What
Good is Making Money in Gold?
The market for gold is quoted in Dollars.
You end up with Depreciated Dollars
Or
Depreciated Dollar vs. Euros.
By
James Sinclair
[email protected]
What good is making money in gold? Many international members of the gold community are asking this question. For them, and for the US gold community, this question is quite important. Firstly, the appreciation of gold has already, and will continue, to outpace the depreciation of the dollar. However, that is no reason to take a loss on the currency even if your currency of domicile is the dollar or on the conversion from the dollar back into the stronger currency of the international gold investor. There is no sound argument that would give us a strong dollar and strong gold at the present time. The Euro looks technically bound for the $1.20 range (presently 105) as the dollar looks at least into low .80 in terms of the USDX (presently 101.98). It could go as low as .72 technically.
There is a strong possibility, bordering on a probability, that the US dollar is the real target of the Al Queda war strategy. Could it be that Al Queda knows more about markets than the present administration in the US?
There
is a technique that I am using which may well be the solution to the win on
gold gain vs. the dollar loss scenario that is inherent in gold. It is inherent
in gold because gold is traded primarily in the US dollar. This is also a problem
in Rand terms for internal South African buyers of South African gold shares.
The solution is simple. For every dollar invested in gold, one dollar should
be invested in the Euro. The means to do this without having to tie up huge
capital is equally simple. Go long the amount of futures Euros equal to your
investment in gold or gold related items. Of course there is risk. The risk
in this technique is both gold and the Euro going south simultaneously. This
is why stop loss orders are great tools. Going long the Euro is one way of protecting
your dollar currency tied up for other purposes. Personally, I like the Euro
on its own merits, and am long, planning to increase my position when TA indicated.
You will get weekly technical reviews from this point forward on the Euro.
The
Simple Steps to Buy the Euro:
1/ Open a commodity
account if you do not already have one.
2/ Study the
material provided below.
3/ Select that
Euro contract that best suits you needs in terms of the size of your commitment
to gold.
4/ Do not over-commit.
Look at this as a hedge against the dollar and not as a speculation.
5/ Select the
degree of risk that you would accept and stick to it as a stop loss order entered
open.
6/ Remember
not to judge the size of the commitment by the few dollars required to make
it. This is good faith money to show that you could settle your commitment called
margin money. It is the size of the contract itself that determines the size
of what you are doing.
An open order
is an order placed with your broker that will remain in effect until you cancel
it.
A stop loss
order is an order that can do one of two things according to your selection:
1/ When the
price you select to stop your loss occurs, your order to sell becomes a market
order.
2/ When the
price you have selected to stop your loss occurs, your order can activate with
a limit. This is called a stop limit order.
I prefer a stop loss order entered as an open order. It gives me peace of mind.