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March
19
2022

Ever Wonder Why Our Leftist Government is Intent
on Putting Us in Electric Cars?
Dr. Jay Lehr and Tom Harris

The utility companies have thus far had little to say about the alarming cost projections to operate electric vehicles (EVs) or the increased rates that they will be required to charge their customers. It is not just the total amount of electricity required, but the transmission lines and fast charging capacity that must be built at existing filling stations. Neither wind nor solar can support any of it. Electric vehicles will never become the mainstream of transportation!

The Biden administration may be evil as it relates to virtually all of its new directives but, no matter what it appears to be, it is not dumb. It knows what it is doing. The underlying purpose of everything it does is to reduce our freedoms and increase the government’s control over our lives. 

One of its strategies has escaped even the most conservative of thinkers. It is the promotion of the electric automobile. They well know, as we will show in the following paragraphs, that the nation’s roads can never be crowded with electric cars. There is not now, nor ever will there be, sufficient electric power for us to travel hither and yon with battery-powered vehicles. So, who decides who gets what electricity will be available? Answer: your friendly liberal, “progressive,” leftist government who we, mistakenly or not, placed in power.

The electric vehicle (EV) is clearly one of the most hyped innovations of our lifetime. While our federal government and the state of California think that the internal combustion engine will soon end up in the dustbin of history, it just isn’t going to happen for a variety of reasons:

  • The most obvious is that the expense of EVs will not allow the average American to own one. The alternative will always be far cheaper and will transport you much farther.
  • EVs can never be produced in the numbers the government wants because of a lack of necessary rare earth minerals held hostage in China.
  • Availability of charging stations will never be adequate either. And the time required to recharge on a long trip will make you cancel any long trip. 
  • The cost of a battery replacement will be a significant turn-off as well. 

EV Charging Insanity

In order to match the 2,000 cars that a typical filling station can service in a busy 12 hours, an EV charging station would require 600, 50-watt chargers at an estimated cost of $24 million and a supply of 30 megawatts of power from the grid. That is enough to power 20,000 homes. No one likely thinks about the fact that it can take 30 minutes to 8 hours to recharge a vehicle between empty or just topping off. What are the drivers doing during that time?

ICSC-Canada board member New Zealand-based consulting engineer Bryan Leyland describes why installing electric car charging stations in a city is impractical:

“If you’ve got cars coming into a petrol station, they would stay for an average of five minutes If you’ve got cars coming into an electric charging station, they would be at least 30 minutes, possibly an  hour, but let’s say its 30 minutes. So that’s six times the surface area to park the cars while they’re being charged. So, multiply every petrol station in a city by six. Where are you going to find the place to put them?”

The government of the United Kingdom is already starting to plan for power shortages caused by the charging of thousands of EVs Starting in June 2022, the government will restrict the time of day you can charge your EV battery. To do this, they will employ smart meters that are programmed to automatically switch off EV charging in peak times to avoid potential blackouts.

In particular, the latest UK chargers will be pre-set to not function during 9-hours of peak loads, from 8 am to 11 am (3-hours), and 4 pm to 10 pm (6-hours). Unbelievably, the UK technology decides when and if an EV can be charged, and even allows EV batteries to be drained into the UK grid if required. Imagine charging your car all night only to discover in the morning that your battery is flat since the state took the power back. Better keep your gas-powered car as a reliable and immediately available backup! While EV charging will be an attractive source of revenue generation for the government, American citizens will be up in arms.

Used Car Market

The average used EV will need a new battery before an owner can sell it, pricing them well above used internal combustion cars. The average age of an American car on the road is 12 years.  A 12-year-old EV will be on its third battery. A Tesla battery typically costs $10,000 so there will not be many 12-year-old EVs on the road. Good luck trying to sell your used green fairy tale electric car!

Thomas Katainen, an enterprising Finish Tesla owner, had an imaginative solution to the battery replacement problem—he blew up his car! New York City-based Insider magazine reported (December 27, 2021):

“The shop told him the faulty battery needed to be replaced, at a cost of about $22,000.  In addition to the hefty fee, the work would need to be authorized by Tesla…Rather than shell out half the cost of a new Tesla to fix an old one, Katainen decided to do something different… The demolition experts from the YouTube channel Pommijätkät (Bomb Dudes) strapped 66 pounds of high explosives to the car and surrounded the area with slow-motion cameras…the 14 hotdog-shaped charges erupt into a blinding ball of fire, sending a massive shockwave rippling out from the car…The videos of the explosion have a combined 5 million views.”

We understand that the standard Tesla warranty does not cover “damage resulting from intentional actions,” like blowing the car up for a YouTube video.

EVs Per Block In Your Neighborhood

A home charging system for a Tesla requires a 75-amp service. The average house is equipped with 100-amp service. On most suburban streets the electrical infrastructure would be unable to carry more than three houses with a single Tesla. For half the homes on your block to have electric vehicles, the system would be wildly overloaded.

Batteries

Although the modern lithium-ion battery is four times better than the old lead-acid battery, gasoline holds 80 times the energy density. The great lithium battery in your cell phone weighs less than an ounce while the Tesla battery weighs 1,000 pounds. And what do we get for this huge cost and weight? We get a car that is far less convenient and less useful than cars powered by internal combustion engines. Bryan Leyland explained why: “When the Model T came out, it was a dramatic improvement on the horse and cart. The electric car is a step backward into the equivalence of an ordinary car with a tiny petrol tank that takes half an  hour to fill. It offers nothing in the way of convenience or extra facilities.”

TESLA

Let’s first get Elon Musk and Tesla out of the way. While in the past year, he did make many cars in the $40k range and hopes to keep expanding those numbers, Tesla will likely remain a car for the affluent. Their eye-catching models still check in around $100k. In California, the average household income of EV purchasers is upwards of $200,000. If you are not in that higher educated echelon and the high-income range of society, there will likely not be much of an appetite for an EV. Nevertheless, Musk will always be successful because he really is the smartest person in the room. He is now vastly rich because so many people know that and buy Tesla stock at nonsensical values.

AVAILABLE ELECTRICITY

The Laurence Livermore Laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy states that the current electrical generation capacity of America is 11.4 trillion kilowatt-hours. The energy used for transportation today is equivalent to 8.5 trillion kilowatt-hours of which only an infinitesimal amount is already electric. Where would the additional power come from were all cars to be electric? The same governments in charge plan for no more energy from oil, natural gas, coal, or nuclear. So, the obvious answer for all liberals is wind and solar, which currently produce a mere 0.7 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity. Where and how will we build enough solar and wind installations to keep us all driving EVs? We cannot. We have neither the economic resources nor land area to even consider this. We are already getting a preview of what will happen if our vehicles go all-electric. In the U.K., the grid is currently so unstable that EV chargers will be metered separately, which allows them to be charged and taxed at a higher rate than domestic electricity.

It is important to also note that, California, where half of the nation’s EVs are located, already imports more electricity than any other state– currently at 32% from the Northwest and Southwest and dysfunctionally HOPES that other states will be able to generate enough power to meet the demands of the state.

RANGE

Just as golf carts may be fun and legal to run around your neighborhood if you are inclined, so are electric cars. However, what would it take to carry out a long trip in one? Let’s run through the numbers. We will go first class in a Tesla on a trip of 270 miles which only a Tesla can now do on a single charge. It will take us 4.5 hours to drive 270 miles and about 6.5 hours to recharge the battery unless you can find the rare supercharging station. If you cannot, you have brought your average trip speed, including charging time, down to under 25mph! And, unless you have planned adequately, your whole trip will be cursed with range anxiety, a constant worry that you are about to run out of juice. 

MILES PER GALLON

Miles per gallon is disappearing as an advantage when buying an EV. The reason is that, in order to increase the range of the EVs, a great deal of extra weight in batteries has had to be added. That effectively cancels any claims of yielding less carbon dioxide, supposedly the primary selling point for them. After all, the production of these batteries generates huge amounts of CO2.  

And back at the power station where the electricity for your EV is generated, someone is burning a lot of coal or natural gas to create it. Perhaps your electric car should more accurately be called a coal or natural gas car. Oh yes, the tax on your gasoline to keep our roads maintained will soon be replaced by a special tax on your electric vehicle registration, and well, it should be.

COLD CLIMATES

The nature of batteries is that they yield less energy in cold climates. EV owners will all learn this soon enough. Advertised ranges on a fully charged battery will not be achieved. The shortfall will be significant. Get ready for thousands of motorists stranded on freezing cold highways throughout the northern states.

CALIFORNIA DREAMING

President Biden and the Governor of California are demanding only electric cars in the nation and their state. California plans to have 25 million EVs in the not-too-distant future. It already has 50% of the nation’s EVs. But California is not a meaningful role model for the nation at large. Besides having the best temperate climate in America, it has an average household income of $106,916, and 12.2% of households make over $200,000 a year. In addition, they have an unusual fraction of the population that are:

  • Highly educated.
  • Highly compensated.
  • Low mileages requirements of about 5,000 miles per year from the second vehicle, as most EV owners have a combustion engine car for their family workhorse vehicle.
  • A home garage for convenient charging, even though some manufacturers are already recommending the EV’s be charged in open areas due to potential battery fires.

Except for those in that higher educated echelon and the high-income range of society, there will clearly be no appetite for an EV in the foreseeable future. We continue to discuss the EV hoax in part two of this article, coming out later in the week.

Okay, maybe these are not so obvious to the general consumer. But here are the even less obvious deterrents. If, after reading these reasons for electric misery, you remain a big fan, write us and explain why. We will then write another article explaining your point of view.

Our Conclusion

The electric automobile will always be around in a niche market likely never exceeding 10% of the cars on the road. All automobile manufacturers are investing in their output and all will be disappointed in their sales. Perhaps they know this and will manufacture just what they know they can sell. This is certainly not what President Biden or California Governor Newsom are planning for. However, for as long as the present government is in power, they will be pushing the electric car as another means to run our lives. We have a chance to tell them exactly what we think of their expensive and dangerous plans when we go to the polls in November of 2022. 



 

 

 

Dr. Jay Lehr is a Senior Policy Analyst with the International Climate Science Coalition and former Science Director of The Heartland Institute. He is an internationally renowned scientist, author, and speaker who has testified before Congress on dozens of occasions on environmental issues and consulted with nearly every agency of the national government and many foreign countries. After graduating from Princeton University at the age of 20 with a degree in Geological Engineering, he received the nation’s first Ph.D. in Groundwater Hydrology from the University of Arizona. He later became executive director of the National Association of Groundwater Scientists and Engineers.

 

 

Tom Harris is Executive Director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition, and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute. He has 40 years experience as a mechanical engineer/project manager, science and technology communications professional, technical trainer, and S&T advisor to a former Opposition Senior Environment Critic in Canada’s Parliament.

 

 

 

www.americaoutloud.com

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