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Yet in the end, there can be no mistaking the central
role played by excess consumption in defining America’s
current account problem: With US imports fully 61%
higher than exports (as of February 2005), the only conceivable
way to correct the external deficit is by a reduction in
consumption-driven imports. For Asia, that spells
serious trouble: If you are a believer in the coming
US current account adjustment, Asia’s most important
growth prop is about to meet its demise. Lacking
in domestic consumption, Asia’s only hope may be
nothing more than wishful thinking. MORE>>
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Most
people probably believe that the major capital markets
in the U.S. are basically true markets with, occasionally,
maybe very occasionally, a little bit of rigging here and
there. But evidence shows that the opposite is the case—the
rigging is fundamental with a little bit of true markets
here and there. MORE>>
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Nearly
40 years ago, Federal Reserve chair Alan Greenspan wrote
persuasively in favor of a gold monetary standard in an
essay entitled Gold and Economic Freedom. In that
essay he neatly summarized the fundamental problem with
fiat currency in a few short sentences: The abandonment
of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to
use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion
of credit
In the absence of the gold standard, there
is no way to protect savings from confiscation through
inflation. There is no safe store of value
Deficit
spending is simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation
of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process.
It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps
this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists antagonism
toward the gold standard. MORE>>
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In
the event that you weren't aware of it, missed it, didn't
see it, don't remember it or are consciously ignoring
it, the bull market in U.S. common stocks is dead. Over.
Kaput.
Five
years after the turn of the millennium, Y2K still stands
in the annals of history as the point that all three
major U.S. indices - Dow, SPX and Nasdaq - hit their
highs and then turned tail, marking the official beginning
of the end of the Bull. Quickly came a dark and ugly
period of crumbling and decay, with day after day of
miserable market declines, right on through 9/11. It
was not until almost a year later, in Fall of 2002 before
the markets finally found support. MORE>>
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As we will see, previous oil shocks were a
perfect call for higher inflation figures and recession.
Will this time be any different ? According to Alan Greenspan
yes, he says that higher oil prices won't be much of a problem
for the economy these days and inflation won't pop up as
during the seventies. Well, energy experts such as Mathew
Simmons and Colin Campbell do think otherwise. They make
a powerful case for the end of cheap energy. The nasty consequence
of a lack of cheap energy is the end of economic growth.
Will we ever come out of a recession again for a sustained
period of time? MORE>>
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Iran
is winning the war. News regarding Iran continues to be omitted.
Shortly Iran will have the military potential to interdict
or control Middle East oil supplies at will. The political
and economic cost of dealing with this issue has been deferred
therefore it will be paid for at higher cost later. MORE>>
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PAGE
ONE
"No
one has the right to gamble with the welfare of the American
people, neither the President, nor the Chairman of the
FED, not the politicians, not the judges, not the bureaucrats.
That is why the Republic has been given a Constitution.
The Constitution denies power to the government to monetize
its debt. As we have seen, this provision is the first
line of defense to protect labor, as it acts to keep capital
and jobs together and within the countrys own borders.
The
Constitutions monetary provisions have served this
country well, and the unconstitutional monetary experiments
conducted by the FED have served it badly. The latter were
a series of unmitigated failures that have gone a long
way to de-industrialize America, and threaten to drive
the remaining capital and industrial jobs abroad. Open
your eyes and see for yourself. God gave us eyes so that
we may see." ....Antal E. Fekete
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Question:
Why has the Fed allowed a housing bubble to develop? Answer:
Because they didn't have any choice. The past several years
of low interest rates have allowed households to extract
cash from inflated property via cash-out refis, home equity
loans, and sales; and to use lower interest rates to reduce
monthly mortgage payments and increase disposable income.
These sources of cash and savings compensated for lost wages
from unemployment or underemployment. Without low interest
rates engineered by the Fed, the U.S. would have sunk into
a deep recession. The housing bubble is an unintended consequence.
As Hague points out, "The ability to borrow $1 million for
a speculative home purchase with a monthly payment of approximately
$3,500 versus, say, a cost of almost triple that five years
ago paints a clear picture of how this whole thing started
in the first place. How many real estate investors today
would or could afford $9,000 per month for the same $1 million?
I think the answer to that question is easy." MORE>>
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Can
you remember life before $100 sneakers and $5 coffee, when
people actually lived on what they earned and still had a little
something socked away for a rainy day?
"People
moan and groan about why they can't make do," says Michelle
Singletary, author of "Seven Money Mantras for a Richer
Life." "But if you look at your lifestyle, there's
almost always a way to trim [costs] and make do with less."
MORE>>
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When
you think of a bubble in the 1920s, what comes to your mind? We
are willing to bet that it isn’t the Florida real estate craze
of 1925. That’s right, in the early 1920s, land prices
in Florida began to rise as tourism was thriving and celebrities
from around the world were spotted partying in and around Miami. Add
to that exponential population growth and the superficial,
money-centered culture of the time, and housing prices in this
new playground of the wealthy and famous were guaranteed to
grow exponentially. MORE>>
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Debt-based
fiat money is the economic equivalent of heroin.
It
has the same effect on personal, national, and global economies
as heroin has on the human brain. Just like heroin removes
the addict from interaction with other humans based on
the common ground of everyday reality, debt money removes
the financial decisions of individuals, organizations,
and governments alike from the common ground of economic
reality. MORE>>
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The
average American citizen refuses to pay attention to civic
affairs, contenting himself with a general growl at the tax
rate, and the character and inefficiency of public officials.
He seldom takes the trouble necessary to form the Government
to suit his views. The truth is he has no cohesive or well-digested
views, it being too much trouble to form them; therefore, some
such organization as ours is essential MORE>>
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Among
the many sordid features of America's late, degenerate capitalism
is a tendency to overpay corporate executives. Top business
leaders have become like sports heroes without the talent.
You need not have any real knowledge of the business you
are getting into...or, as Bernie Ebbers demonstrated, any
real knowledge about business of any sort. So immediately,
you see, we are all perfectly qualified. MORE>>
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Suppose
the Very Big Insurance Company sold millions of retirement
policies to the workers of America. For a modest monthly
premium, Very Big promised every policy holder a financially
secure retirement. The Very Big Insurance Company gave each
worker an individual contract and an annual statement of
retirement benefits.
Unfortunately, Very Big's executives underestimated the cost of these benefits,
and spent most of the money that had been entrusted to them. This went on for
many years. Eventually, however, an auditor figured out that although Very Big
had enough cash flow to cover current retirement policy benefits, it did not
have enough income to cover future liabilities. The Very Big Insurance Company
was headed for certain bankruptcy. MORE>>
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If
Rip Van Winkle had nodded off at the top of the bubble in
early 2000 and then awoken today, only his outsized beard
would be a tip-off that more than a night
had passed. He'd be witness to a display of bullishness and bravado that's every
bit as arrogant, though definitely not as ubiquitous. MORE>>
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Stephen
Roach, the chief economist at investment banking giant Morgan
Stanley, has a public reputation for being bearish. But you
should hear what he's saying in private. Roach
met select groups of fund managers downtown last week, including
a group at Fidelity. His prediction: America has no better
than a 10 percent chance of avoiding economic ``armageddon.'' MORE>>
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There
is an axiom in human relations that says there is always
a third party motivator between two aggressive combatants.
This axiom has proven itself true from the time of the Stone
Age until today. The hidden third party motivator behind
the Iraq and Afghanistan wars is Iran. In proper detective
work, it always pays to follow the money trail
and in political conflict you always try to determine who
benefits the most.
Iran
has had two major competitors removed from the world stage
in the form of the Taliban and Saddam Hussein. Their removal
was not at any cost to Iran and the Coalition of the Willing
(Bullied?) took care of it for them. MORE>>
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At
the dawn of the 21st century, a global water crisis is looming.
According to the United Nations, 1.3 billion people in the
world today lack access to clean water while 2.5 billion
do not have adequate sewage and sanitation. No less than
31 countries are considered to be in water stressed areas.
Worldwide demand for water is doubling every 20 years, twice
the rate of population growth. By the year 2025, demand for
fresh water is expected to outstrip global supply by 56 percent. MORE>>
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What
is the relationship between Weimar Germany and
Wall St. of the late 90s? On the surface, what
could be more different? Stock market booms are
the best of times while hyperinflation is a nightmare. MORE>>
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