the sources of government's statistical revision, has attempted to lead us to believe that some kind of recovery was in progress. Pure tripe. The recent news of a modest taper, by the Federal Reserve, was also more pure tripe, piled higher and deeper. 2014 will be the year that the petro dollar system is finally rejected by the rest of the world, which will result in the repatriation of trillions of dollars arriving on our shores. This will certainly cause a massive dissolution in the purchasing power of American Federal Reserve Notes in the U.S. which will, in turn, cause the price of everything to rise and the standard of most American's lives to fall precipitously. This year's retail season's train wreck will, by then, have become a fond memory of those assessing the state of the economy at that point. - JSB) That it has been one of the most lackluster shopping seasons in recent years has already been repeatedly covered, with average holiday spending expected to decline for the first time since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, all this despite record promotions and an ever earlier start to Black Friday. Read More |
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12.24.13- Push of a Button: This Is How Fast They Can Lock Down the Entire Banking System 
Late last week it was learned that some 40 million charge cards were obtained using physical processing systems located in Target retail locations nationwide. Though no details of the how the hack attack was executed have been released by Target, the FBI or other agencies investigating the breach, it is likely that the processing machines themselves were compromised. Target claims that the hack was sophisticated, but on the technical side, once hackers found a way into the credit card processing machines, probably via remote entry from servers somewhere in Eastern Europe or Russia, the theft of credit card data itself would have been fairly straight forward by using scripts or applications that simply capture the data and send it off to servers owned by the hackers. Read More |
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12.23.13- Rising Gold Prices Will Be Fueled By China Dumping U.S. Treasuries 
The T-Bond Bull Market is probably the longest running Bull Markets in history. To my knowledge no other asset class has sustained a constantly rising bull trend for over 33 years (since 1980). That is to say all bulls eventually grow old and die…ALWAYS…ALWAYS! This begs the question: What will be the catalyst that will bring this monumental BOND BULL down? Who or what will kill this historical record breaking BOND BULL? In a word…CHINA ! Read More |
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12.21.13- Manipulations Rule The Markets The Federal Reserve conveys a contradictory message. The Fed says that improvements in employment and the economy justify cutting back on bond purchases. Yet the Fed emphasizes that it is maintaining its commitment to record low interest rates "well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6.5 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the [Open Market] Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal. When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent." Read More |
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12.20.13- The Dollar's Demise and the Rise of Bitcoin 
One of the questions investors have been asking lately concerns the outlook for the U.S. dollar index. Investors are understandably concerned by the dollar's weakness and worry that perhaps that any notable increase in inflation could lead to further erosion in the dollar's value. In a weak dollar environment, investors actively search for alternatives to cash which provide growth and relative protection from dollar weakness. Until 2011 the investment safe havens of choice were gold and silver; prior to that it was real estate. The new alternative investment versus the dollar is growing in popularity and becoming more widely accepted as a legitimate financial vehicle. I'm referring to Bitcoins, the open-source, peer-to-peer payment network and digital currency. Read More |
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12.19.13- Tapering - Join the dots and end up with ZIRP  Now we know: The Fed is going to purchase $75bn of assets, a reduction of $10bn a month. The two other bits of information that came from the FOMC meeting were that purchases of US Treasuries and mortgage bonds are to be cut by $5bn each, and interest rates will be held at zero for even longer. And to justify zero interest rates, the unemployment target is being shifted from 7% to 6.5%.
In my opinion the Fed showed through its FOMC statement yesterday it has little control over events, something that should dawn on markets in the coming days. To debate this we must put aside the question as to whether or not quantitative easing is sensible in the first place and only focus on this FOMC compromise. Read More |
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12.18.13- The Taper Round 3 
The majority of MMA (mixed martial arts) bouts are 3 rounds, unless it is a title fight and then they are usually 5 rounds. Well, we’re entering round 3 in the “market versus Bernanke” fight concerning whether they are going to “taper” their QE program from 85 billion a year to something less. The talking head Feds, those on the committee…have been out in force telling anyone that would listen that there’s a good chance the taper is coming in December at their next two day meeting next week. So, just like this summer, and again in September, as we’re approaching the date of the meeting, the market has fallen ahead of it. The Fed heads warned us then too that a taper was coming. It didn’t. Read More |
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12.17.13- Punking Ourselves to Death 
The so-called Volker Rule for policing (ha!) banking practices, approved by a huddle of federal regulating agency chiefs last week, is the latest joke that America has played on itself in what is becoming the greatest national self-punking exercise in world history. First of all (and there's a lot of all), this rule comes in the form of nearly 1,000 pages of incomprehensible legalese embedded in what was already a morbidly obese Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform (ha!) and Consumer Protection (ha!) Act of 2012 that clocked in at 2000 pages, not counting the immense rafts of mandated interpretations and adumbrations, of which the new Volker Rule is but one. These additions were required because the Dodd-Frank Act itself did not really spell out the particulars of enforcement but rather left it to the regulatory agencies to construct the rules — which they did with "help" of lobbyist-lawyers furnished by the banks themselves. That is, the lobbyists actually wrote the rules for Dodd-Frank and everything in it, which means the banks wrote the rules. Does this strain your credulity? Well, this is the kind of nation we have become: anything goes and nothing matters. There really is no rule of law, just pretense. Read More |
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12.16.13- Analysts Split Over Fed's 2014 Impact on Gold as QE in Spotlight 
The price of gold bounced from a steady drop Monday lunchtime in London, trading back at $1234 per ounce as Asian stockmarkets ended sharply down but Europe ticked up ahead of this week's US Federal Reserve policy decision, due Wednesday. China's gold premiums above international prices edged lower again, dropping to $6 per ounce at the close of solid trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange. Silver tracked and extended the moves in gold, cutting an earlier 1.2% drop in half to record a London Fix of $19.50 per ounce – exactly the level of Monday last week. Read More |
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12.14.13- Washington is standing in the way of US recovery 
In order to defer the next debt crisis, Washington seeks still another timeout. After the latest jobs report, U.S. markets soared. The Dow Jones climbed to 16,020, while Nasdaq roared to over 4,060 and even S&P 500 exceeded 1,800. However, today only 52 percent of Americans are personally or jointly invested in the market — the lowest level since the 1990s. What drives the U.S. economy is consumption, which accounts for more than 70 percent of the GDP. And yet, retail spending over Thanksgiving weekend dropped for the first time in seven years. Read More |
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12.13.13- VIX Trader Buys $5.1 Million in Calls to Bet on 50% Increase
The trader purchased 40,000 April calls on the VIX with a strike price of 22 for $1.28 each, according to Trade Alert LLC. The bullish volatility bet was the biggest single block of options to change hands on U.S. exchanges, the research firm said. The VIX rose 0.8 percent to 15.54 today. Read More |
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12.12.13- How Far Will Stocks Fall This Time When The Fed Decides To Slow Down Quantitative Easing? The Federal Reserve has tricked the American people into supporting quantitative easing by insisting that it is about "stimulating the economy", but that has turned out to be a massive hoax. In fact, I just wrote an article that contained 37 statistics that prove that things just keep getting even worse for ordinary Americans. Read More |
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12.11.13- And Now, for Something Entirely Different: Flash Mob: The U.S. Air Force Band at the Smithsonian
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12.10.13- Currency War Means Currency Suicide |
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12.09.13- May the Odds be Ever in Your Favor:
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12.07.13- "The Fate of Dollar Hegemony"
The first important thing to remember is that unless one has access to credible inside information, most of what we read is speculation, and most of the commentators will readily admit that. I'm going to do the same thing here. Opinions will be clearly noted and facts will be referenced. Despite the abstract sounding nature of the term, 'dollar hegemony' is the paradigm that allows America to do what it is currently doing; namely spending money it doesn't have on things it doesn't produce (or need). It is the leverage mechanism that is used globally to politely – and sometimes with extreme prejudice – cajole other nations into doing what is in the Anglo-American banking syndicate's best interests. The fact that the entire paradigm is a complete fabrication without foundation is lost neither on the powerbrokers that perpetrate the scam, nor the parties the scam is perpetrated on. Read More |
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12.06.13- Gold Ricochets off of $1210
As a general rule of trading - a market that fails to move lower AND STAY LOWER on what is considered bearish news is a market that odds favor having bottomed - at least temporarily. Again, with so many computers running our markets nowadays, one has to be careful with generalizations but this sort of price action is noteworthy nonetheless. Read More |
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12.05.13- Yet another massive nail in the dollar's coffin
It was a Memorandum of Understanding signed by representatives of the Singapore Exchange and Hong Kong Exchange. Their aim– to combine their forces in rolling out more financial products denominated in Chinese renminbi. This is huge. Read More |
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12.04.13- Fractional Reserve Banking: How to Create and Destroy Money 
"The key function of banks is money creation, not intermediation." — Michael Kumhof, Deputy Division Chief, International Monetary Fund In November 18th's remarks I wrote a piece on Quantitative Easing and its implications regarding the money supply and inflation. I received lots of feedback and would like to say thanks to those who took the time to write in. The additional questions posed were very insightful and show there is substantial interest in understanding these concepts in greater detail. The following piece delves deeper into bank lending and its function as the primary driver of expansion and contraction of our monetary system. Read More |
12.03.13- Three Major Market Events 
Thanksgiving is now out of the way. We can move on to Christmas. And New Years Eve. And then 2014. And 2015. And onward into the future! But whats in the future? If only we knew... Making predictions is tough...especially when we have no idea what to expect. But wait...Some of the most important things we will see in the future have already happened many times. Yes, dear reader...your editor is going way, way out on a very solid limb. He has identified three things that WILL happen. No doubt about it. He guarantees it. Read More |
12.02.13- 15 Signs That We Are Near The Peak Of An Absolutely Massive Stock Market Bubble 
One of the men that won the Nobel Prize for economics this year says that "bubbles look like this" and that he is "most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market." But you don't have to be a Nobel Prize winner to see what is happening. It should be glaringly apparent to anyone with half a brain. The financial markets have been soaring while the overall economy has been stagnating. Reckless injections of liquidity into the financial system by the Federal Reserve have pumped up stock prices to ridiculous extremes, and people are becoming concerned. In fact, Google searches for the term "stock bubble" are now at the highest level that we have seen since November 2007. Read More |
11.30.13- Market Movers into 2014 
"The World is Getting Closer to that End Game Every Day," Powerful Forces Extrinsic to the Markets will determine Key Market Moves over the next few months and beyond. We identify certain of those here and indicate how they are likely to affect the Markets. For example, "Fundamentals," Technicals, and Interventionals all now point to an Impending (extrinsically generated) Big Move to Climax in one Key Sector, which we identified in our December Letter. Read More |
11.29.13- Currency Investing: 
If money is the mother's milk of politics, fiat currency is surely the same for government. The modern version of money has no backing and thus doesn't restrain government spending. The hopes and dreams of a generation of politicians can be paid for with money conjured from thin air and the imagination of central bankers. Doug Casey often reminds us of the many currencies governments around the world have rendered to their intrinsic value. But while the current crop of money are ultimately destined for the dustbin of history, for the moment these weapons of mass economic destruction trade against each other in a world marketplace. Read More |
11.28.13- For U.S. stores it is ugly out there: 
(Reuters) - The 2013 holiday shopping season may end up being remembered for its ugly sweaters and, for many retailers, even uglier discounts. With growing online competition, weak consumer confidence and no fashion must-haves, most U.S. retailers will have to offer both big discounts and stellar service to get consumers to spend freely, according to analysts who joined Reuters reporters on visits to stores in New York, New Jersey, California and Illinois ahead of the holiday season. "People are being a lot more selective in where they spend their money," said Wedbush analyst Gabriella Santaniello while touring the Westfield Topanga mall in Canoga Park, California. Read More |
11.27.13- Inflation is Raging – If You Know Where to Look 
Most people – certainly most governments and economists – define inflation as a general rise in prices. But this is wrong. Inflation is an increase in the money supply, of which a rising general price level is just one possible result – and not the most common one. More often, excessive money creation shows up as asset bubbles, where the new money, instead of flowing equally to all the products that are for sale at a given time, flows disproportionately into the 'hottest' asset classes. Readers who were paying attention in the 1990s might recall that the consumer price index was well-behaved while huge amounts of money flowed into financial assets, producing the dot-com bubble. Read More |
11.26.13- Martin Armstrong: Expect Cashless Society, Not Hyperinflation 
One of the greatest failed predictions over the last few years has been that the Fed's massive monetary stimulus would result in runaway hyperinflation. Certainly we can debate whether the official consumer price index is artificially lower than what reality would suggest, but it's clear current U.S. inflation is nowhere near levels of hyperinflation and has actually been trending lower over the past two years as deflationary trends persist, in spite of the Fed's best efforts to the contrary. So how is it that the Fed can create all this money and not create inflation? Martin Armstrong, who has long criticized calls for hyperinflation or even high inflation in the U.S., said one of the main reasons is because the U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency. Read More |
11.25.13- All Bulled Up With No Place To Go 
The financial wires and pod-waves are all lit up these days like it was happy hour at the Lottery Winner's Lounge. It appears that the American economy — capital management division — has found the long-wished-for magic alternative energy source: horseshit. It is fueling the conversation all over the Web and over the senile mainstream media megaphones. One technical analyst, celebrity Tweeter Ralph Acampora of Altaira Wealth Management, actually said this week that the USA would be "energy independent by 2016." That's rich. We'd only have to come up with 8.5 million new barrels of oil a day, or give up driving cars altogether. Read More |
11.23.13- Two Great Bubble Threats, One Great Opportunity 
Very smart Investor Carl Icahn is right to call “a lot of” corporate earnings a “mirage” because by reducing borrowing costs via ongoing QE, The Fed has artificially elevated earnings. Read More |
11.22.13- China Announces That It Is Going To Stop Stockpiling U.S. Dollars 
China just dropped an absolute bombshell, but it was almost entirely ignored by the mainstream media in the United States. The central bank of China has decided that it is "no longer in China's favor to accumulate foreign-exchange reserves". During the third quarter of 2013, China's foreign-exchange reserves were valued at approximately $3.66 trillion. And of course the biggest chunk of that was made up of U.S. dollars. For years, China has been accumulating dollars and working hard to keep the value of the dollar up and the value of the yuan down. One of the goals has been to make Chinese products less expensive in the international marketplace. But now China has announced that the time has come for it to stop stockpiling U.S. dollars. Read More |
11.21.13- 7 More Years Of Low Rates.. 
While chart analogs provide optically pleasing (and often far too shockingly correct) indications of the human herd tendencies towards fear and greed, a glance through the headlines and reporting of prior periods can provide just as much of a concerning 'analog' as any chart. In this case, while these 3 pictures can paint a thousand words; a thousand words may also paint the biggest picture of all. It seems, socially and empirically, it is never different this time as these 1936 Wall Street Journal archives read only too well...
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11.20.13- The froth before 
Stock market is overvalued by 27 percent based on historical price to earnings ratio. The stock market has once again become an overvalued casino where only the large financial players can use massive leverage to enjoy short-term rewards. Even looking at historical price-to-earnings (PE) ratios we find that stocks are dramatically overpriced. Yet the stock market is a sham for most Americans. In fact 53 percent of Americans don't even own any stock outright. What is troubling is that for the first time in a generation, we are seeing real declines in household income occurring at the same time that the stock market is reaching all time highs. This is the first time in 30 years that this kind of pattern has occurred. This is playing out because the Fed has injected all sorts of liquidity into the banking sector expecting the financial segment of our society to responsibly guide the investment markets. Of course, all that has happened is a large amount of froth is now spilling over and signs of a bubble are all over the place. Read More |
11.19.13- Everything Happens Due To Bungling... Nothing Is Planned!
"The exact contrary of that which is generally believed is often the truth."---Jean de la Bruyere, 1645-1696, French author. On November 13, 2013, a prominent voice in the gold arena, Nick Barisheff of Toronto based Bullion Management Group, let the world precious metals community down by remarking: "I know many in the gold community feel there is a vast conspiracy amongst elites to control the world through bringing about a financial collapse and, eventually, a one-world currency and central bank. Others, like Dr. Paul, feel it is more a matter of incompetence. I tend to agree with this second view." Read More |
11.18.13- Deflation, A Stock Market Crash And Then Christmas 
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying things will happen in this order and timeframe. Just that they're going to if central banks and treasury departments don't up the ante. But they will. The question becomes more important now whether it'll be enough to continue keeping their - presumed - demons at bay. They can't go on forever. You can inflate asset price bubbles only so much. And then people will lose faith. So the order and timeframe is definitely an option. Deflation is already here. Everyone's talking about lower inflation numbers than expected everywhere, but prices have been pushed up artificially in so many ways and in so many places that, even given the fact that they all ignore what inflation really is, it's getting profoundly absurd. Ironically, a few interesting lines this week came from an unexpected corner, the Telegraph editorial staff: Read More |
11.16.13- Keep Your Eyes on Bonds 
Last month, Americans were transfixed by the amateur theatrics undertaken by the Washington political establishment in connection with the debt ceiling crisis. The bad faith, poor tactics and wholesale avoidance of reality were offered by all players in very large doses. When the Republican leadership finally capitulated (thereby bringing down the curtain on the tawdry production), it soon became apparent that sound and fury had signified nothing except another exercise in can kicking. Public approval of Congress sank to the lowest level on record, and has only dissipated due to the unmitigated disaster of the Obamacare launch. But as bad as domestic approval has become, the behavior of the U.S. government has played far worse internationally. Read More |
11.15.13- "Russian Roulette?" 
One of the biggest shames in the world is when someone else has to take care of your business when you are perfectly capable of doing so yourself. It used to be the ultimate form of embarrassment. However, we in the United States have turned shame into an art form over the past hundred years or so, squandering everything from our riches and blessing to the sacred honor Thomas Jefferson wrote about all those years ago in a document that is barely covered in most school curriculums today. So what exactly are we talking about here? Our outrageous debt? Our profligate spending tendencies at virtually every level of society and government? The joke of an economic 'recovery' that even more realist publications are now subscribing to? Nope. No, this one is a little different. If a certain Russian lawmaker has his way, use of the US Dollar in any transaction involving Russian citizens and banks will become illegal. Read More |
11.14.13- Thanksgiving is Dead
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11.13.13- Senior bank executives explain how US dominance is declining…
The government simply did not have enough money to sustain its operations, let alone pay for all the generous welfare programs needed to placate the population. So as you could imagine, they decided to make up the difference by debasing the currency. Read More |
11.12.13- Crabs in a Bucket
Yes, my family has fought in every war since the American Revolution. My lineage goes back to New Amsterdam – the name for NY City given to it by the Dutch, A cousin even has the musket used in the American Revolution by my ancestor. But this Veteran’s Day I spent in a breakfast meeting visiting Capital Hill so you know it was not just plain vanilla to meet on a holiday. Read More |
11.11.13- Inflation Avoidance: A Safer, Saner Strategy to Preserve Your Purchasing Power
We're deadly serious. Figure out how many blades you go through in a year, then go to Costco or Sam's Club or BJ's and buy five times that amount. We can nearly guarantee a return on your investment at the end of the first year because by that time the price will be higher. And the returns will only get better as time goes by. Our modest suggestion is a good starting point for an investing strategy now more than three decades old — long forgotten but still relevant. Turns out it's easier than ever to implement now in the 21st century… Read More |
11.09.13- How China Can Cause The Death Of The Dollar and The Entire U.S. Financial System
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11.08.13- Two Major Trends Of The 21st Century Are Reversing It's no wonder that Huntington Beach inspired this nickname. It has stuck because one of the favorite fun activities here is watching surfers try to identify the perfect wave and ride it all the way to the shore. As an investor, I try to do the same: identify a major trend and ride it as long as it lasts. "Surf City" was co-written in the '60s by the Beach Boys' lead songwriter, Brian Wilson, and I hear it frequently in stores and restaurants even today. While the soundtrack is still the same, the markets are in a transition year. And to fully understand the scope of what's coming, today let's "fast-forward" to the '70s. Read More |
11.07.13- Why Preppers Should Be THRILLED
If you still doubt this after reading this article, please go check out The Economic Collapse Blog where I have posted nearly 1000 articles that break this down in excruciating detail. Read More |
11.06.13- Socialism Brought Home
The professor then said, “OK, we will have an experiment in this class on Obama’s plan”.. All grades will be averaged and everyone will receive the same grade so no one will fail and no one will receive an A…. (substituting grades for dollars – something closer to home and more readily understood by all). Read More |
11.05.13- 10 Corporations Control Nearly Everything You Buy
The chart was posted on Reddit as illusion of choice. I could not locate the original source. PolicyMic explains…
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11.04.05- Why Having Cash Sitting Idle May Be Your Best Investment Strategy Right Now
Not so fast; the data on job creation appears to show that the situation is actually worsening. Job creation is crucial to this economic recovery. While it is true that job creation is a lagging indicator, we do need to see an increase to verify whether or not the economic recovery is actually accelerating. Read More |
11.02.13- Is Paul Krugman a Voodoo Economist?
If people at home and abroad who hold dollars and dollar denominated financial instruments do not care that trillions of new dollars are being created in order to cover the large gaps between revenues and expenditures in Washington's annual budgets and to support "banks too big to fail," that is, if these dollar holders do not see the value of their dollars diluted by the new dollars, which are appearing in greater quantities than new goods and services, Krugman is right. Read More |
11.01.13- After "Currency Wars" Comes "The Death of Money"
In the winter of 2009, lawyer, investment banker, and advisor on capital markets to the Director of National Intelligence and the Office of the Secretary of Defense, James Rickards took part in a secret war game sponsored by the Pentagon at the Applied Physics Laboratory (APL). The game's objective was to simulate and explore the potential outcomes and effects of a global financial war. Two years later, Rickards published what would become a national bestseller, Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis. Read More |
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As I write this, the European Union has just announced a possible $15b aid package to the Ukraine (including 8 billion euros in fresh credit). Everybody has read the headlines about Europe: record unemployment, no end in sight, and so on. So you might be wondering just where the European Union, and its' constituent nations, scrapped together the money to propose aid for the Ukraine. Well, wonder no more, because the following eight events might give you an idea of where governments go to get a little extra cash. 
In 2012 an elite insider claimed that on or around March 4, 2014 
Once most Americans believed the national economy was depressed, it became extremely difficult for government to overcome that belief and cause an economic recovery. Some people think the Great Depression would've lasted 5 to 10 years longer if WWII hadn't begun and forced a dramatic change in public sentiment.
There is no doubt that the world is teetering on the brink of the abyss.
US stocks end off session highs; S&P 500 just below record close ... U.S. stocks rallied on Monday, lifting the S&P 500 to a intraday record and briefly clearing its 2014 loss, as investors embraced activity on the M&A front and continued to disregard lackluster economic data as largely due to winter weather. Mergers and acquisitions came into play, with RF Micro Devices agreeing to acquire TriQuint Semiconductor for about $1.6 billion, while Men's Wearhouse hiked its cash tender offer for Jos. A. Bank Clothiers. "Maybe stocks are not overpriced at these levels if you have big players coming in and still doing deals," said Chris Gaffney, senior market strategist at EverBank. – CNBC 
The following is excerpted from 
The obsession with all-time highs is making us all a little dumber these days…
In order for our current level of debt-fueled prosperity to continue, the rest of the world must continue to use our dollars to trade with one another and must continue to buy our debt at ridiculously low interest rates. Of course the number one foreign nation that we depend on to participate in our system is China. China accounts for more global trade 
The rabbit hole was detected long ago, leading to multiple examples of Jackass epiphany. Many clients and inquisitive followers have asked how and when the conspiracy and deep plots were recognized. A sequence occurred to produce the newfound awareness, in certain key events that reeked of suspicion, sabotage, and bad economics. The awareness began around 1990, confirmed in 2000 & 2001 with the stock bust and 911 crime scene, solidified with Lehman in 2008. The steady policy decisions were so destructive, ordered by intelligent men, that they had to be intentional. 
Probably every kid in the world has at some point dreamed of having a time machine and being able to travel back to the past… usually to see dinosaurs or something like that.
Exciting times. Marijuana decriminalization and legalization is moving quickly.
The Federal Reserve will only continue its $10 billion-a-month reduction in its QE money printing program for another month before a crisis in the stock market intervenes and it has to stop, warns Currency Wars author Jim Rickards who forecasts gold will hit $7-9,000 an ounce in the next coming global financial crisis. 
For over a year now I've been expecting 2014 to be the year when the unintended consequences of five years of QE come home to roost. 
Robert Wiedemer, best-selling author of "The Aftershock Investor," says the so-called recovery is "100 percent fake." Wiedemer explains, "If you look at the amount our economy has grown last year, our GDP grew 2% or $350 billion, but we borrowed over $700 billion. That tells you right there that we are borrowing more than we are even growing. Our entire growth is due to government borrowing . . . it's a fake recovery." Wiedemer, who has totally rewritten and updated his book, goes on to say, "It would be great if we would adjust our economic figures for stimulus. What would the figures really look like if you took the fake money and borrowed money away?" It is supported heavily by printed money of over a trillion dollars last year. We're not talking about what's driving the recovery we are getting, and it's powered by massive money printing and massive money borrowing. Yes, we are getting some recovery, but it is not driven by something that is sustainable." 
What a difference a week makes! Last Monday, with the Dow Industrials approaching the nadir of a nearly 1200-point slide, one might have thought the world was about to end. In just one issue of The Wall Street Journal, we read about a nascent slump in housing and auto sales; a deflationary trend in pricing power for a wide swath of U.S. businesses, particularly mid-tier retailers; a shift toward defensive stocks by portfolio managers; and, alarming growth in the debts of emerging nations.
If you view the progressive financial breakdown in America as some kind of 'comedy of errors' or a trial of unlucky coincidences, then there is not much I can do to educate you on the reasons behind the carnage. If, however, you understand that there is a deliberate motivation behind American collapse, then what I have to say here will not fall on biased ears.
Like many in the investments business, I am a big fan of the Godfather movies, or at least those that don't have Sofia Coppola in a supporting role. The strategic crux of the first movie is the realization by Don Corleone at a peace-making meeting of the Five Families that the garden variety gangland war he thought he was fighting with the Tattaglia Family was actually part of an existential war being waged by the nominal head of the Families, Don Barzini. Vito warns his son Michael, who becomes the new head of the Corleone Family, and the two of them plot a strategy of revenge and survival to be put into motion after Vito's death. The movie concludes with Michael successfully murdering Barzini and his various supporters, a plot arc that depends entirely on Vito's earlier recognition of the underlying cause of the Tattaglia conflict. Once Vito understood WHY Philip Tattaglia was coming after him, that he was just a stooge for Emilio Barzini, everything changed for the Corleone Family's strategy. 
(Editor's Note: This "in your fsce" action by Iran and Russia is simply another domino falling and will accelerate the demise of the Petro Dollar System. - JSB)
Money, as Karl Marx lamented, plays the largest part in determining the course of history. Once speculators are able to concentrate wealth into their hands they have, throughout history, emasculated government, turned the press into lap dogs and courtiers, corrupted the courts and hollowed out public institutions, including universities, to justify their looting and greed. Today’s speculators have created grotesque financial mechanisms, from usurious interest rates on loans to legalized accounting fraud, to plunge the masses into crippling forms of debt peonage. They steal staggering sums of public funds, such as the $85 billion of mortgage-backed securities and bonds, many of them toxic, that they unload each month on the Federal Reserve in return for cash. And when the public attempts to finance public-works projects they extract billions of dollars through wildly inflated interest rates.
There is a blizzard moving into the northeastern US this evening. 
The Federal Reserve's announcement on December 18 that beginning in January its monthly purchases of mortgage-backed financial instruments and US Treasury bonds would each be cut by $5 billion is puzzling, as is the financial press's account of the market's response.
An investor bought $5.12 million in
call options that will be profitable if the Chicago Board
Options Exchange 
When QE1 ended there was a substantial stock market correction, and when QE2 ended there was a substantial stock market correction. And if you will remember, the financial markets threw a massive hissy fit a few months ago when Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested that the Fed may soon start tapering QE3. Clearly Wall Street does not like it when their supply of monetary heroin is interrupted.
What the media calls a "currency war," whereby nations engage in competitive currency devaluations in order to increase exports, is really "currency
suicide." National governments persist in the fallacious belief that weakening one's own currency will improve domestically-produced products'
competitiveness in world markets and lead to an export driven recovery. As it intervenes to give more of its own currency in exchange for the currency of
foreign buyers, a country expects that its export industries will benefit with increased sales, which will stimulate the rest of the economy. So we often
read that a country is trying to "export its way to prosperity." 
We are five years into the Crisis that will not resolve itself until sometime in the 2020's. No one can predict the specific events that will fundamentally change history over the next decade, but the catalysts of debt, civic decay and global disorder were evident sixteen years ago when Strauss and Howe wrote their prophetic generational history. The volcanic eruption occurred in 2008 when the worldwide financial system blew and the molten lava continues to spew forth and flow along the Federal Reserve created channels, protecting the corrupt establishment while incinerating senior citizens, the working middle class and Millennials. Deep within the volcano the pressure is building again as the mood of the country darkens. It will blow again and the economic, social, political and military distress will catalyze into a catastrophic emergency that will tear the fabric of the country asunder. 
Despite the quiet nature of things lately from a geopolitical standpoint, coupled with the mainstream media's obsession with new nominal highs in the various paper indexes, there is definitely turbulence below the surface. There have already been a number of thought-provoking articles written regarding the future of dollar hegemony and the purpose of this week's piece is to hopefully add to the discussion and stimulate some thought. 
Earlier this week gold scored a low near $1210 before violently reversing on an "out of nowhere" short covering rally. Today, the initial reaction of the metal after the payrolls number was to plunge right back down towards $1210 again. However, it then staged another violent reversal higher on very strong volume. This action has gotten my attention.
On the other side of the world today, a couple of gentlemen that few people have ever heard of signed an agreement that has massive consequences for the global financial system.
I have never had a problem with Wal-Mart per se; that is, until now. In my view, they have simply been the largest benefactor of the commandeering of U.S. business by powerful lobbying interests. Frankly, its ability to import cheap Chinese goods has been one of the few factors mitigating the hyperinflationary impact of the Fed's maniacal money printing scheme; although sadly, this ability is on borrowed time. Frankly, most Americans should be grateful that Wal-Mart has been able to hold prices down in a highly inflationary world; in the process, becoming the nation's largest employer. True, said jobs are not of the highest quality – and in fact, contribute to the overall "underemployment" that causes roughly half of all citizens to require supplemental entitlement payments. However, in my opinion, a bad job is better than none at all. 
Much of this had been brought on by Rome’s utterly dismal economic condition.
Thank you. Far too many people are only out for themselves. They are like crabs unable to escape from a bucket because all they do is try to pull down the one in front. They are trapped within their own self-interest and lack any concept of how to get ahead because they are fixed on grabbing every penny in front of them. Just throw some money on a table and watch how fast they try to steal it. Crabs cannot escape a bucket even with no lid any more than society can escape its fate because the majority of people are just crabs incapable of working together. My whole life has been nothing but people trying to steal the model assuming they will have unlimited wealth. It gets very disgusting to have to endure such characters.
Want to know an asset class that's almost a surefire winner for the next five years? It's razor blades.
The death of the dollar is coming, and it will probably be China that pulls the trigger. What you are about to read is understood by only a very small fraction of all Americans. Right now, the U.S. dollar is the de facto reserve currency of the planet. Most global trade is conducted in U.S. dollars, and 
I live in Southern California, in the city that inspired Jan & Dean's hit "Surf City."
I am a prepper and I LOVE the fact that the stock market is at 
An economics professor at a local college made a statement that he had never failed a single student before, but had recently failed an entire class. That class had insisted that Obama’s socialism worked and that no one would be poor and no one would be rich, a great equalizer.
PolicyMic has a very interesting chart that shows how 
Another day and another record-high stock market is what it seems like these days. That must mean that the 
Readers ask me if Paul Krugman could be correct that deficits don't matter and that neither does printing endless reams of money with which to purchase the Treasury's debt instruments that finance the deficits.
"The world is getting closer to that end game every day," says Rickards, who just finished writing the sequel to his bestselling Currency Wars.