A
Radical Plan for Social Security
Ronald R. Cooke
The
Very Big Insurance Company
Suppose the Very Big Insurance Company sold millions of retirement policies
to the workers of America. For a modest monthly premium, Very Big promised
every policy holder a financially secure retirement. The Very Big Insurance
Company gave each worker an individual contract and an annual statement of
retirement benefits.
Unfortunately, Very Big's executives underestimated the cost of these benefits,
and spent most of the money that had been entrusted to them. This went on for
many years. Eventually, however, an auditor figured out that although Very
Big had enough cash flow to cover current retirement policy benefits, it did
not have enough income to cover future liabilities. The Very Big Insurance
Company was headed for certain bankruptcy.
But Very Big's executives had a ready answer. "All we need to do is increase
the cost of worker premiums and reduce the benefits we promised to pay to future
retirees. That way, we can remain solvent". The auditor, however, was still
nervous. "What happened to all of the money Very Big received for premiums?" Very
Big's executives dismissed the auditor's concern. "We spent it, and its gone."
Now I have a few questions.
Were the executives of The Very Big Insurance Company completely honest? Did
they defraud the workers of America? Did they misrepresent their intentions?
Did they squander the premiums? Did they breach their contractual obligation?
Did they violate their fiduciary responsibility to the retirement policy holders?
And more questions.
If Very Big's Enron style of accounting were discovered by our politicians
in Washington, would there be a big stink? An investigation by multiple Congressional
Committees? Much pontificating by breast beating politicians? Would the Justice
Department take action? Would the press have a field day with allegations,
conjecture, and soap opera style reporting?
This is a very sad day for America. But the answer to all of these questions
is: YES.
How can Very Big's executives get away with it?
Because they are politicians. We have been conditioned to expect them to pull
stunts like this.
And now Very Big's executives, - hands still firmly clenched on the goodies
in the tax cookie jar - tell us they are going to fix the Social Security mess.
Why should we believe them?
The Congressional Credibility Problem
In my previous article on Social Security "Will Social Security Bankrupt
America?", I pointed out that Social Security accounting is done with smoke
and mirrors, there is no such thing as a "Trust Fund", and – for the reasons
discussed in the article – the Federal Government may not have the resources
to finance future Social Security benefits. Congressional comments, on the
other hand, frequently convey the belief that Social Security can be fixed
with some minor tweaking. Democrats like Kennedy and Boxer even claim there
is no "crisis".
That's absurd. These people obviously slept through their accounting and economics
courses.
Congressional members who sink into the sludge of extremist squabbling make
themselves part of the problem, rather than a contributor to the solution.
We are witness to a never-ending power struggle between the NeoCons and the
Liberals. Such theatrics make great press. But it is difficult to see how Congress
can assure the financial viability of Social Security if legislative reasoning
is based on political bias, rather than a realistic assessment of future revenues,
liabilities and cash flow.
And oh yes, a spirit of teamwork. You know. Do something for the American worker.
As things stand, Congressional ideology reflects either a pervasive ignorance
or a deliberate disdain for any sense of fiduciary responsibility. If Social
Security is merely a source of tax revenue, then Congress can ignore the possibility
that American workers have a legitimate claim against the assets of the Federal
Government. Accounting can be deceptive. The terms "assets", "liabilities",
and "cash flow" need not appear in the debate.
Thus we see multiple members of Congress talking about the Social security "surplus".
What they don't realize, or perhaps chose to ignore, is that the current surplus
is merely an excess of collections over distributions. In other words, Social
Security is running a positive cash flow. That's nice. Unfortunately, however,
Congress has every intention of spending that money to fund the federal Budget.
Congress also deliberately ignores, or perhaps doesn't understand, that every
dollar of this "surplus" should be – under lawful accounting procedures – offset
with a dollar of liabilities. In other words, Congress is willing to recognize
cash on hand, which is an asset, but is unwilling to acknowledge that future
benefits represent a balance sheet liability.
And these people are making fiscal policy??
The Cooke Social Security Proposal
Since rational thinking appears to have been overwhelmed by nasty political
power struggles in Washington, it is up to us poor economists to suggest a
solution for Social Security. I thus have a plan. It's a very simple plan.
Even Teddy Kennedy should be able to understand how it works.
Every good plan starts out with a clear statement of purpose and a set of specific
objectives.
Purpose: The fundamental purpose of Social Security is to provide
American workers with a dependable source of monthly income when they
retire.
Objective One: Social Security must be administered by a system
of management that has a defined fiduciary responsibility to present
and future beneficiaries.
Objective Two: Social Security funds must not be co-mingled with
Federal Tax revenues.
Objective Three: Congress must divorce itself from any involvement
in the management of the Social Security system.
Objective Four: In order to insure its ability to meet current
and future beneficiary obligations,
Social Security must have a viable financial structure.
Social Security represents a contractual obligation between the Federal Government
and the workers of America. It is part of the Social Contract that exists between
any government and those who are governed. As such, Congress has an obligation
to put a plan in place that is trustworthy as to purpose, and credible as to
substance.
There must be an explicit benefits plan. Each participant must have an individual
account that is tied to a record of earnings. Beneficiary accounts must be
guaranteed by a legitimate and unimpeachable "Trust Fund".
The entire Social Security program must be privatized and administered for
the benefit of its participants. The Social Security Administration should
be structured as a quasi-public institution with appropriate rules for the
recognition of income, expenses, assets, liabilities, and cash flow. There
must be an independent Board of Directors who are charged with overseeing policy
and operations.
There must be a set of financially responsible investment criteria. In order
to secure the financial viability of the Trust Fund, Social Security's administrators
must be able to cash existing Federal Government IOUs on a reasonable schedule
of repayment.
Assuming the Federal Government wants to continue its practice of borrowing
money from the fund, and to insure such borrowing is financially responsible,
a new investment vehicle will be created. Called Federal Revenue Bonds, these
instruments would be limited to the funding of capital formation projects that – over
the life of the bond – would be repaid, with an appropriate rate of interest,
by the revenues generated by the physical asset thus created. The Social Security
Administration would have the right to accept, or reject, each proposed project.
Examples of such projects include bridges, toll roads, port facilities, airports,
office buildings, hospitals, schools, and rail yards.
In addition, the Fund would be able to make short term loans using existing
available instruments such as bank, corporate, and treasury notes. The fund
would also be enabled to purchase credit worthy revenue bonds issued by individual
State governments.
Although the interest payments and capital gains from these financing vehicles
would not be spectacular, they would be as secure as our economy and they would
provide a steady flow of income into the fund.
The Result
As an independent quasi-public entity, with an independent Board of Directors,
Social Security can become the retirement fund that we were promised when Social
security was established in 1935.
Is this too much to ask?
©2005 Ronald R. Cooke