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05.22.13- Long Live the Dollar
Martin Armstrong

If anyone wants to know why the dollar will soar to new highs, just stop and look at Europe. The gold promoters will claim the bank crisis will make gold soar. But the dollar will soar. France is out to shut down gold sales and has outlawed buying or selling gold for cash. They are tracking every ounce. The smart Europeans will move their cash to the USA before they can’t get out or go to Asia maybe better. But the bottom line – it is the dollar that is becoming the ONLY game in town.

The banking crisis in Europe is worse that the US ever was. The US was a trading loss, this is a systemic failure that is more than $1 trillion in bad loans when the USA was $700 billion. France wants total seizure of assets to secure socialism. This is like cutting off your head because you have a headache. The denials of the Cyprus solution would ever be applied to the EU have faded into the night. The politicians cannot see for an instant what they are doing to the world economy. When I said we have a Crisis in Democracy – this was not hype. The EU will seize bank deposits to bailout the banks. The governments are unwilling to put in that money because they cannot sell it to the people. Germans are not interested in bailing out the banks in Italy or Spain. Read More

05.21.13- The American Story...Abroad
Chris Mayer

In 1881, Dakota Territory had never sold a bushel of wheat to anybody outside of Dakota. Six years later, it sold 62 million bushels.

What happened?

I recently read Garet Garrett's The American Story, which came out in 1955. It is a well-written history of America — unusual because of its emphasis on the powerful economics that drove the country to great heights. Garrett tells the Dakota story in this book, which is a useful reminder about how economies grow and prosper.

What happened in Dakota was that farmers invested in machinery. The riding plow, the reaper and the combine harvester made the farms far more productive than they had been. Suddenly, the labors of one man could produce 5,000 bushels of wheat. A single miller could turn that wheat into 1,000 pounds of flour. Read More

05.20.13- Why Japan Is Bad for the World
James Gruber

Japan continues to be the world's biggest financial story. The consensus seems to be that the country's extraordinary economic measures are good for both itself and the world. I've detailed previously how Japan's efforts are likely to have terrible domestic economic consequences, whether they succeed or not. Today, I'm going to explore the latter idea: that Yen depreciation will benefit other countries as they'll depreciate their own currencies, which will make their economies more competitive too. This idea, put forward by some serious financial commentators, is laughable as it ignores both history and any sense of simple logic. The implications are worth exploring though as competitive currency devaluations have already begun and are likely to accelerate from here. Read More

05.18.13- Wal-Mart Warns of Economic Disaster… Are You Prepared?
Graham Summers

If you want to get a sense of what's happening in the world, your best bet is to ignore Government data and focus on corporate revenues.

Why revenues? Because earnings can be massaged any number of ways (depreciation methods, laying off staff to cut costs, depletion of loan loss reserves for banks, etc.). But you cannot fake actual money coming in the door.

With that in mind, I want to draw your attention to the recent drop in corporate revenues at a number of corporations including Proctor and Gamble, Starbucks, AT&T, CB Richard Ellis, Safeway, American Express, IBM. Read More

05.17.13- The Casino Vs. The Gambler
Michael Kilbach

What gives you the upper hand or what is your "edge" in the financial markets?  If you don't know your "edge , then you don't have one and your odds are probably more like those of a gambler in a casino.  If you know your "edge" and you have a slight, legitimate advantage over the rest of the market, then over time you should make money.  A casino has an "edge" over their customers and with the odds in their favor they make money over time while the gambler, well... gambles.

This article does not claim to be the edge you may be looking for but we may be able to enlighten you to something most never consider.  With a relatively unique perspective to consider, you may find your own edge.

Does the public and do you really understand how inflation can either destroy your financial health or make you rich? Read More

05.16.13- Everything Is Rigged, Continued: European Commission Raids Oil Companies in Price-Fixing Probe
Matt Taibbi

We're going to get into this more at a later date, but there was some interesting late-breaking news yesterday.

According to numerous reports, the European Commission regulators yesterday raided the offices of oil companies in London, the Netherlands and Norway as part of an investigation into possible price-rigging in the oil markets. The targeted companies include BP, Shell and the Norweigan company Statoil. The Guardian explains that officials believe that oil companies colluded to manipulate pricing data:

The commission said the alleged price collusion, which may have been going on since 2002, could have had a "huge impact" on the price of petrol at the pumps "potentially harming final consumers". Read More

05.15.13- Billionaires Dumping Stocks, Economist Knows Why
Moneynews

Despite the 6.5% stock market rally over the last three months, a handful of billionaires are quietly dumping their American stocks . . . and fast.

Warren Buffett, who has been a cheerleader for U.S. stocks for quite some time, is dumping shares at an alarming rate. He recently complained of “disappointing performance” in dyed-in-the-wool American companies like Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and Kraft Foods.

In the latest filing for Buffett’s holding company Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has been drastically reducing his exposure to stocks that depend on consumer purchasing habits. Read More

05.14.13- U.S. Retail Depression
Is 'Good News'

Jeff Nielson

Perverse reporting of economic data by the Corporate Media is nothing new. However, what is newsworthy is when that same Corporate Media explicitly acknowledges such perversity. Such open manipulation of the news was on display today.

The context is the accelerating Depression in the U.S. retail sector; which as the propaganda machine itself regularly acknowledges, represents more than æ of the total U.S. economy. In March, the revised numbers indicated U.S. retail sales plummeting by -0.5%. However, that number is neither adjusted for inflation, nor is it reported at an annualized rate (as are most economic statistics). Let me perform those adjustments. Currently, U.S. inflation is somewhere close to 20%. Read More

05.13.13- Gerald Celente on the New Renaissance and Big Non-State Trends Changing the World
Anthony Wile

Forecasting trends since 1980, Mr. Gerald Celente is publisher of the Trends Journal®, Founder/Director of the Trends Research Institute® and author of the highly acclaimed and best selling books, Trend Tracking and Trends 2000 (Warner Books.) Using his unique perspectives on current events forming future trends, Gerald Celente developed the Globalnomic® methodology, which is used to identify, track, forecast and manage trends. His on-time trend forecasts, vibrant style, articulate delivery and vivid public presence makes him a favorite of major media. Read More

05.11.13- On the Verge of the Biggest Bond Implosion of All Time
Graham Summers

Japan should serve as a lesson to central planners around the world.

Japan's stock market/ real estate bubble burst in the early '90s. Since that time Japan has launched NINE QE efforts equal to roughly 25% of its GDP. And GDP growth has worsened despite these efforts from 2% to 1%. Ditto for employment.Japan elected a new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in September 2012. Since that time, his primary belief has been that Japan hasn't engaged in enough stimulus. Read More

05.10.13- The Return of The Worldwide Crack Up Boom
Bill Boner

A kiss is still a kiss. A sigh is still a sigh…

And a bubble is still a bubble.

When a kiss is over, it's over. When a bubble pops…well…that's all she wrote! All kisses end – even the wettest "French" kisses. And so do all bubbles – even sloppy mega-bubbles of liquidity. This one will be no exception. But of course, it's not the certainties that make life interesting…it's the uncertainties – the known unknowns and the unknown unknowns, as Mr. Rumsfeld says. We are all born of woman and end up where all men born of women end up – dead. But that doesn't mean we can't have some fun between baptism and last rites.

You'll remember we said that this worldwide financial bubble is both worldlier, and more financial than any in history. Read More

05.09.13- The Deep End of the Risk Pool
James Howard Kunstler


Where on earth did Paul Krugman get the idea -- expressed Monday morning -- that ours is "a weak economy?" The Dow Jones Industrial Average is about to scale previously uncharted heights and the Standard & Poors Index is piling onto its molehill, too. If stocks are up the economy can't be weak since stock markets = the economy. All the efforts of the Gitchi Manitou behind the operations of money, the Federal Reserve, are bent toward inflating the stock markets, including now the novelty of outright strategic stock purchases, so these stock markets must hold the secrets of economic life.

Notice, the Federal Reserve is not inflating the precious metal markets. Rather, they might be inclined in the deep background to militate against them, or even engage in coordinated subversion of them. Read More

05.08.13- The Economic Crisis, Then and Now
Darrell Robert Schoon

View Video

05.07.13- Jim Rogers: 'Race To Insanity' Producing 'Artificial' Market Gains
Michelle Smith

With central banks printing like never before, legendary investor Jim Rogers warns that markets and economies are likely to get hurt in the aftermath.

“This is the first time in recorded history where nearly all the central banks in all countries are pumping out lots of money, debasing their currencies, printing money. I've never seen this in history, and now we've got everybody — or nearly everybody — doing it,” he told Money Morning.

Japan's central bank dominated headlines when it announced an unprecedented stimulus program that devalues the yen. This action was said to be an effort to battle deflation.

Central bank policies that weaken national currencies are seen as competitive. When other nations do not follow suit, they essentially become less competitive because a weaker currency results in cheaper exports.
Read More

05.06.13- The Final Report
Bill Buckler

For 727 editions, and nearly 30 years, Bill Buckler, the "captain" of the free market-praising Privateer newsletter provided a welcome escape from a world overrun with "free-lunch" economists, "for-hire" politicians, "crony-capitalist" oligarchs, "heroin-addict" bankers, "the-solution-to-record-debt-is-more-record-debt" Keynesians, and all those other subclasses of that species which Einstein, or whoever, described so aptly in saying that they all expect a different, and happy, outcome when applying the same flawed methods over and over. And for 30 years, Buckler's steadfast determination and adherence to his arguments, beliefs, reasoning and ironclad logic brought him countless followers, all of whom are now able to see past the bread and circus facade of a world every day on the edge of political and social collapse. Sadly, all good things come to an end, and so does The Privateer. We are delighted to celebrate its illustrious memory by presenting to our readers the final, must read, issue of the newsletter which encapsulates the philosophy and ideology of its author - a man much respected and admired in the free market circles - and thirty years of objective, unbiased market and economic commentary, best of all. Read More

05.04.13- Profiting from Coming Crises
Deepcaster

(The Fed is) "creating massive fraud…in the short term it's great for assets…at some point there's a levitational problem."  - Nouriel Roubini, CNN Money, April 29, 2013

Like it or not, several crises are impending in the next few months. And it is highly likely certain of these are unavoidable.

Fortunately, it is possible to prepare to avoid significant damage from most of these and indeed to profit, as we indicate here.

Unfortunately, if one fails to prepare for certain of these very soon, it will be too late, even impossible, to prepare later.

Crisis #1: for $US denominated asset holders: The $US is losing its status as the world's reserve currency. Read More

05.03.13- Healthcare & Bankruptcy:
The Real Root of the Debt Crisis

Brittany Stepniak

Today's turbulent financial times are likely to leave you in a world of panic if you have neither money nor health.

And it's hard to get by with just one and not the other.

Though I have been blessed with good health and still have youth on my side, I know it may not always be this way.

I know how quickly the world can remit an unexpected and expensive twist of fate...

"Millions of American Families are One Medical Emergency Away from Bankruptcy" Read More

05.02.13- Seniors, We Are at Bat
Dennis Miller

Our wealth is disappearing, and we need to speak up now. In a recent article for the Casey Daily Dispatch, I took Obama's budget proposal and the effect it would have on Social Security to task. The president's proposal offers three alternatives for funding Social Security – the Chained CPI; an expanded Social Security tax; or additional limits on IRA and 401(k) contributions. I don't like any of these "solutions" one bit.

In a recent Wall Street Journal article, Kelly Greene and Vipal Monga reported that pensions represent an increasingly smaller portion of Americans' retirement savings. The authors wrote: "The portion of private-sector US workers covered only by so-called defined-benefit plans fell to 3% in 2011 from 28% in 1979, according to US Department of Labor data compiled by EBRI." Read More

05.01.13- No Bank Deposits Will Be Spared from Confiscation
Matthias Chang

I challenge anyone to prove me wrong that confiscation of bank deposits is legalized daylight robbery

Bank depositors in the UK and USA may think that their bank deposits would not be confiscated as they are insured and no government would dare embark on such a drastic action to bail out insolvent banks.

Before I explain why confiscation of bank deposits in the UK and US is a certainty and absolutely legal, I need all readers of this article to do the following:

Ask your local police, sheriffs, lawyers, judges the following questions: Read More

04.30.13- The Cashless Society
John Mauldin

It is a common trope in science fiction novels. Economic transactions are handled seamlessly with a wave of a card or a physically imbedded chip, and whatever the author imagines money to be is transferred, far removed from the archaic confines of ancient physical monies. If you Google "cashless society" you get about 600,000 references in under a second, and 20 pages into the references there are still articles on a future world where physical cash is no longer needed. Some see it as a sign of the "end times," some as a capitalist plot, some as a frightening vision of socialists and ever-bigger governments, and some as a logical step in the evolution of a technologically driven international commerce. Read More

04.29.13- Larry Parks: Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About Money Metals
Anthony Wile

Lawrence Parks holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from the Polytechnic Institute of New York University and is the Executive Director of the Foundation for the Advancement of Monetary Education (FAME). Dr. Parks was a student of free-market economist Murray Rothbard and has studied monetary issues for more than 30 years. He is the author of What Does Mr. Greenspan Really Think?, a popular book on the workings of the US monetary system. He has authored and produced more than 200 videos on topics dealing with the US monetary system, more than 50 of which are posted to www.LarryParks.com. His writings have appeared in Pensions & Investments, The Economist, Washington Times, The Freeman, American Outlook and National Review. Read More

04.27.13- Profit, Protection, Despite Cartel Intervention
Deepcaster

"When the Fed's fire hoses started spraying an elephant soup of liquidity injections in every direction and its balance sheet grew by $1.3 trillion in just thirteen weeks compared to $850 billion during its first ninety-four years, I became convinced that the Fed was flying by the seat of its pants, making it up as it went along. It was evident that its aim was to stop the hissy fit on Wall Street and that the threat of a Great Depression 2.0 was just a cover story for a panicked spree of money printing that exceeded any other episode in recorded human history…. Read More

04.26.13- Everything Is Rigged: The Biggest Price-Fixing Scandal Ever
Matt Taibbi

The Illuminati were amateurs. The second huge financial scandal of the year reveals the real international conspiracy: There's no price the big banks can't fix

Conspiracy theorists of the world, believers in the hidden hands of the Rothschilds and the Masons and the Illuminati, we skeptics owe you an apology. You were right. The players may be a little different, but your basic premise is correct: The world is a rigged game. We found this out in recent months, when a series of related corruption stories spilled out of the financial sector, suggesting the world's largest banks may be fixing the prices of, well, just about everything. Read More

04.25.13- US Business Cycle Index Plunges Most In 22 Months
Zero Hedge

While broad US macro-economic data has been sliding rapidly of late - now at equivalently bad levels as we saw in August of last year's 'swoon', we have often seen 'survey-based' data provide some fillip to the hard-data deterioration.

Hope and faith that recovery is just around the corner provides just enough to hang new all-time high stock prices on. But... in the last two weeks, the surprises from US business cycle and survey-based indicators have plunged. In fact they have dropped at a pace only matched by 2011's Q2 slump that required global coordinated central bank intervention to save it.

Perhaps even more interesting from the chart below, is the lower highs being made in these indicators of the business cycle - which confirm the fading reality of any spillover-effect from QE. Read More

04.24.13- Global Economy Still at Risk, Just Look at the Jobs Picture
George Leong

Consistent jobs growth remains an issue here in the U.S.

We also know that the lack of jobs is a worldwide problem that is only made worse by the world's growing population and the stalling global economy.

The reasoning behind this worldwide jobs problem is simple.

Jobs are created when the economy expands, which drives the need for more workers. Of course, modern technology, industrial efficiencies, and the increased use of robots all combine to pressure jobs growth, and I expect this pressure to continue. Read More

04.23.13- News Flash: Economists Clueless
John Rubino

Economist Robert J. Samuelson just published an unintentionally funny article in Capital Journal on the bemusement today's economists feel after being wrong about virtually everything for the past decade.

The International Monetary Fund recently held a conference that should concern most people despite its arcane subject – "Rethinking Macro Policy II." Macroeconomics is the study of the entire economy, as opposed to the examination of individual markets ("microeconomics"). The question is how much "macro" policies can produce and protect prosperity. Before the 2008-09 financial crisis, there was great confidence that they could. Now, with 38 million unemployed in Europe and the United States – and recoveries that are feeble or nonexistent – macroeconomics is in disarray and disrepute. Read More

04.22.13- Why the Western Banking Cartel's Gold and Silver Price Slam Will Backfire – And How You Can Protect Yourself from the Inevitable Blowback
JS Kim

Currently it seems as if the disinformation about the reasons why gold and silver paper prices have fallen so quickly seem to outnumber the real reasons at least 10 to 1 in the mass media and though there have been some solid commentaries already regarding the real reasons why gold and silver paper prices have fallen (that have zero to do with the rubbish the mass media is selling the public), I feel that one can never have enough articles that try to disseminate the truth, especially when the truth is being bullied into submission by those with captive platforms from which to sell their fake agendas. Thus, in this article, I will discuss the truth about the current banker executed gold/silver raid and why it will ultimately FAIL. Read More

04.20.13- Weekend Rant: Gold Doesn't Pay a Dividend... But It Doesn't Commit Fraud, Steal Depositor Funds, Lie Under Oath, etc.
Graham Summers

The mainstream media is rife with investment “experts” who missed the 10- year bull market in Gold and Silver. These guys are now high fiving about Gold’s drop, like they’re geniuses for avoiding precious metals in the past. Gold doesn’t produce cash flows or pay a dividend, it the manta for these folks. Too bad for them Gold has outperformed stocks on both a 10 year AND a 50 year basis. There are of course exceptions to this in the form of investing geniuses who use compounding to crush the markets… but given that most money managers don’t beat the market and Gold does… one has to ponder these things. Read More

04.19.13- Economic Indicators Not So Contained As Politicians Pretend
Gold Silver Worlds

What is the consistent message that our politicians keep on conveying? Right, everything is contained. The problem arises when politicians talk about economy they simply look at it differently.

In the past couple of weeks there has been an accumulation of worrying economic indicators, to say the least. This short article provides an overview. Is it a coincidence that gold and silver crashed, just like in the summer of 2008 (a couple of months before the Lehman collapse)?

Telegraph writes: “A growing trend towards excessive risk-taking and lack of action to repair broken bank balance sheets could trigger a "chronic" new phase in the financial crisis, the International Monetary Fund has warned.” Read More

04.18.13- A colossal (and temporary) buying opportunity
Tim Price

Back up the Truck!

[Editor's note: Tim Price, Director of Investment at PFP Wealth Management and frequent Sovereign Man contributor is filling in while Simon is viewing agricultural property today.]

These are certainly days of miracle and wonder. Well, of absurd and extraordinary financial experimentation, at any rate. 

Last week, for example, saw the Bank of Japan abandon any last pretense of restraint and topple headfirst into a gigantic pile of monetary cocaine. 

The scale of the policy is daunting: the Bank of Japan intends to double the country’s monetary base over two years via the aggressive purchase of long term bonds. Read More

04.17.13- This Gold Slam is a Massive Wealth Transfer from Our Pockets to the Banks
Chris Martenson

And likely signals a big downdraft in the stock market, too

I am very disappointed by, but not surprised at, the latest transfer of weath to the bankers from everyone else.  The most recent gold bear raid has vastly enriched the bullion bankers, once again, at the expense of everyone trying to protect their wealth from global central bank money printing.

The central plank of Bernanke's magic recovery plan has been to get everybody back borrowing, spending, and "investing" in stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.  But not equally so - he has been instrumental in distorting the landscape towards risk assets and away from safe harbors. Read More

04.16.13- How The Criminal Banking Cartel Is Destroying America
John Titus

There are two very big and related clues as to the identity of the anonymous experts behind whose opinions U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder hides whenever explaining away his failure to prosecute big banks on the basis of their “systemic importance.”

The first, noted in an article last week by Golem XIV, is a list of international banks that parade under the rather obvious label of “Globally Systemically Important Financial Institutions,” or G-SIFIs. There are 28 banks in total, 9 of them headquartered in the U.S.: Read More

04.15.13- How Obama Surrendered Sovereignty To The Criminal Banking Cartel
John Titus

(Editor's Note: I placed this exposé in the Financial Markets Forum because, if you want to know what's wrong with the economy, simply look to the Grifters who are running the show. - JSB)

Obama and the Criminal International Banking Cartel

In Bailout, we showed over and over how criminal frauds perpetrated by huge banks victimized Main Street on a colossal scale. One theme throughout the movie is that bailouts are, in their essence, a perversion of the Rule of Law that can only grow like a cancer. Read More

04.13.13- The Fleecing Has Only Begun
Andy Sutton

The story broke from nowhere and caught many off guard. To others it was the manifestation of previously unspoken fears. It was, and is, by far the biggest story of 2013, the decade, and quite possibly the millennium. It was the crossing of another Rubicon. For years and decades, the financial piranhas had wandered around the edges, nibbling a little here and a little there. Inflation, bailouts, and other monetary mischief had already eroded the value of most currencies. But never before had they actually made the boldest of moves – to steal what were always considered to be the most liquid and secure of funds – bank deposits. In a weekend, the liquid became the illiquid and the secure became the repossessed. Hey, let's not split hairs here, the money was stolen. The media dutifully came up with another new buzzword – the 'bail-in'. Talk about putting a positive spin on outright theft. Read More

04.12.13- A Tipping Point In The Financial System
Gary Christenson

Cyprus and So Much More Happened. So What?

Insiders moved billions of Euros out of Cyprus banks before the bank holiday and after the banks closed, via branches in London and Russia.

Confiscating depositor money is planned for future European bank failures, and Canada, the United States, and New Zealand have similar plans. Those plans may, or may not, be executed.

Confidence in the safety of banks has been drastically reduced because people realized that deposits in a bank are liabilities, NOT as safe as expected, and easily confiscated. Read More

04.11.13- Kyle Bass Is "Perplexed" At Gold's Low Price
Tyler Durden

"The stress is beginning to show," Kyle Bass warns during a wide-ranging interview with Bloomberg TV. "The beginning of the end," is here for Japanese government bonds as he notes that while quantitiavely it is clear they are insolvent, "the qualitative perception of participants is changing." But away from Japan specifically, there is a lot more on the Texan's mind.

"Things go from perfectly stable to completely unstable," very quickly; even more so after 20 years of exponential debt build-up and Keynesian cover-ups; and it is this that he warns complacent investors that it is "really important to think about the capital at risk in your strategy." Read More

04.10.13- Thievery in Cyprus Means Pain in Spain
Dan Amoss

Ignore the latest Justin Bieber antics! Pay no attention to the continuous CNBC cheerleading for the S&P 500. Wake up and smell the coffee brewing in Cyprus! You'll be ahead of the investing public, currently tranquilized by the belief that risky assets will never fall again with Ben Bernanke in charge.

This brewing Cyprus issue is far bigger than the market believes…

By now you probably know about the "deposit tax" the EU and IMF imposed on Cyprus. It was a condition of a bailout loan. Politicians in northern Europe, including German Chancellor Merkel, need to convince the voting public that bailouts won't cost them a penny (fat chance). Read More

04.09.13- On the Eve of Money Revolt in the USA
Ray Blanco

The breakout headliner issue in 1978 was 'Tax Revolt'. A Time Magazine cover showed Howard Jarvis shaking his fist under that headline. Proposition 13 time. Then? The Tax Revolt went, as we would now say, viral. Citizen discontent — and political activism — against high tax rates turned into a national, and then international, phenomenon.

The revolt was a major factor in toppling President Carter. It led the US top income tax rate to collapse from 70% to 28%. Then, rates worldwide cascaded down and global prosperity rapidly soared. Will the 21st century equivalent be a 'Money Revolt'?

A recent, striking, piece in the FT Magazine, 'Is the dollar as good as gold?' commented sympathetically on the recent near-passage of a gold commission bill by the Virginia legislature. Columnist Gillian Tett quotes Prof. Alan Blinder about the 'inchoate rage' Americans are feeling about, specifically, a 'fickle' monetary policy. Read More

04.08.13- The Theology of Inflation
John Mauldin

We begin this week with a simple pop quiz. Is inflation good or bad? Answer quickly.  I'm sorry – your answer is wrong. Or rather, we can't know if your answer is right or wrong because we are not sure what is meant by the question. We may think we know – and we may be right – but we can't be sure, because the word inflation has different meanings for different people in different places and different times. In fact, even the same people in the same place and time can't agree on a precise definition.

This is in part because most of us still think of economics as a science akin to physics or mathematics. Inflation is one way economists attempt to measure things. Read More

04.06.13- The Financial Situation in Cyprus and the End of the Euro
Mark Nestmann

Over the last few weeks, I’ve watched in horror as the financial situation in Cyprus goes from bad to worse.

Cyprus banks have now reopened after a 12-day “bank holiday.” But, depositors can’t simply close their accounts and move their funds elsewhere. In exchange for a €10 billion bailout from the European Central Bank, Cyprus has imposed restrictions on withdrawals to prevent capital flight. Bank customers can withdraw no more than €1,000 daily from their accounts. That’s for insured deposits under €100,000. Larger depositors with accounts over €100,000 stand to lose as much as 60% of their assets. What’s worse, those depositors who went to the trouble of choosing a safe, highly-liquid bank in Cyprus in which to invest face the same losses and withdrawal restrictions as the larger commercial banks that needed a bailout.Read More

04.05.13- The Assault On Gold
Paul Craig Roberts

For Americans, financial and economic Armageddon might be close at hand. The evidence for this conclusion is the concerted effort by the Federal Reserve and its dependent financial institutions to scare people away from gold and silver by driving down their prices.

When gold prices hit $1,917.50 an ounce on August 23, 2011, a gain of more than $500 an ounce in less than 8 months, capping a rise over a decade from $272 at the end of December 2000, the Federal Reserve panicked. With the US dollar losing value so rapidly compared to the world standard for money, the Federal Reserve's policy of printing $1 trillion annually in order to support the impaired balance sheets of banks and to finance the federal deficit was placed in danger. Who could believe the dollar's exchange rate in relation to other currencies when the dollar was collapsing in value in relation to gold and silver. Read More

04.04.13- All Banks Are Bankrupt
Doug Casey

Doug Casey Interviewed by Louis James, Editor, International Speculator

L: Doug, there is considerable disagreement over the significance of the Cyprus crisis. A lot of people are saying that it's just a flash in the pan; Cyprus is a small country, far off, and doesn't really matter. Other people are saying it's very significant. The European Central Bank took unprecedented steps. What do you think?

Doug: I think this could be the spark that ignites the keg of dynamite under the current financial system. All banks, all around the world, are bankrupt, and have been for years. That's because all the world's banks run on a fractional reserve basis. Read More

04.03.13- A Layman's Guide to the
Rules and Laws of Finance and Investment

R.E.McMaster

Editor's note: There is an old saying that not all that glitters is gold -- as in the gold coins many of you have held in your hands. There is another kind of gold that inhabits the practical wisdom of the ages. In today's "go-get-'em," "read-it-and-forget-it" world of everyday web browsing, it can be a challenge to separate the run of the mill from the meaningful. It is with that thought in mind we offer this compendium of the rules and laws of finance and investment by long-time market analyst R.E. McMaster. Formerly the writer/editor of the widely-circulated The Reaper newsletter, McMaster is known for his occasional forays into the realm of economic philosophy and history. I think you will agree with me that these skillfully consensed descriptions are indeed meaningful -- a wellspring of knowledge worth reading, re-reading and passing along to friends and family, especially the kids and grandkids. Read More

04.02.13- Reading the Dow vs. Gold Ratio, Part I
Addison Wiggin

'I hate seeing myself misquoted, misinterpreted or just misunderstood,' says our friend Fusion IQ chief and Big Picture blogger Barry Ritholtz. We can relate, given the reaction we get when we start talking about Treasuries, why we hate them and why we own them anyway.

In February, Barry suggested that the long ugly bear market in stocks that began with the bursting of the tech bubble in 2000 is closer to the end than the beginning. His analogy was a baseball game in the seventh or eighth inning. Soon he found himself forced to write, in bold and all caps that we've faithfully preserved here: 'I DO NOT KNOW IF IT'S OVER.'

Indeed. Read More

04.01.13- Jim Willie's self-described "Most Important Article Ever"
Jim Willie

Editor Note: The following MUST READ Hat Trick Letter is Jim Willie’s self-described “Most Important Article Ever“, following Friday’s release of Willie’s first audio interview on Cyprus.

An unstoppable sequence of events has been put into motion finally. The pressure has been building for months. Some themes are plainly evident, except to those who wear rose colored glasses in the US Dome of Perception. The USTreasury Bond will be brought home to the US and British banks, where it will choke its bankers, then be devalued for survival reasons, after a painful isolation. The Chinese and Russians will conspire to finance the Eurasian Trade Zone corridor foundation with USTBonds, held in reserve, put to usage. The British will play a very unusual role, selling out the United States in order to be squires to the Eastern Duo. Read More

03.30.13- Jim Rogers Warns: "You Better Run for the Hills!"
Mac Slavo

Well known investor Jim Rogers, who made his fortune during the 1970′s crisis by investing in commodities like precious metals, has long-warned about the calamity faced by, not just America, but the world as a whole.

Rogers understands that we are living in perilous times, and that actions by governments, finance ministers and officials across the globe have left us on the brink of a very serious collapse that will end with currency turmoil, food shortages, panic, social unrest and a total shakedown of average citizens. Now, with Europe having taken the unprecedented step of seizing private funds of depositors, Rogers suggest that time is running short and that those with the means to do so should get ready for the worst: Read More

03.29.13- Puru Saxena: Hong Kong Is Ready for a Bust; "This Is Going to End Very Very Badly"
Financial Sense Online

Puru Saxena is an investment adviser for individual and corporate clients in Hong Kong as well as a widely-cited expert and regular guest on CNN, BBC, CNBC, and Bloomberg. In the following recent interview with Financial Sense Newshour, he argues that Hong Kong, as well as China, is ready for a massive real estate bust and recession.

From your perspective, living in Hong Kong and having been involved in the real estate market, is China facing a real estate bubble similar to what we faced in the U.S.?

"I was actively involved in the real estate sector here in Hong Kong but recently I've liquidated all my positions and have zero exposure to property now in Hong Kong.Read More

03.28.13- A Sane Person Ought to Consider These Important Lessons
Simon Black

One would think that certain truths are obvious by now

It should be obvious, for example, that there are consequences to living beyond your means.

It should be obvious that there are consequences to a long history of spending unsustainably and accumulating mountains of debt.

And it should be obvious that there are consequences to dealing with such problems by spending more and accumulating even more debt.

It should be obvious. But it’s not. Read More

03.27.13- Euro Crisis is Just Beginning, Global Collapse is Coming
Storm Clouds Gathering

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03.26.13- Available
Jim Quinn

Six months ago I wrote an article called Are You Seeing What I'm Seeing?, describing my observations while traveling along Ridge Pike in Montgomery County, PA and motoring to my local Lowes store on a Saturday.

My observations were in conflict with the storyline portrayed by the mainstream media pundits, Ivy League PhD economists, Washington politicians, and Wall Street shills.

It is clear now that I must have been wrong. No more proof is needed than the fact the Dow has gone up 1,500 points, or 11%, since I wrote the article.

Everyone knows the stock market reflects the true health of the nation – multi-millionaire Jim Cramer and his millionaire CNBC talking head cohorts tell me so. Ignore the fact that the bottom 80% only own 5% of the financial assets in this country and are not benefitted by the stock market in any way. Read More

03.25.13- I Moved my Money Out of the Stock Market-Laurence Kotlikoff
Greg Hunter

In January, Economist Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff said he was "worried" that the economy was reaching "a real threatening point."  The Cyprus banking crisis hit the Globe last week.  Now, when asked if he was still "worried," he replied, "This morning, I moved my money out of the stock market  . . . because I'm worried about Cyprus."  Dr. Kotlikoff explained his dire concern by saying, "The rich people are already running on these banks. That's been going on for a year. . . . The everyday working people could start visibly running on these banks, and that could spread like wildfire throughout Southern Europe and Northern Europe and into the U.S. because we have a banking system that's built to fail." Read More

03.23.13- Perhaps We Are All Cyprus Now
Daily Bell

Forget Cyprus, Nobody Is Stealing from Depositors More than Bernanke ... After the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its easy money policy Wednesday, Chairman Ben Bernanke was asked whether the U.S. would ever think of taxing bank depositors as Cyprus has done. He said that was very unlikely but Jim Rickards, senior managing director of Tangent Capital Partners, says the Fed already has its hands in depositors' pockets. – Daily Ticker

Dominant Social Theme: Cyprus is "highway robbery."

Free-Market Analysis: This article makes the point that while the breast-beating continues over the Cyprus "haircut," the reality is that investors are getting fleeced throughout the world and especially in the United States. Read More

03.22.13- Impact Imminent?
Bruce Krasting

Zero Hedge has the latest Cyprus update – There is no parliamentary support in Cyprus for any bail-in deal. Tyler Durden begs the question:

Neither we, nor anyone else, has any idea what comes now.

The folks at FTAlphaville have some thoughts on the state of play:

A bank run spreading to Spain looks a non-starter in the short term.

The risk of any wider bank run looks pretty small so far, with market reaction relatively benign.

I’ve been following the Press coverage of Cyprus, the talking heads are saying that Cyprus is a manageable issue. Nothing to worry about at all. Read More

03.21.13- Bond crash dead ahead: tick, tick ... boom!
Paul B. Farrell,

SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — The latest InvestmentNews cover is so powerful you can actually hear sirens atop a flashing neon billboard, megawarning in huge bold type: "Tick, Tick ... Boom!"

A warning: InvestmentNews wants to make damn sure its readers, the 90,000 professional financial advisers who rely on the timeliness and accuracy of every INews forecast, understand: "What will your clients' portfolios look like when the bond bomb goes off?" Get it? Not "if" but "when" that happens.

Yes, they do expect the bond bomb to explode and are publishing "a special report on the impending crisis in the bond market." Read More

03.20.13- The Government Loves Boiling Frogs
Tom Chatham

The modern day survival movement grew out of the cold war era of the 60s when nuclear war was seen as the ultimate nightmare scenario that humanity had to protect itself from. That evolved in the 70s when a host of other threats were realized. For over 40 years Americans have sought to protect themselves from nuclear war, asteroids, earth changes, solar flares, economic collapse, civil breakdown and a long list of other crises.

Those that prepared in the 70s were sure doom was only a short time away. Every year they continued to prepare and expected the event at any time. Forty years later we are edging ever closer to doom but it still has not happened yet. Read More

03.19.13- What's Supposed to Happen, and What Might Happen:
3 Baseline Scenarios

Charles Hugh Smith

What might happen: printing money and issuing propaganda lose their effectiveness.

We all know what's supposed to happen in the global economy:

We get more of everything: more stuff manufactured, more coal dug up and burned, more "aggregate demand" i.e. insatiable desire for more of everything, more innovation, more wealth, more money printed, more debt taken on to buy more stuff and more education, more tourists occupying more beaches sipping more drinks, more strip malls built, more airports expanded, more jobs created, more taxes collected-- more "growth" of everything, in every way and every day. Read More

03.18.13- When the Bears Go Running: How to Turn Short-Covering Into a Contrarian Opportunity
George Leong

Bearish traders tend to short stocks and/or the equities market. While stocks subject to short selling are viewed as negative, I often take the contrarian view, and look at these shorted stocks as a possible buying opportunity due to the short-covering possibility.

Let me explain. With short selling, a trader disliking a particular stock would short the stock by borrowing the stock from his or her broker and selling it in the market at the prevailing price. The short-seller hopes the stock falls in price. For the short-selling strategy to pan out, the short stock must drop in price so that the short-seller can buy it back at a lower price and replace the borrowed position to the registered holder. The short-seller would profit. Read More

03.16.13- Banking Big on the Singularity
Chris Sheridan

It's amazing how fast things change. Within a relatively short amount of time, ideas once inhabiting the realm of absurd, fringe, or pure fiction have now gained enough influence to draw the attention of congressional hearings, news reports, and, to my latest surprise, the front cover of a prominent research publication read by major institutions, central banks, and governments around the world.

What am I talking about? Why, none other than that far-fetched, crazy notion called "The Singularity", in which humans are left in the dust by super intelligent machines. Yes, it's crazy. And, yes, many are looking at ways to profit from it. Read More

03.15.13- Panic in Detroit
Jeff Nielson

My apologies to David Bowie for 'borrowing' the title of one of his songs for this article. However, there is no better way to encapsulate the financial emergency currently facing this bankrupt shell.

What is a "panic"? It's when people behave irrationally in a crisis, generally due to either being in a state of shock, succumbing to some form of (mindless) "herd behavior", or both. In the case of Detroit we are clearly dealing with the latter condition.

What makes Detroit such a significant case-study here is not simply its size, but rather because it is well-known that the city is (was) a one-industry town. Specifically, "Motor City" got its nickname for being the hub of the once-thriving U.S. auto industry. Read More

03.14.13- China's Debt Bomb
Chris Mayer

China seems to do everything big. It has the largest power station in the world and the longest high-speed railway line. It also has the world's largest public bathroom (which can hold over 1,000 people) and the world's largest pyramid.

So when it came to attempts to pull its floundering economy out of the muck, the Chinese went big. Economist Ben Simpfendorfer writes that China's total credit stimulus in the four years since 2009 was worth $11 trillion. "Enough to buy the world's entire oil supply for three consecutive years," Simpfendorfer writes, "even with oil prices at above $100 a barrel." Read More

03.13.13- The Young Are Going to Get Screwed by Debt: Part One
Bill Bonner

Thomas Jefferson was opposed to a 'national debt'. He thought it was immoral that one generation should spend on credit, forcing the next generation to pay the bill.

Jefferson knew what a burden debt could be - especially when it is debt for spending he didn't enjoy himself. He had inherited debts from his father-in-law. You've heard of 'something for nothing'? On the flip side is a second condition as disagreeable as the first is pleasant: nothing for something. Read More

03.12.13- A Moment of Clarity
Ted Butler

Every once in a while, someone utters a statement that suddenly galvanizes the issue at hand. In the fable "The Emperor's New Clothes," Hans Christian Andersen tells of two weavers who convince the emperor that their special clothing for him is invisible only to those unworthy. When the emperor parades in front of his subjects wearing the special clothing, a child cries out the obvious, "he isn't wearing any clothes at all." That's the first thing that came to my mind when I read of the US Attorney General's words before a Senate hearing this week. Read More

03.11.13- What Happens if U.S. Doesn't Cut Spending?
Greg Hunter

Everybody is talking about the cuts in government spending with the $85 billion in forced spending cuts in military and social programs.  $85 billion amounts to little more than a 2% cut in $3.8 trillion (or $3,800 billion) in federal spending per year.  Didn't most working Americans just suffer a 2% pay cut with the expiration of the Social Security tax holiday?  How many times have we heard that thousands of government jobs will be lost to sequestration?  The so-called Great Recession destroyed at least 8 million private sector jobs, and if you count the underemployed and discouraged workers, it's easily 23 million. Read More

03.09.13- Reality Check: The Dow Jones Industrial Average vs. Bananas
Simon Black

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the key benchmarks of the US stock market, has soundly surpassed its all-time high. And most of the investing world is toasting their collective success and celebrating the recovery.

It's a funny thing, really. Most investors only think in terms of 'nominal' numbers, i.e. Dow 14,000+ is 40% higher than Dow 10,000 (back in November 2009). But few think in terms of 'real' numbers... inflation-adjusted averages.

Everyone knows that inflation exists. We can all look back on prices from the past and realize instantly how much more expensive things have become. Conversely, though, most people don't think about the stock market like this. Read More

03.08.13- What's Really Behind the Dow's Record High
George Leong

The Dow Jones Industrial Average eclipsed a new record on Tuesday, when the blue-chip index surged to a new all-time record high of 14,261.46, easily blowing away the previous mark of 14,164.53 achieved on October 9, 2007. The move will be recorded as a major point in the evolution of the stock market, which was trading just above 8,000 a few years back, prior to the most recent bull market wave that led the index to its record high.

While I like records, I really kind of wonder if the Dow is deserving of it. Big U.S. companies are faring better, but the growth is nowhere close to what we saw prior to the Great Recession. The reality is that the pumped-up stock market may have a lot to do with the liquidity that is being pumped into the monetary system. Read More

03.07.13- When Is It Okay to Steal a Cow?
Jeff Tucker

It’s bitter cold outside and the winter storm has lasted for days. The snow is two feet high and getting worse. It’s 1872 and you are living in a dugout, living off small pieces of bread and potatoes, unsure when the weather will settle down. You also have a baby to feed.

Curious about what it looks like outside, you finally manage to pry open the front door. Off in the distance you see what appears to be a herd of cattle. But they are not moving. Maybe they are dead, frozen as anything would be. But then why are they standing?

Fearing starvation and longing for the taste of beef, or maybe even fresh milk, you decide to take the risk and creep out into the weather. The herd is perhaps 100 yards away. As you get closer, they do not run. They seem stuck in place. You notice that there is steam coming out of their nostrils, so they are not dead. Read More

03.06.13- The Dow Hits An All-Time High! Translation – A Bubble Is Always Biggest Right Before It Bursts
Michael Snyder

Reckless money printing by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has pumped up the Dow to a brand new all-time high.  So what comes next?  Will the Dow go even higher?  Hopefully it will.  In fact, it would be great if the Dow was able to hit 15,000 before it finally came crashing down.  That would give all of us some more time to prepare for the nightmarish economic crisis that is rapidly approaching.  As you will see below, the U.S. economy is in far, far worse shape than it was the last time the Dow reached a record high back in 2007.  In addition, all of the long-term trends that are ripping our economy to shreds just continue to get even worse and our debt just continues to explode.  Unfortunately, the Dow has become completely divorced from economic reality in recent years because of Fed manipulation.  All of this funny money that the Federal Reserve has been cranking out has made the wealthy even wealthier, but this bubble will not last for too much longer. Read More

03.05.13- Why Deflation Wins!
Szandor Blestman

If you limit your choices only to what seems possible or reasonable, you disconnect yourself from what you truly want, and all that is left is a compromise. - Robert Fritz

Yesterday I discussed the possibility that the US economy has slipped into a deflationary morass and I seemed to have touched a nerve. As a result I want to continue discussing the idea that deflation, not inflation, now has the upper hand in the US economy. We all know that the Fed has been easing since 2009, and it recently raised the bar to include US $85 billion/month in bond purchases. As a result the Fed balance sheet is now filled with US $3.078 trillion in assets of dubious quality. I maintain that little or none of that liquidity has filtered out into the real economy, you and I, and as proof I told you to look at this chart of the Velocity of Money: Read More

03.04.13- Hidden Secrets of Money -
Currency Vs Money

Mike Maloney

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03.02.13- The Downward Spiral
John Aziz

There was once a rough and logical correlation between the level of government borrowing, and the rate of interest on government debt.

If the government borrowed more money, the cost of borrowing rose and the private market’s appetite for government debt fell.

But that correlation totally broke down around the year 2000

During the George W. Bush Presidency we saw interest rates remain low, even while borrowing spiked. And during the post-Bush recession we saw borrowing spike to a 30-year high while interest rates crawled lower. During the Obama Presidency, borrowing has inched downward but only to Bush-era levels, and rates have slunk ever lower. Read More

03.01.13- My Two Cents
Andy Sutton

We got a rare moment today – it's what I'm going to call a truth nugget. Anyone who reads this column or any one of several hundred others already knows this, but as you all well know there is nothing to see until the mainstream press declares it to be so. Today we were finally told that no, there will be no exit from the not-so-USFed's quantitative easing program. Ever. Like I said before, this is no revelation; anyone with even the slightest of brainwaves could easily figure this out without the watchful, benevolent guidance of CNBC.

Please don't tell us you're going to make us endure another one of those 'the fed is evil' type columns? Nope. Read More

02.28.13- The Utter Fragility Of The Eurozone: Even Democracy Is A Threat
Wolf Richter

“I’m appalled that two clowns have won,” said Peer Steinbrück about the Italian election, referring to former comedian, now hot politician, Beppe Grillo, head of the 5 Star movement, and former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi. One of them is “a professional clown who doesn’t mind being called that,” he explained; the other is “a clown with special testosterone boost.”

It was not the first time that Steinbrück, SPD’s candidate to knock almighty Chancellor Angela Merkel from her perch this year, put his foot into his mouth. His countrymen grinned and gnashed their teeth at the same time. In Italy, it caused a media tornado. “My impression is that two populists won,” he added, populists being even worse in Eurozone politics than clowns. Read More

02.27.13- How Japanese Hyperinflation Could Turn The Dollar Into Toilet Paper
Vincent Fernando

If you boil water without releasing any steam everything looks perfectly calm... until the entire pot explodes.

That's the huge risk with Japan's gargantuan debt load right now.

Frequently billed as a highly stable country, Japan's dark secret is that it should have exploded into a hyper-inflationary death spiral years ago.

Worse yet, it could easily take the U.S. financial system and U.S. dollar down with it. That's because the U.S. depends on Japan to fund its own debt binge. Read More

02.26.13- If You Ask The Right Questions You Might Find The Right Answers
Mark J. Grant

"Very few beings really seek knowledge in this world. Mortal or immortal, few really ask. On the contrary, they try to wring from the unknown the answers they have already shaped in their own minds -- justifications, confirmations, forms of consolation without which they can't go on. To really ask is to open the door to the whirlwind. The answer may annihilate the question and the questioner."-Anne Rice

One of the reasons mistakes are made, and often serious mistakes, are because the right questions are not asked. If you ask the wrong questions then the answers, even if answered correctly, will lead you to the wrong conclusions. What we are seeing in Italy this morning is a good example of asking and answering the small questions when the larger questions are vastly more important. Read More

02.25.13- How the End of Empire comes, not with a bang, but with a whimper
Tim Price

When Moody’s downgraded the UK’s sovereign credit rating last week it was something of an anti-climax.

The ratings agencies long ago lost what little credibility they ever had. Being downgraded by Moody’s is like being called a moron by a moron; ask anyone who has ever set foot in a bond dealing room– the ratings agencies are always behind the curve.

The UK has been on the skids, credit-wise, for years. Britain’s debt to GDP has gone through the roof. We, and generations to come, will be left with the reckoning. Read More

02.23.13- The Big Dogs On Wall Street Are Starting To Get Very Nervous
Michael Snyder

Why are some of the biggest names in the corporate world unloading stock like there is no tomorrow, and why are some of the most prominent investors on Wall Street loudly warning about the possibility of a market crash?  Should we be alarmed that the big dogs on Wall Street are starting to get very nervous?  In a previous article, I got very excited about a report that indicated that corporate insiders were selling nine times more of their own shares than they were buying. Insider sales of stock have outnumbered insider purchases of stock by a ratio of twelve to one over the past three months.  That is highly unusual.  And right now some of the most respected investors in the financial world are ringing the alarm bells. Read More




02.22.13- Trade Like a 16-Year Old
Douglas French

Success can come at an early age. That might be because the youth are not saddled by the biases and emotional baggage carried by the old.

"I make over 64% per year on my investments," says Rachel Fox in the fifth episode of her video series, "Fox on Stocks." And she's not keeping her success a secret. She's willing to tell you how she does it.

Fox is a 16-year old stock picking phenom, as Eric Fry alerted us last week in The Daily Reckoning. A compulsive day-trader using technical analysis, she's already finished high school, so she can just wake up and trade. Read More

02.21.13- Billionaires Dumping Stocks, Economist Knows Why
Newsmax Wires

Despite the 6.5% stock market rally over the last three months, a handful of billionaires are quietly dumping their American stocks . . . and fast.

Warren Buffett, who has been a cheerleader for U.S. stocks for quite some time, is dumping shares at an alarming rate. He recently complained of “disappointing performance” in dyed-in-the-wool American companies like Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and Kraft Foods.

In the latest filing for Buffett’s holding company Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has been drastically reducing his exposure to stocks that depend on consumer purchasing habits. Berkshire sold roughly 19 million shares of Johnson & Johnson, and reduced his overall stake in “consumer product stocks” by 21%. Read More

02.20.13- Why a banking insider says "it's time to be very worried"
Simon Black

Apparently the Latino version of Jusin Beiber is in town.

I have no idea who this kid is, but as I was walking into the W Hotel in Santiago, Chile last night for a meeting, there were hundreds and hundreds of adoring prepubescent girls lining the metal cordon that had been set up outside of the building.

Then he walked outside, flanked by hotel security. He couldn’t have been more than fifteen, a bit pimply-faced and gangling at that awkward age. But the crowd couldn’t have cared less. The screaming persisted for ten minutes… just like those old black and white reels of teenage girls losing their minds at Beatles concerts fifty years ago. Read More

02.19.13- Gangster Bankers:
Too Big to Jail

Matt Taibbi

How HSBC hooked up with drug traffickers and terrorists. And got away with it.

The deal was announced quietly, just before the holidays, almost like the government was hoping people were too busy hanging stockings by the fireplace to notice. Flooring politicians, lawyers and investigators all over the world, the U.S. Justice Department granted a total walk to executives of the British-based bank HSBC for the largest drug-and-terrorism money-laundering case ever. Yes, they issued a fine – $1.9 billion, or about five weeks' profit – but they didn't extract so much as one dollar or one day in jail from any individual, despite a decade of stupefying abuses. Read More

02.18.13- Retail Apocalypse: Why Are Major Retail Chains All Over America Collapsing?
Michael Snyder

If the economy is improving, then why are many of the largest retail chains in America closing hundreds of stores?  When I was growing up, Sears, J.C. Penney, Best Buy and RadioShack were all considered to be unstoppable retail powerhouses.

But now it is being projected that all of them will close hundreds of stores before the end of 2013.  Even Wal-Mart is running into problems.  A recent internal Wal-Mart memo that was leaked to Bloomberg described February sales as a "total disaster".  So why is this happening?  Why are major retail chains all over America collapsing?  Is the "retail apocalypse" upon us? Read More

02.16.13- Weekend Rant: Don't Get Suckered Into The "Austerity" Argument
Byron King

“Recovery Shows a Soft Spot,” declared a banner headline of a recent edition of the Wall Street Journal. “Soft spot” pretty much sums up the Journal’s explanation for a reported 0.1% contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter of 2012.

Viewing things from further west on 8th Avenue and 41st Street, The New York Times spun the same story differently, toward its chronic, Krugman-esque view of trickle-down government. The Times encapsulated the tale of a 0.1% GDP decline in a front-page headline, declaring that “Growth Halted in 4th Quarter on U.S. Cuts.” Read More

02.15.13- Republican Party Splitting In TWO – 3rd Party Rising for 2016
Martin Armstrong

Economic Conservatives have lost their representation. There is only the Marxist left and the Religious Right that care more about abortion and gay rights than the economic survival of themselves and their posterity. Our computer has been warning that there will be a huge spike in Third Party activity for 2016. There is a high risk that the Republican Party will split. Look at the chart below carefully. You will see two previous big Third Party spikes. This is what is coming in 2016 and it is being driving by the impractical rise in taxation mixed with the decline in economic growth.

There is a middle ground – the economic conservatives who have lost their voice. They were the people who put Reagan in office. But the Republican Party began in the early 1980′s to court the Religious Right. Read More

02.14.13- Catalyst Watch, Part 1: CyberWar
John Rubino

When the technology of warfare changes, so does everything else. State-of-the-art roads and siege engines gave the Roman Empire control of the western world two millennia ago. The long bow won some notable battles for England in the Hundred-Year War. Machine guns opened pretty much the whole world to European imperialists in the 1800s. And so it has gone, through tanks, jet fighters, and nuclear weapons.

But where previous breakthroughs made it easier to destroy things and kill people, the newest super-weapons don't blow things up, at least not directly. They disrupt information systems, without warning and frequently without betraying the source of the attack. Drawing on recent news accounts along with America the Vulnerable, a terrifying book written by former National Security Agency official Joel Brenner, here's the cyberwar story in a nutshell: Read More

02.13.13- Economic Collapse and the False Dichotomy of Mainstream vs. Doomers
Daniel Amerman CFA

Perhaps the single greatest danger facing investors over the long term is to be investing for the wrong paradigm. That may sound a little theoretical, but we have a very clear and quite dangerous real-world example going on in front of us right now, which is the false dichotomy between the "Mainstream" and the "Gloom & Doomers".

The way it is too-often presented is that most people in the investment community fall into one of two groups. There is group (A), for those who are for the most part secure in the comfortable Mainstream. They understand that the financial world has some real issues and that there may be some bumps in the road, but believe that investments over the long-term future will perform pretty much the way they did in the latter half of the 20th century. And because there is a high degree of confidence among mainstream experts that this will be the case, the assertion is that people can safely invest their life savings based on this assumption. Read More

02.12.13- Trouble Coming to Paradise
Gorden T Long

The Macro Indicators are signaling there is potential trouble coming to paradise.

Goldman Sachs points out in a recent study that there is a remarkably strong correlation which has emerged as a result of global central bank policy initiatives. The steely eyed Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge points out:


We have noted the odd cyclicality in macro data (and its leading effect on the market) and it seems Goldman Sachs has also noticed that something is different this time. For 15 years, the seasonal patterns in Goldman's macro index have been mild to totally negligible; but since 2009, something changed. Read More

02.11.13- This Is It!: China Surpasses U.S. As Number One Global Trading Power
Brandon Smith

Back in 2008, at the onset of the derivatives and credit collapse, I wrote several economic editorials discussing what I saw as the single most vital trend in the global fiscal system, and how it would cause a disastrous upheaval that would leave the U.S. and the dollar financially sunk.  This trend, which seemed to take serious root in 2005, was the massive shift by China from an export dependent source of cheap manufacturing and labor, into a moderate exporter, and consumer hub, and currency powerhouse.  In my view at the time, the evidence suggested that China was positioning itself to decouple from its dependence on U.S. markets and the dollar.  I was, of course, attacked as a "doom monger" and "conspiracy theorist".  Five years later, the critics have changed their tune…Read More

02.09.13- 10 Immutable Laws Of Money
Lance Roberts

Money – we all want it, but few of us are willing to sacrifice to get it. Those that have it generally don't understand it, and those that don't have it come up with excuses why they can't get it. If this sounds confusing – it is.

For all that we have accomplished in the United States in the last 200+ years we have failed miserably at teaching our children the basics of money management. I am not talking about stock and bond portfolios but rather the basics of spending less than you make, understanding of credit, and how to balance a check a book.

We are inundated daily with credit card commercials that show how great life can be – just charge it. We are enticed to buy things that we don't really need though the use of zero percent financing – but only while it lasts. We are motivated to consume anything and everything in pursuit of the American dream but no one ever talks about the consequences of our actions. Read More

02.08.13- Time to Choose
Adam Taggart

Whether you're aware of it or not, a great battle is being waged around us.

It is a war of two opposing narratives. Regarding the future of our economy and our standard of living.

The dominant story, championed by flotillas of press releases and parading talking heads, tells an inspiring tale of recovery and return to growth. 

The other side, less visible but with a full armament of high-caliber data, tells a very different story. One of growing instability, downside risk, and inequality. Read More

02.07.13- Do Wall Street Insiders Expect Something Really BIG To Happen Very Soon?
Michael Snyder

Why are corporate insiders dumping huge numbers of shares in their own companies right now?  Why are some very large investors suddenly making gigantic bets that the stock market will crash at some point in the next 60 days?  Do Wall Street insiders expect something really BIG to happen very soon?  Do they know something that we do not know? What you are about to read below is startling.

Every time that the market has fallen in recent years, insiders have been able to get out ahead of time.  David Coleman of the Vickers Weekly Insider report recently noted that Wall Street insiders have shown "a remarkable ability of late to identify both market peaks and troughs".  That is why it is so alarming that corporate insiders are selling nine times as many shares as they are buying right now. Read More

02.06.13- "Brace For A Stock Market Accident", GLG Chief Investment Officer Warns
Jamil Baz

Profits and leverage are locked in a deadly embrace

There is a time-honoured tradition in statistics: whipping the data until they confess. Bullish and bearish equity analysts are equally guilty of this practice.

It would seem that statistical conclusions are merely an ex-post justification of a long-held prior belief about equity markets being cheap or overpriced. Clearly, consensus, notably among sellside analysts, is bullish. I present the bullish view before discussing a bearish counterpoint. Read More

02.05.13- QE for Dummies
Chris Martenson, PhD

Understanding the most outlandish monetary experiment ever conducted

A PeakProsperity.com reader recently lamented:

I have been trying to get my head around the mechanism of QE. Not being an economist or experienced investor I don't really understand a lot of the jargon. The usual simple definition of QE as "thin air money printing" does not satisfy my need for understanding either. Have hunted for a description of QE for dummies that leaves me feeling like I get it, but with no luck. My difficulty is in understanding how thin air money gets into circulation. Read More

02.04.13- Adding Perspective To The Dollar
Robert M. Williams

Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him power. - Abraham Lincoln (1809 - 1865)

(Editor's Note: This was an instance of the pot calling itself black. Apparantly Lincoln realized that he was morally bankrupt and had no character what-so-ever)

I go back almost six decades and that allows me to compare what I experience now with things I experienced fifty years ago. In the countries I travel in it takes close to US $100 to fill up a gas tank. By comparison I seem to recall that in 1970 I spent US $5.00 to do the deed. I also seem to recall that governments talked about "millions" when they discussed things, and that increased to the hundreds of millions when Viet Nam was in full bloom and Nixon took the helm. Things pretty much stayed that way until Reagan took over and then the term "billion" began to receive attention. Read More

02.02.13- As Long As We Keep Printing Money, Stocks Go Higher
Kyle Bass

View Vodeo

02.01.13- Why Isn't Gold Higher?
Rick Ackerman

My colleague and erstwhile nemesis Gonzalo Lira posed the question above in a recent essay, and it is indeed a most puzzling one.  Given that the world's central banks — joined most recently by a shockingly reckless Switzerland — are waging all-out economic war by inflating their currencies, shouldn't gold be soaring,?  In fact, prices have continued to meander between $1500 and $1700 since September of 2011, when gold topped out at $1945 after a spectacular run-up from $728 in just three years.

What could have caused the bull market to go lifeless since then, even as more and more countries appear hell-bent on devaluing their currencies to keep their exports competitive? The answer that Lira has offered is novel and engaging, but it did not persuade me, perhaps because the underlying conceit seems forced. Read More

01.31.13- Countdown to the Collapse
John Butler

On multiple fronts there appears to have been a resumption of hostilities in the global currency wars. A subtle indication of this is the recently released report, Gold, the Renminbi and the Multi-Currency Reserve System, which I believe is highly significant for two reasons: First, it demonstrates that major global actors are now keenly aware and frightened of the possibility of a major breakdown in international monetary relations. Second, it suggests that these same actors are trying to contain the growing demand for gold as an alternative reserve asset and pre-empt an uncontrolled gold remonetization. These efforts will fail. A collapse of the current, unstable global monetary equilibrium is inevitable. Recent events indicate that the countdown has begun. Read More

01.30.13- Financial Drones
Dan Denning

A few hundred words from now, I'll examine the "liquidity pyramid" that argues for loading up on gold. But between here and there, I'll amble past a recent news story, convert that story into a metaphor and then…eventually…get to my main point.

First, the news story…About two weeks ago Wired Magazine reported that a US drone strike in Pakistan had killed eight people. It was the sixth US drone strike in Pakistan in the preceding eight days, with at least 35 deaths reported. Read More

01.29.13- May 2013 –
End of the Road – John Williams

Greg Hunter

Read More

01.28.13- Bank of America issues `bond crash' alert on Fed tightening fears
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

The return of confidence and healthy growth in the US risks setting off a "bond crash" comparable to 1994 and triggering a string of upsets across the world, Bank of America has warned.

The US lender said investors face a treacherous moment as central banks start fretting about inflation and shift gears, threatening a surge in bond yields.

This happened in 1994 under Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan when yields on US 30-year Treasuries jumped 240 basis points over a nine-month span, setting off a “savage reversal of fortune in leveraged areas of fixed income markets”. Read More

01.26.13- British Economy Is WORSE than During the Great Depression
Washington's Blog

Royal Bank of Scotland Says Worst Economy Since Before Queen Victoria Was Crowned

Leading British newspaper the Telegraph reports today:

Ministers today admitted Britain is facing “very, very grave difficulties” after figures showed the economy did not grow at all in 2012.

***

Economists from the Royal Bank of Scotland said the last four years have produced the worst economic performance in a non post-war period since records started being collected in the 1830s. Read More

01.25.13- Scam complete: the US government takes a page
from Diocletian's book…

Simon Black

Early in the 4th century, Emperor Diocletian issued an infamous decree to control spiraling wages and prices in the rapidly deteriorating Roman Empire.

As part of his edict, Diocletian commanded that any merchant or customer caught violating the new price structures would be put to death.

This is an important lesson from history, and a trend that has been repeated numerous times. When nations are in terminal economic decline, governments will stop at nothing to keep the party going just a little bit longer. Read More

01.24.13- Japanese Capital Flows Shifting to USA
Martin Armstrong

The Japanese central bank announcement that it will buy about 13 trillion yen ($146 billion) in assets per month from January 2014 and set a 2 percent inflation target sounds nice, but it is more likely to stimulate a rise in interest rates than inflation.

With the geopolitical concerns rising, Japanese are not confident about the economy or their national security. The idea that this will create inflation is once again one-dimensional thinking ignoring the fact that the Japanese feel more isolated today than ever before. Their concerns about national security are not going to go away and spark a spending boom like the old days. Read More

01.23.13- Ambrose Evans–Pritchard Beats About the Bush
Hugo Salinas Price

To argue with Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is risky. He is well informed, he has travelled much, writes well and has a sharp intellect. Yet I must affirm that he is mistaken in some of the opinions expressed in his recent article at The Telegraph, "A new Gold Standard is being born," January 17, 2013.

In the article he refers to the "(old) Gold Standard dynamic at work with all its destructive power, and the risk of sudden ruptures always present." Read More

01.22.13- This is how money dies
Bengt Saelensminde

Many investors are expecting a financial collapse in 2013. It's a nervy time!

On Friday, I suggested that many await the collapse alongside a government bond market breakdown. And it's true – if the great bond bubble were to burst, it would be goodnight Vienna.

But to my mind, it's looking increasingly like there won't be a classic bust in this market. As I argued on Friday, the central banks have got the bond market covered. Read More

01.21.13- Buba's Gold
Joel Bowman

Buba wants her money back. (Her real money, that is.)

Earlier this week, Germany's central bank, the Bundesbank, announced it would commence repatriating its vast offshore gold reserves, the second-largest stockpile in the world after that of the United States. Gold rose a bit after the news, but not much. It's up about $20 for the week, still comfortably within medium-term trading range.

Really, gold? We expected more… This is big news, after all.

The folks over at ZeroHedge have been all over this story. Here's Mr. Tyler Durden, putting things in perspective: Read More

01.19.13- Bond Math
Frederick J. Sheehan

This is the year for stocks. So one would gather from the media. The Wall Street Journal offered a lukewarm endorsement on Monday, January 15, 2012, with the headline: "Investors Flock to Stocks - So Far."

The diffident prediction opens: "As 2013 gets underway, one of the biggest questions in financial markets is again bubbling: Will this be the year that investors dump bonds and return to stocks?" The question may have surprised some readers. The S&P 500 has risen 120%, or, at a 21 percent-a-year pace since March 2009. How did stock prices more than double since investors have dumped stocks and bought bonds? A second question: what might we expect of stock market returns if investors stop taking money out of the market and put it in - 40% a year? Read More

01.18.13- The 9 Step Process Bankers Use to Force Global Slavery Upon Humanity
JS Kim

“None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free.”- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

Below is the nine step process bankers have used to enslave us all with nary a peep of resistance until recent times. Hopefully recognition of this process can help us to free ourselves from the grip of bankers that wish to financially destroy us all.

(1) Teach lies as truth like "markets are free" and "we need to spread democracy to the rest of the world." Plant agent provocateurs in all movements of resistance like OWS to discredit these movements whenever possible. Read More

01.17.13- "The Fiscal Cliff Will Look Like The Fiscal Hill": Liesman
Karl Denninger

Again, it comes.

Steve Liesman just said that they are "modeling" the GDP impact of deficit spending ceasing because the debt limit is not raised.

Well, duh.   Since The Ticker began publication the fact that debt is (of course) additive to GDP when it is created, because the "money" created via new debt is spent on something, which means it "counts" in GDP, is a theme I have continually hammered on.

But this is in fact not final demand and not real; it is an apparition.  Read More

01.16.13- Tamed?
Bruce Krasting

The comment, earlier today, from the Japanese Economics Minister, Akira Amari, that the Yen exchange rate was now “ in line with fundamentals”, and the market’s quick back-up reaction, got me a laugh, and has me thinking. Have things changed so much? Or is this just an illusion?

It was not long ago that we had the complete reverse of what we have today. Prior to 2009, markets were the dominate forces that determined the outcome of “things”. Government leaders and finance officials have been talking for decades, they never got markets to “behave” as they wanted to before. That’s completely changed. At least that appears to be the case. Read More

01.15.12- Iceland, the Mouse is Still Roaring
Szandor Blestman

I had a dream the other night. I stood on the shore looking across a calm ocean. From the east I heard a strange noise. It sounded like the distant roar of a mighty beast. It was quiet on the wings of the wind, but as it passed the ocean suddenly started to roil. Before too long the still waters were undulating wildly and the silence of lapping ripples had become a cacophony of crashing waves. I wondered at what could have fomented such a drastic change. I awoke before I could find out.

What is this beast that can cause so much noise and yet no one seems to hear it? What creature could roam this world with such ferocity and yet no one seems to see it?  Read More

01.14.13- Kamikaze BOJ Prepares To Launch More Zeros
Michael Pento

It is an unfortunate truth that Keynesian counterfeiters with their Kamikaze monetary and fiscal policies have taken over the developed world. Politicians and central banks in the United States and Europe have decided to cement firmly in place their addictions to debt, inflation and artificially produced low interest rates. But Japan has now leapfrogged into the lead of those nations that believe prosperity can be brought about by loading up on government debt and increasing the number of zeros being printed by their central bank.

Shinzo Abe and the Liberal Democratic Party swept into power in mid-December by promising to boost inflation and destroy the value of the Yen. Read More

01.12.13- The Fading Of Silicon Valley Innovation
Martin Hutchinson

All major industries go through an innovation life cycle. They provide a fundamentally new product or service when they first appear, then as their use becomes more widespread their changes to the world become even more fundamental. Later on however, while capital flows to them in vast profusion, their innovations become more marginal, although there is still money to be made. Finally, generally after a monumental shakeout with many bankruptcies and much capital destroyed, they settle into maturity, in which innovations are minor, their products commoditized and they grow only in line with the global economy, while innovation shifts to some other sector. Silicon Valley, the source of growth and inspiration for the last four decades, is about to shift into this last phase. The transition will be painful. Read More

01.11.13- Saved from the Fiscal Cliff
Roxanne Lewis

Don't you just feel warm all over? Our House and Senate representatives finally got their act together and came to an agreement so our country didn't go over the financial cliff. We all now have our direct line fix, for at least the next 2 months that is, until they have to deal with the next self imposed crisis, the debt ceiling. Everyone feels better until we all feel the pain in the next few months from the business owner to the wage earner.

They passed an additional year of unemployment benefits for those who have been out of work for the past 4 years and they used yours and my social security funds, or at least what was is left in the funds account. They retained the death tax that was set to expire from $5 million and return to $1 million this time permanently. Read More

01.10.13- Economic Collapse:
A Leading Indicator of Better Times to Come

Darryl Robert Schoon

It’s going to get better; but, first, it’s going to get worse -Time of the Vulture, 3rd ed. 2012

When I presented Time of The Vulture: How to Survive the Crisis and Prosper in the Process to the Positive Deviant Network in March 2007, the economic collapse hadn’t yet happened. The next year, it did.

At the time, I suggested those in attendance shed debt, sell their homes and buy gold. Then, the US real estate market was functioning without direct government aid, gold was $650 per ounce and the financial system was stable. Read More

01.09.13- By The Numbers: 20 Facts About The Collapse Of Europe That Everyone Should Know
Michael Snyder

The economic implosion of Europe is accelerating.  Even while the mainstream media continues to proclaim that the financial crisis in Europe has been "averted", the economic statistics that are coming out of Europe just continue to get worse.

Manufacturing activity in Europe has been contracting month after month, the unemployment rate in the eurozone has hit yet another brand new record high, and the official unemployment rates in both Greece and Spain are now much higher than the peak unemployment rate in the United States during the Great Depression of the 1930s.  Read More

01.08.13- Washington's Hegemonic Ambitions Are Not in Sync With Its Faltering Economy
Paul Craig Roberts

In November the largest chunk of new jobs came from retail and wholesale trade. Businesses gearing up for Christmas sales added 65,700 jobs or 45% of November's 146,000 jobs gain. With December sales a disappointment, these jobs are likely to reverse when the January payroll jobs report comes out in February. Family Dollar Stores CEO Howard Levine told analysts that his company's customers were unable to afford toys this holiday season and focused instead on basic needs such as food. Levine said that his customers "clearly don't have as much for discretionary purchases as they once did." Read More

01.07.12- My name is Michael, and I'm a banker
Ilene

Ilene: Hi Michael, thanks for doing this interview with me. I know you’re a banker and in recovery, at Bankers Anonymous, but can you tell me more about yourself?

Michael: I graduated from Harvard in 1995 and was a Fulbright Scholar in 1996. After that, I worked as a fixed income consultant in bond trading for a small NY company till 1997, and then at Goldman Sachs in the Emerging Markets and Mortgage Departments from 1997 to 2004. I recently finished unwinding a hedge fund that I had started in 2004. My plan is to focus on writing about the financial markets, and teaching and speaking about finance (more here).

Ilene: Do you have any investing ideas to share? Read More

01.05.12- Weekend Rant:
Monetary Malpratice

Gorden T Long

Dysfunctional Markets

One of the first axioms of analysis is: "Garbage In, Garbage Out"! If your data is flawed, everything you do with it and the decisions stemming from it are flawed and dangerous to your financial health. Experienced analysts will often be found relentlessly checking, rechecking and validating their inputs and assumptions.

If only our economists and the sell side analyst community were this diligent. But then it isn't their money. Only a year-end bonus for the 'extras' in their life is at risk. Read More

01.04.12- Congress Avoids the Cliff by Selling Us Down the River
Peter Schiff

With the possible exception of the New York Times' editorial board (and the cast of The Jersey Shore), everyone on the planet understood that the United States Government needs to cut spending, increase taxes, or both. Instead, after months of political posturing and hand wringing, the Federal Government has just delivered the exact opposite, a deal that increases spending and decreases taxes. The move lays bare the emptiness of budget legislation, which can be dismantled far easier than it can be constructed. Read More

01.03.12- Will The Crash Come In 2013 Or 2014?
Martin Hutchinson

The U.S. public is unprecedentedly pessimistic about the prospects going into 2013, with 56% "fearful" against 40% "hopeful" according to a recent Washington Post-ABC News poll. When one looks at the world's markets, and at the policies that have been almost universal since the crash of 2008, one can see the rationale for their pessimism.  However this column wishes to inject an element of cheer into the conversation: with good luck, given a continuation of current policies, it may be 2014 before an almighty market and economic crash occurs! Read More

01.02.13- When Priced in Gold, the US Economy is at Depression-Era Levels
Simon Black

As we slide into the end of yet another year in which the nominal price of gold has posted a positive return, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back on history to get a better understanding of where we are today.

It’s obvious that, for many reasons, the size of the global economy is far greater than it was decades ago. We learn in any basic economics course that, over the long run, enhanced productivity and increased technology drive long-term production gains.

Certainly, an economy can produce more widgets if you’re a lean, mean, automated machine… as opposed to a blacksmith with a hammer and forge. Read More

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