How
the City of London Created the Great Depression
Webster G. Tarpley

The thesis of this paper is that the great economic and financial
cataclysm of the first half of the twentieth century, which we
have come to know as the Great
Depression, was caused by the Bank of England, the British government, and
the City of London. The potential for the Great Depression derived
from the economic
and human destruction wrought by World War I, which was itself a product
of British geopolitics and especially of the British policy, exemplified
by King Edward
VII, of creating an encircling anti-German alliance in order to wage war.
The economic destruction of Europe was continued after 1918 by
the Peace of Paris
(Versailles, St. Germain, Trianon, Neuilly, Sevres) imposed by the Allies
on the defeated Central Powers. Especially important here were
the 55 billion gold
dollars in reparations inflicted on defeated Germany, along with the war
debt burden of the supposedly victorious powers themselves. Never
during the 1920's
did world trade surpass the levels of 1913. Reparations and war debt were
a recipe for economic stagnation.
The ravaged post-war, post-Versailles world of the 1920's provides the main
backdrop for the following considerations:
1. The events leading to the Great Depression are all related to British
economic warfare against the rest of the world, which mainly took the form
of the attempt
to restore a London- centered world monetary system incorporating the gold
standard. The efforts of the British oligarchy in this regard were carried
out by a clique
of international central bankers dominated by Lord Montagu Norman of the
Bank of England, assisted by his tools Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal
Reserve
Bank and Hjalmar Schacht of the German Reichsbank. This British-controlled
gold standard proved to be a straightjacket for world economic development,
somewhat
along the lines of the deflationary Maastricht "convergence criteria" of the
late 1990's.
2. The New York stock exchange speculation of the Coolidge-Hoover era was
not a spontaneous phenomenon, but was rather deliberately encouraged by Norman
and
Strong under the pretext of relieving pressure on the overvalued British
pound sterling after its gold convertibility had been restored in 1925. In
practice,
the pro-speculation policies of the US Federal Reserve were promoted by Montagu
Norman and his satellites for the express purpose of fomenting a Bubble Economy
in the United States, just as later central bankers fostered a Bubble Economy
in Japan after 1986. When this Wall Street Bubble had reached gargantuan
proportions in the autumn of 1929, Montagu Norman sharply cut the British
bank rate, repatriating
British hot money, and pulling the rug out from under the Wall Street speculators,
thus deliberately and consciously imploding the US markets. This caused a
violent depression in the United States and some other countries, with the
collapse of
financial markets and the contraction of production and employment. In 1929,
Norman engineered a collapse by puncturing the bubble.
3. This depression was rendered far more severe and, most importantly, permanent,
by the British default on gold payment in September, 1931. This British default,
including all details of its timing and modalities, and also the subsequent
British gambit of competitive devaluations, were deliberate measures of economic
warfare
on the part of the Bank of England. British actions amounted to the deliberate
destruction of the pound sterling system, which was the only world monetary
system in existence at that time. The collapse of world trade became irreversible.
With
deliberate prompting from the British, currency blocs emerged, with the clear
implication that currency blocs like the German Reichsmark and the Japanese
yen would soon have to go to war to obtain the oil and other natural resources
that
orderly world trade could no longer provide. In 1931, Norman engineered a
disintegration by detonating the gold backing of the pound sterling.
4. In the United States, the deliberate British default of September 1931
led, given the do-nothing Hoover Administration policies, directly to the
banking
crisis of 1932-33, which closed down or severely restricted virtually every
bank in the country by the morning of Franklin D. Roosevelt's inauguration.
If Roosevelt
had not broken decisively with Hoover's impotent refusal to fight the depression,
constitutional government might have collapsed. As it was, FDR was able to
roll back the disintegration, but economic depression and mass unemployment
were not
overcome until 1940 and the passage of Lend-Lease.
As we have already hinted, we consider that these matters are not solely
of historical interest. The repertoire of central bank intrigue, speculative
bubbles, defaults,
devaluations, bank rate manipulations, deflations and inflations constitute
the essential arsenal being used by British economic warfare planners today.
The Maastricht "convergence criteria" with their insane deflationary thrust
are very similar in effect to the rules of the gold exchange standard as administered
by London, 1925-1931. For that matter, the policies of the International Monetary
Fund are too. The parallel extends even to the detail of Perfidious Albion's
gambit of opting out of the European Currency Union while watching its victims
writhe in an deflationary straightjacket tailored between Threadneedle Street
and Saville Row.
Since the summer of 1995 hot money generated by the low interest rates of
the Bank of Japan has been used by hedge fund operators of the Soros school
to puff
up the world bubble. If the Bank of England's late 1996 switch to bank rate
increases turns out to be a harbinger of world tight money, then it is possible
that the
collapse and disintegration of the world financial system will recapitulate
other phases of the interwar years.
Lord Montagu Norman was always obsessed with secrecy, but the British financial
press has often practiced an arrogant and cynical bluntness in its self-congratulatory
accounts of its own exploits. Therefore, wherever possible we have let the
British, especially the London Economist magazine and Lord Keynes, speak
for themselves
and indict themselves. We have also drawn on the memoirs of US President
Herbert Hoover, who had moments of suprising lucidity even as he, for the
sake of absurd
free-market, laissez-faire ideology, allowed his country to drift into the
abyss. As we will see, Hoover had everything he needed to base his 1932 campaign
for
re-election on blaming the Federal Reserve, especially its New York branch,
for the 1929 calamity. Hoover could have assailed the British for their September
1931 stab in the back. Hoover would have been doing the country a permanent
service,
and he might have done somewhat better in the electoral college. But Hoover
was not capable of seriously attacking the New York Fed and its master, Lord
Montagu
Norman.
ECONOMIC DECLINE AFTER WORLD WAR I
The roots of the crash of 1929 are to be sought in the economic consequences
of World War I, which was itself a product of the British geopolitical machinations
of King Edward VII and his circles. The physical impact of World War I was
absolutely devastating in terms of human losses and material damage. This
destruction was
then greatly magnified by the insistence of London and Paris on reparations
to be paid by defeated and prostrate Germany.
After a few years of haggling, these reparations were fixed at the astronomical
sum of 32 billion gold-backed US dollars, to be paid over 62 years at an
interest rate of 5%. Even Lord Keynes, in his "Economic Consequences of the Peace," compared
this to the imposition of slavery on Germany and her defeated allies, or to
squeezing a lemon until the pits squeak.
The reparations issue was complicated by the inter-allied war debts, owed
especially by France and Britain to the United States. For a time a system
emerged in which
Wall Street made loans to Germany so that Germany could pay reparations to
France, which could then pay war debts to Britain and the US. But this system
was based
on usury, not production, and was therefore doomed.
The most dramatic evidence available on economic stagnation during the 1920's
is the fact that during this decade world trade never attained the pre-war
level of 1913.
THE CABAL OF CENTRAL BANKERS
A dominant personality of the City of London during these years was Sir Montagu
Norman, the Governor of the Bank of England during the period 1920-1944.
Norman came from a line of bankers. His grandfather was Sir Mark Wilks Collet,
who
had himself been Governor of the Bank of England during the 1880's. Collet
had also
been a partner in the London firm of Brown, Shipley & Co., and also in the
New York bank of Brown Brothers & Co., later Brown Brothers, Harriman,
one of the most evil and most powerful banks in modern American history. The
managing
partner of Brown Brothers, Harriman during the 1930's was Prescott Bush, father
of President George Herbert Walker Bush, and a financial backer of Hitler.
The dominant figure at Brown Brothers, Harriman was W. Averell Harriman, Roosevelt's
special envoy to Churchill and Stalin, head of the Marshall Plan, and the adviser
to President Truman who was most responsible for starting the Cold War with
Russia
and for prolonging the Korean War.
Acting by himself and relying only on his own British resources, Montagu
Norman could hardly have aspired to play the role of currency dictator of
Europe. Norman's
trump card was his ability to manipulate the policies of the United States
Federal Reserve System through a series of Morgan-linked puppets.
Morgan's key puppet was Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal Reserve Bank,
which then as now represented the flagship of the entire Fed system. Strong
was Governor of the New York Federal Reserve Bank between 1914 and his death
in 1929.
Strong was an operative of the House of Morgan who had worked at Bankers
Trust. In addition to what he could do himself, Strong had great influence
over Andrew
Mellon, who served as Secretary of the Treasury between 1921 and 1929 under
Presidents Harding, Coolidge, and Hoover.
Montagu Norman also owned a large piece of Hjalmar Schacht, Governor of the
German Reichsbank and later Finance Minister in governments in which Adolf
Hitler was
chancellor. Montagu Norman himself, along with King Edward VIII, Lady Astor
and Sir Neville Chamberlain, was one of the strongest supporters of Hitler
in the
British aristocracy. Norman put his personal prestige on the line in September,
1933 to support the Hitler regime in its first attempt to float a loan in
London. The Bank of England's consent was at that time indispensable for
floating a
foreign bond issue, and Norman made sure that the "Hitler bonds" were warmly
recommended in the City. THE
FEDERAL RESERVE: CAUSE OF DEPRESSION
One of the main causes for the Great Depression was the Federal Reserve System
of the United States. Many naive persons think of the Federal Reserve System
as a part of the United States government, which it emphatically is not. Probably
this is because the only money we have nowadays is marked "Federal Reserve Note." The
Federal Reserve is a privately owned and privately managed institution. Those
who can remember the 1960's can recall that there were one dollar silver certificates
as well as United States Notes, the descendants of Lincoln's greenbacks, in several
denominations. But after the Kennedy assassination, the private Federal Reserve
established a monopoly on printing American money, shutting out the US Federal
Government from this important function.
In this way the Federal Reserve System violates the letter and spirit of the
United States Constitution. There, in Article I, Section 8, Clause 5 we read
that the Congress shall have the power "to coin money, regulate the value thereof,
and of foreign coin, and fix the standard of weights and measures."
The Federal Reserve was created in December, 1913 when Woodrow Wilson signed
the Glass-Owen Federal Reserve Act. That bill had been the product of cloak-and-dagger
machinations by Wall Street financiers and their political mouthpieces, many
of them in league with the City of London. Wall Streeter Frank A. Vanderlip,
in his autobiography "From Farm Boy to Financier" narrates that the secret conference
which planned the Federal Reserve was "as secret - indeed, as furtive - as any
conspirator." Vanderlip was one of the insiders invited to the Jekyl Island Club
on the coast of Georgia in the autumn of 1910 by the Senator Nelson Aldrich,
the father-in-law of John D. Rockefeller Jr. Aldrich also invited Henry Davison
of J.P. Morgan & Co., and Benjamin Strong, the future Governor of the New
York Federal Reserve Bank. Also on hand was Paul Warburg of the notorious international
banking family, descended from the Del Banco family of Venice. As Vanderlip recounted, "We
were instructed to come one at a time and as unobtrusively as possible to the
railway terminal on the New Jersey littoral of the Hudson, where Senator Aldrich's
private car would be in readiness, attached to the rear end of a train for the
South."
On Jekyl Island this crew began to decide the main features of the central bank
of the United States: "We worked morning, noon, and night....As we dealt with
questions I recorded our agreements...If it was to be a central bank, how was
it to be owned - by the banks, by the Government or jointly ? When we had fixed
upon bank ownership and joint control, we took up the political problem of whether
it should be a number of institutions or only one." In the end, says Vanderlip, "there
can be no question about it: Aldrich undoubtedly laid the essential, fundamental
lines which finally took the form of the Federal reserve law."
Today each of the twelve Federal Reserve Banks - Boston, New York, Chicago, San
Francisco, and so forth - is a private corporation. The shares are held by the
member banks of the Federal Reserve System. The Class A and Class B Directors
of each Federal reserve Bank are elected by the shareholders from among bankers
and the business community, and other Directors are appointed by the Federal
Reserve Board in Washington.
Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington
are chosen by the President and must be approved by the Senate, for what that
is worth. But when we come to the vital Federal Reserve Open Market Committee,
which sets short-term interest rates and influences the size of the money supply
by buying or selling government securities, the picture is even worse. The FOMC
comprises 7 Fed Governors from Washington plus 5 presidents of Federal Reserve
Banks appointed by the respective Directors of these banks. In practice, 5 Federal
Reserve district presidents who have never been seen by the President or the
Congress have a vote on setting the credit policy and money supply of the United
States. Public policy is made by a private cabal of self-appointed plutocrats.
How was this sleazy product marketed to the Congress ? Interestingly, the Congressmen
were told that the Federal Reserve System would prevent panics and depressions
like those of the 1870's and 1890's. Here is a sampling compiled by Herbert Hoover
of selling points used by lobbyists seeking votes for the Federal Reserve Act:
We shall have no more financial panics....Panics are impossible....Business men
can now proceed in effect confidence that they will no longer pu their property
in peril....Now the business man may work out his destony without living in terror
of panic and hard times....Panics in the future are unthinkable....Never again
can panic come to the American people.
[The Memoirs of Herbert Hoover, p.7]
The verdict of history must be that the Federal Reserve has utterly failed to
deliver on these promises. The most potent political argument against this arrangement
is that it has been a resounding failure. Far from making financial crises impossible,
the Fed has brought us one Great Depression, and it is about to bring us a super-depression,
a worldwide disintegration.
The Federal Open Market Committee was not part of the original legislation that
created the Federal Reserve System. But in the early 1920's, some regional Federal
Reserve Bank presidents, inevitably dominated by New York, formed a committee
outside of any law to coordinate their activities in determning the money supply
and interest rates through buying and selling of government securities - i.e.,
open market operations. This was a very successful power grab by the regional
Reserve Bank leaders, all directly chosen by bankers and the private sector,
and not subject to approval by anyone in Washington. In 1935 Franklin D. Roosevelt
very unwisely signed a Banking Act which legalized the Federal Open Market Committee
in its present form, with a formal majority for Federal Reserve Board Governors
in Washington, the ones proposed by the President and approved by the Senate.
But at the same time the Secretary of the Treasury, who used to be a member of
the central Board, was ousted from that position.
THE BRITISH RECORD OF STARTING WALL STREET PANICS
The British had a long track record of using the London Bank Rate (that is, the
rediscount rate of the Bank of England) for financial and economic warfare against
the United States. The periodic panics of the nineteenth century were more often
than not caused by deliberate British sabotage. A few examples:
* In the Panic of 1837, the stage had been set for depression by outgoing President
Andrew Jackson's and Secretary of the Treasury Roger Taney's abolition of the
Second Bank of the United States, by their cultivation of the state "pet" banks,
by their imbecilic Specie Circular of 1836, which demanded gold payment to the
federal government for the purchase of public lands, and by their improvident
distribution of the Treasury surplus to the states. London's ultimate weapon
turned out to be the Bank of England bank rate. With all the American defenses
sabotaged, the Bank of England sharply raised its discount rates, sucking gold
specie and hot money liquidity back across the Atlantic, while British merchants
and trading houses cut off their lines of credit to their American customers.
In the resulting chaos, not just private banks and businesses went bankrupt,
but also the states of Mississippi, Louisiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Indiana,
and Michigan, which repudiated their debts, permanently impairing US credit in
the world. Internal improvements came to a halt, and the drift towards secession
and civil war became more pronounced.
* The Panic of 1873 resuted from a British-directed effort to ruin the banking
house of Jay Cooke and Company, which had served Lincoln and his successors as
a quasi-governmental agency for the marketing of United States Treasury securities
and railroad bonds during and after the Civil War. The Cooke insolvency had been
preceded by a massive dumping of US staocks and bonds in London and the rest
of Europe. This was London's way of shutting down the Civil War boom that Lincoln's
dirigist and protectionist policies had made possible. Instead, a long US depression
followed.
* The Panic of 1893 was prepared by the 1890 "Baring panic" in London, caused
by the insolvency of Barings Bank, the same one which went bankrupt and was sold
off in the spring of 1995. In the resulting depression, the US Treasury surplus
was reduced to almost nothing, and a budget defecit loomed. Using this situation
as a pretext, British speculators drove the exchange rate of the dollar down
to the point where owners of gold began exporting their gold to London. Treasury
gold stocks dipped below $100,000,000, and then kept falling to $68,000,000;
US national bankruptcy threatened. In response to this crisis, subversive President
Grover Cleveland gave control of the US public debt to the New York banking houses
of Morgan and Belmont, themselves British agents of influence. Cleveland "sold
out to Wall Street" by selling US gold bonds to Morgan and Belmont at reduced
prices, with the taxpayers picking up the tab; Morgan and Belmont promised to "use
their influence" in London to prevent further British bear raids against the
US dollar and gold stocks. All of this caused another long depression.
The economics profession is totally bankrupt today, with every Nobel Prize winner
in economics with the sole exception of Maurice Allais qualifying for committment
to a psychiatric institution. One of the reasons for the depravity of the economists
is that their assigned task has always been one of mystification, especially
the job of covering up the simple and brutal fact that American depressions have
generally been caused by Bank of England and City of London bankers. All the
mystical mumbo-jumbo of curves, cycles, and epicycles a la Schumpeter has always
had the purpose of camouflaging the fact that the Bank of England bank rate was
the nineteenth century's closest equivalent to the hydrogen bomb.
DEFLATION CRISIS OF 1920-21
The New York panic of 1920-21 represents yet another example of British economic
warfare. The illusion that the existence of the Federal Reserve System might
serve as a barrier against new financial panics and depressions received a nasty
knock with the immediate postwar depression of 1920, which was a co-production
of the Bank of England and the New York Federal Reserve. The British deliberately
provoked this Wall Street panic and severe depression during a period of grave
military tension between London and washington occasioned by the naval rivalry
of the US and UK. The British Bank Rate had been at 6% from November 1919 until
April 15, 1920, when it was raised to 7%. The bust in Wall Street began in the
late summer of 1920. The UK Bank Rate was lowered to 6.5% in April 1922, and
it went down all the way to 3% by July, 1922.
The Federal Reserve, as usual, followed London's lead, gradually escalating the
discount rate to 7% in June, 1920 to detonate the bust, and descending to 6.5%
about a year later. The argument used by the central bankers' cabal to justify
their extreme tight money policy was the climate of postwar inflation, speculation,
expansion and the freeing of consumer demand that had been pent up in wartime.
This depression lasted about two years and was quite sharp, with a New York composite
index of transaction indices falling 13.7% for the sharpest contraction since
1879. In many other countries this was the fiercest depression on record. As
Keynes later complained, the US recovered much more rapidly than the British,
who scarcely recovered at all. For the rest of the interwar period, the United
Kingdom was beset by permanent depression.
The fact that this depression was brought on deliberately by the Norman-Strong
duo is amply documented in their private correspondence. In December 1920, Strong
and Norman agreed that "the policy of making money dearer had been successful,
though it would have been better six months earlier. They agreed, too, that deflation
must be gradual; it was becoming now too rapid and they favored a small reduction
in rates both in London and New York." [Clay, Lord Norman, p. 132]
THE CRASH OF 1929
The panic of 1929 is a prime example of a financial collapse which was not prevented
by the Federal Reserve. In fact, the 1920's speculaltive bubble and subsequent
crash of 1929 was directly caused by Federal Reserve policies. Those policies
in turn had been dictated by the world of British finance, which had been decisive
in shaping the Federal Reserve to begin with.
During World War I, all the industrialized nations except the United States had
left the gold standard. Only the United States had been able to stay with gold,
albeit with special controls. During the 1920's about two thirds of the world's
supply of monetary gold, apart from Soviet holdings, was concentrated in two
countries - the United States and France. The British, who were fighting to preserve
their dominance of the world financial system, had very little gold.
The British were determined to pursue their traditional economic imperialism,
but they had emerged from the war economically devastated and, for the first
time, a debtor nation owing war debts to the United States. At the same time,
the British were fighting to keep their precious world naval supremacy, which
was threatened by the growth of the United States Navy. If the US had merely
built the ships that were called for in laws passed in 1916, the slogan of "Brittania
Rules the Waves" would have gone into the dust- bin of history early in the 1920's.
The pre-war gold parity had given a dollar to pound relation of $4.86 per pound
sterling. As an avid imperialist Montagu Norman was insisting by the mid-1920's
that the pound return to the gold standard at the pre-war rate. A high pound
was a disaster for British exports, but gave the British great advantages when
it came to buying American and other foreign real estate, stocks, minerals, food,
and all other external commodities. A high pound also maximized British earnings
on insurance, shipping, and financial services -- London's so-called "invisible
exports" and earnings.
LORD NORMAN'S GOLD EXCHANGE STANDARD, 1925-1931
The nineteenth century gold standard had always been an instrument of British
world domination. The best economic growth achieved by the United States during
the century had been registered between 1861 and the implementation of the Specie
Resumption Act in 1879. During that time the United States enjoyed the advantage
of its own nationally controlled currency, Lincoln's greenbacks. Specie resumption
meant re-opening the Treasury window where holders of paper dollars could have
these dollars exchanged for gold coins. The United States in 1879 thus returned
to a gold coin standard, under which paper money circulated side by side with
$20 and $50 gold pieces. This practice proved to be deflationary and detrimental
to economic development, while it increased American vulnerability to British
currency manipulations.
The post-1918 gold standard de-emphasized the circulation of gold coins, although
this still went on. It was rather a gold exchange standard, under which smaller
countries who chose the gold standard could hold some of their reserves in the
leading gold-backed currencies like the pound sterling or the dollar. These currencies
were counted as theoretically as good as gold. The advantage to the smaller countries
was that they could keep their reserves on deposit in London and earn interest
according to the British bank rate. As one London commentator noted at the time, "...many
countries returning to gold "have had such confidence in the stability of the
system, and in particular in the security of the dollar and of sterling, that
they have been content to leave part of the reserves of their currencies in London." [Economist,
September 26, 1931, p. 549]
The post-1918 gold exchange standard included the workings of the so-called gold
points. This had to do with the relation of currency quotations to the established
gold parity. Norman wanted the pound sterling to be worth $4.86. If the pound
strengthened so as to trade for $5, let us say, then the pound was said to have
exceeded the gold import point. American and other gold would be shipped to London
by those who owned gold. That gold would be deposited in London and would earn
interest there. If, as later happened, the pound went down to 4 dollars to the
pound, then the pound was said to have passed the gold export point, and British
gold would be physically shipped to New York to take advantage of the superior
earnings there. This meant that if Norman wanted to keep a strong pound, he needed
to weaken the dollar at the same time, since with a strong dollar the British
gold would flee from London, forcing Norman to devalue the pound sterling, lowering
its the gold parity. Notice that gold movements were to a very large degree based
on the decisions of individual banks and investors.
(During the later 1930's, after the a period in which the dollar floated downward
in terms of gold, the United States under Franklin D. Roosevelt established a
gold reserve standard, also called by FDR's critics a "qualified external bullion
standard," in which gold transactions were limited to settlements with foreign
central banks, while private citizens were barred from holding gold. This was
similar to the gold reserve provisions of the Bretton Woods system of 1944-1971.)
Norman's problem was that his return to the pre-1914 pound rate was much too
high for the ravaged post-1918 British economy to support. Both the US and the
British had undergone an economic downturn in the early 1920's, but while the
US soon bounced back, the British were never able to recover. British manufactures
were now considered low-quality and obsolete.
THE
GOLDEN CHANCELLOR
Nevertheless, Norman insisted on a gold pound at $4.86. He had to convince Winston
Churchill, the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Norman whispered into Churchill's
ear: "I will make you the golden chancellor." Great Britain and the rest of the
Empire returned to the gold standard in April, 1925. Norman himself craved the
title of "currency dictator of Europe." And indeed, many of the continental central
banks were in his pocket.
It was much easier to return to the gold standard than it was to stay there.
British industrial exports, including coal, were priced out of the world market,
and unemployment rose to 1.2 million, the highest since Britain had become an
industrial country. Emile Moreau, the governor of the Bank of France, commented
that Norman's gold standard had "provoked unemployment without precedent in world
history." British coal miners were especially hard hit, and when the mine owners
announced wage reductions, Britain experienced the 1926 general strike, which
was defeated with Winston Churchill as chief scab and strike-breaker.
But Norman did not care. He was a supporter of the post- industrial society based
on the service sector, especially financial services. The high pound meant that
British oligarchs could buy up the world's assets at bargain basement prices.
They could buy US and European real estate, banks, and firms. Norman's goal was
British financial supremacy: "...his sights remained stubbornly fixed on the
main target: that of restoring the City to its coveted place at the heart of
the financial and banking universe. Here was the best and most direct means,
as he saw it, of earning as much for Britain in a year as could be earned in
a decade by plaintive indsutrialists who refused to move with the times. The
City could do more for the country by concentrating on the harvest of invisible
exports to be reaped from banking, shipping, and insurance than could all the
backward industrialists combined." [Boyle, 222]
Montagu Norman's golden pound would have been unthinkable without the puppet
role of Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal Reserve Bank. Since the pound
was grotesquely overvalued, the British were running a balance of payments defecit
because of their excess of imports over exports. That meant that Norman had to
ship gold from the Bank of England in Threadneedle Street across the Atlantic.
The British gold started to flow towards New York, where most of the world's
gold already was.
The only way to stop the flow of gold from London to New York, Norman reasoned,
was to get the United States to launch a policy of easy money, low interest rates,
reflation, and a weak dollar - in short, a policy of inflation. The key to obtaining
this was Benjamin Strong, who dominated the New York Fed, and was in a position
to dominate the entire Federal Reserve system which was, of course, independent
of the "political control" of the US government which these oligarchs so much
resented.
In essense, Norman's demand was that the US should launch a bubble economy. The
newly-generated credit could be used for American loans to Germany or Latin America.
Or, it could be used to leverage speculative purchases of stocks. Very soon most
of the new credit was flowing into broker call loans for margin buying of stocks.
This meant that by advancing a small percentage of the stock price, speculators
could borrow money to buy stocks, leaving the stocks with the broker as collateral
for the loans. There are many parellels between the measures urged for the US
by Norman in 1925 and the policies urged on Japan by London and Wall Street in
1986, leading to the Japanese bubble and their current banking crisis.
In 1925, as the pound was returning to gold, Montagu Norman, Hjalmar Schacht
and Charles Rist, the deputy governor of the Banque de France visited Benjamin
Strong in New York to mobilize his network of influential insiders for easy money
and low interest rates in the US. Strong was able to obtain the policies requested
by Norman and his European puppets. Norman & Co. made a second pilgrimage
to Wall Street between 28 June and 1 July 1927 to promote American speculation
and inflation. On this second lobbying trip, Norman exhibited grave concern because
the first half of 1927 had witnessed a large movement of gold into New York.
Strong and his cabal immediately went into action.
The second coming of Norman and Schacht in 1927 motivated Strong to force through
new reflation of the money supply in July and a further cut in the US discount
rate in August of that same year. The rediscount rate of the New York Fed was
cut from 4% to 3.5%. This was the credit which stoked the culminating phase of
the Coolidge Bull Market during 1928 and 1929. Strong also got the FOMC to begin
buying US Treasury securities in open market operations, leaving the banks flush
with cash. This cash soon wandered into the broker call loan market, where it
was borrowed by stock speculators to buy stock on margin, fueling a growing stock
speculation. Interest rates in London were supposed, according to Norman, to
be kept above those in New York - although Norman later deviated from this when
it suited him.
In his essay "The Economic Consequences of Mr. Churchill," Lord Keynes noted
that the British had returned to gold at a rate that was at least 10% too high;
Keynes showed that the British government had also chosen a policy of deliberately
increasing unemployment, especially in the export industries in order to drive
down wages. In order to stem the flow of gold out of London, Keynes observed,
the Bank of England's policy was to "encourage the United States to lend us money
by maintaining the unprecedented situation of a bill rate 1 per cent higher in
London than in New York." [Essays in Persuasion, p. 254]
One alarmed observer of these events was, ironically, Secretary of Commerce Herbert
Hoover of the Coolidge administration, who condemned the Fed policies as "direct
inflation." "In November, 1925," recounts Hoover, "it was confirmed to me by
Adolph Miller, a member of the Reserve Board, that Strong and his European allies
proposed still more 'easy money policies,' which included continued manipulation
of the discount rates and open market operations - more inflation." Hoover says
he protested to Fed chairman Daniel Crissinger, a political appointee left over
from the Harding era who was in over his head. "The other members of the board," says
Hoover, "except Adolph Miller, were mediocrities, and Governor Strong was a mental
annex of Europe."
Hoover had to some extent struggled behind the scenes in 1925 against Norman's
demands, but by 1927 he had begun to defer in matters of high finance to Ogden
Mills, who was willing to go along with the Bank of England program. After the
crash, Hoover's friend Adolph Miller of the Fed Board of Governors told a committee
of the US Senate:
In the year 1927...you will note the pronounced increase in these holdings [US
Treasury securities held by the Fed] in the second half of the year. Coupled
with the heavy purchases of acceptances it was the greatest and boldest operation
every undertaken by the Federal Reserve System, and, in my judgment, resulted
in one of the most costly errors committed by it or any other banking system
in the last 75 years....
What was the object of the Federal Reserve Policy in 1927? It was to bring down
money rates, the call rate among them, because of the international importance
the call rate had come to acquire. The purpose was to start an outflow of gold
- to reverse the previous inflow of gold into this country.
[Senate Hearings pursuant to S.R. 71, 1931, p. 134 in Lionel Robbins, The Great
Depression (London, 1934), p. 53.]
A few years later the British economist Lionel Robbins offered the following
commentary on Miller's testimony: "The policy succeeded....The London position
was eased. The reflation succeeded. But from that date, the situation got completely
out of control. By 1928 the authorities were throughly frightened. But now the
forces they had released were too strong for them. In vain they issued secret
warnings. In vain they pushed up their own rates of discount. Velocity of circulation,
the frenzied anticipation of speculators and company promoters, had now taken
control. With resignation the best men in the system looked forward to the inevitable
smash." [Robbins, pp. 53-54]
Robbins contends that the Wall Street bubble of 1925-1929 was built on top of
an economy that was sinking into recession in 1925. The Norman-Strong bubble
masked that recession until the panic exploded in 1929. Robbins places the responsibility
for the Crash at the door of the Federal Reserve and its European counterparts: "Thus,
in the last analysis, it was deliberate co-operation between Central bankers,
deliberate 'reflation' on the part of the Federal Reserve authorities, which
produced the worst phase of this stupendous inflation." [Robbins, p. 54]
The evolution of the Norman's tactics shows clearly enough that he did not provoke
a crash in New York out of legitimate self defense, to protect the Bank of England's
gold from being exported to Manhattan. Norman was willing to sacrifice massive
quantities of gold in order to feed the New York bubble and thus be sure that
when panic finally came, it would be as devastating as possible. Between July
1928 and February, 1929, the New York Fed lending rate was 5%, half a point higher
than the 4.5% that was the going rate at the Bank of England. As the London Economist
commented, "two years ago [in early 1927] no one would have believed New York
could remain half a point above London for more than a few weeks without London
being forced to follow suit." [Economist, February 9, 1929, p. 275] All during
the autumn of 1928 the Bank of England hemorrhaged gold to Manhattan, as British
pounds hurried to cash in on the 12% annual interest rates to be had in the Wall
Street brokers' call loan market. Even in January and February of 1929, months
when the Bank of England could normally expect to take in gold, the gold outflow
continued.
During the first week of February, 1929, Norman raised the London bank rate to
5.5%. The Economist snidely commented:
Finally, the 5.5 per cent. rate comes as a definite signal to America. It must
not be supposed that Continental centres will remain indifferent to London's
lead, and its cumulative effect may well be a definite pronouncement that Europe
is not prepared to stand idly by and see the world's stocks sucked into a maelstrom.
Wall Street can scarcely remain indifferent to such a pronouncement, especially
if the New York Reserve Bank follows by a sharp increase in its own rate. In
any case, the establishment of European interest rates upon a new and higher
level may well draw gold back from New York before long; and if so the 5.5 per
cent. rate will have done its work.
[Economist, 9 February 1929, p. 275]
The higher British bank rate scared a number of Wall Street speculators. In two
days the Dow Jones average declined by about 15 points to 301. On the day Norman
hiked the rates, the volume went over 5 million shares, at that tme an extraordinary
level. But within a few days the momentum of speculation reasserted itself.
The signal sent by the higher London Bank Rate was underlined in March 1929 by
the Anglophile banker Paul Warburg. This was once again the scion of the notorious
Anglo-Venetian Del Banco family who had been the main architect of the Federal
Reserve System. Warburg now warned that the upward movement of stock prices was "quite
unrelated to respective increases in plant, property, or earning power." In Warburg's
view, unless the "colossal volume of loans" and the "orgy of unrestrained speculation" could
be checked, stocks would ultimately crash, causing "a general depression involving
the entire country." [Noyes, p. 324]
Between February and April 1929, the Bank of England was able slightly to improve
its gold stocks. By late April the pound began to weaken, and the Banque de France,
true to Moreau's hard line policy, siphoned off more of Norman's gold. July 1929
was a bad month for Threadneedle Street's gold. By August 21, 1929 the Bank of
England had paid out 24 million pounds' worth of gold since the start of the
year. In August and September, however, the gold outflow slowed.
On the morning of 4 September 1929, the New York hedge fund operator Jesse Livermore
received a message from a source in London according to which a "high official" of
the Bank of England - either Montagu Norman or one of his minions - had told
a luncheon group of City of London men that "the American bubble has burst." The
same official was also quoted as saying that Norman was looking for an excuse
to raise the discount rate before the end of the month. The message concluded
by noting that a financier by the name of Clarence Hatry was in big financial
trouble. [Thomas and Morgan-Witts, pp. 279-280]
The New York Federal Reserve Bank had raised its discount rate to 6% on August
8. Soon therafter, the market began to run out of steam. The peak of the Coolidge
bull market was attained on September 3, 1929, when many leading stocks reached
their highest price quotations. So Livermore's Bank of England source had been
right on te money. On Sept. 5, the market broke downward on bearish predictions
from economic forecaster Roger Babson, who on this day won his nickname as "the
Prophet of Loss." During the following weeks, the market drifted sideways and
downward.
On September 20, 1929 it became known in the City of London that the Clarence
Hatry group, which supposedly had been worth about 24 million pounds, was hopelessly
insolvent. On that day Hatry and his leading associates confessed to fraud and
forgery in the office of Sir Archibald Bodkin, the Director of Public Prosecutions,
went to have lunch at the Charing Cross Hotel, and were jailed. Hatry later asserted
that in late August, he had made a secret visit to the Bank of England to appeal
to Montagu Norman for financing to allow him to complete a merger with United
Steel Company, a UK firm. Norman had adamantly refused Hatry's bid for a bridge
loan. By 17 September, when Hatry stock began to fall on the London exchange,
Hatry had liabilities of 19 million pounds and assets of 4 million pounds.
When, on 19 September, Hatry approached Lloyd's Bank in last a desperate bid
for financing, the wayward financier had told his story to Sir Gilbert Garnsey,
a chartered accountant. Garnsey had made a second approach to Norman for emergency
financing, and had also been rebuffed. At this point Norman had informed the
chairman of the London Stock Exchange that the Hatry group was bankrupt; in this
conversation it was agreed that trading in Hatry shares would be suspended on
20 September.
Norman thus wanted the Hatry bankruptcy; he could have prevented it if he had
wanted to. How many times did Norman, who operated totally in the dark as far
as the British government and public were concerned, bail out other tycoons who
happened to be his friends and allies? The Hatry affair was useful to Norman
first of all because it caused a rapid fall in the London stock market. London
stockjobbers who were caught short on cash were forced to liquidate their New
York holdings, and the Economist spoke of "forced sales" on Wall Street occasioned
by the "Hatry disclosures." [London Economist, 23 November, 1929, p. 955] More
important, Norman could now pretend that since confidence in London had been
rudely shaken, he needed to raise the bank rate to prevent a further flight of
funds.
Less than a week after the Hatry group's debacle, Norman made his final and decisive
bid to explode the New York bubble. He once again raised the Bank of England
discount rate. As the New York Times reported from London, "the atmosphere was
tense in the financial district and exciting scenes were witnessed outside the
Royal Exchange. Ten minutes before noon a uniformed messenger rushed into the
corridor of the Bank carrying a framed notice over his head. The notice read:
'Bank rate 6 1/2 per cent.' A wild scramble ensued as messengers and brokers
dashed back to their offices with the news." One of the subtitles of the Times's
article was "BUSINESS FEARS RESULTS". [NYT, 27 September 1929] And well they
might have.
6.5% was a very high discount rate for London in those days, and a full point
had been a big jump. The London rate had not been so high since 1921, during
the so-called deflation panic of 1920-21. The British move towards higher rates
was imitated within two days by the central banks of smaller continental states
where British influence was high: Austria, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and the Irish
Republic all hiked their discount rate. On October 10 the British monetary authorities
in India also raised the discount rate there by a full point. Added to the steps
already taken by the Bank of England, these actions generated a giant sucking
sound as money was pulled out of New York and across the Atlantic.
The Economist approved Norman's maneuver, while blaming "the continuance of Stock
Exchange speculation in America, with its concomitant high call rates" for the
need to go 6.5%. Such a high rate would of course be highly destructive to British
factories and farms, but this, as we have already seen, counted for nothing in
Norman's machinations. The Economist commentary ended with a very sinister prophecy:
Still, on the whole, few will doubt that the Bank was right this week to change
over to its...alternative of imposing dearer money rates at home. It has decided
to do so at a moment when the fates are becoming propitious to an early success,
which should permit of a relaxation of the present tension before too long a
period has elapsed.
[28 September 1929, p. 557]
What the Economist meant by success, as we will see, was the detonation of a
collossal panic in New York. By abruptly pulling millions of pounds out of New
York, Norman turned the sagging Coolidge bull market into the biggest rout in
stock market history up to that time. Then, as the Economist suggests, the British
bank rate could come down again.
John Kenneth Galbraith, in his much-quoted study The Great Crash, curiously manages
to avoid mentioning the raise in the British Bank Rate as the immediate detonator
of the Crash of 1929. But then, Galbraith is a Canadian and an Anglophile. But
a few old American textbooks had the story somewhat better: "The stovck-market
collapse came in October, 1929 when English interest rates were raised to six
and one-half per cent in order to bring home needed capital that had been attracted
to the United States by the high speculative profits," wrote hicks and Mowry
in their 1956 Short History of American Democracy".
Various London outlets now began feverishly signalling that it was time to pull
the rug out from under the New York market. A prominent signaller was Philip
Snowdon, the Chancellor of the Exchequer in the Labour Party government of Ramsay
MacDonald which had come into power in the spring of 1929 on a platform which
had included the need for better relations with the United States. On October
3, 1929, Snowdon addressed the Labour Party's annual conference in Brighton.
Snowdon's audience was understandably not happy with a higher bank rate, since
they would be the main victims of unemployment.
Snowdon, while stressing that Norman's actions were independent of the Exchequer,
genially told the delegates that "there was no other recourse." Why not? Snowdon
first repeated the argument about defending London's gold stocks: "Monetary conditions
in America, Germany, and France have been such as to create a great demand for
the currencies of those countries, dollars, marks, and francs, and a consequent
selling of sterling, with the result that the rates of exchange have gone against
us recently, reaching points where payments were taken in gold." The US, in particular,
was the culprit: "In New York, with America's plethora of liquid capital and
high rates, there has been a usual year's orgy of speculation, draining money
away from England." "There has been a raid on the financial resources of this
country which the increased bank rate is now intended to check" Snowdon ranted. "The
object of the increased rate is to draw money back to England," Snowdon stressed.
The hardship of high rates must be blamed on the US: "...there must be something
wrong and requiring our attention when such an orgy 3,000 miles away can so dislocate
the financial system of this country and inflict injury on our workers and employers." It
was time to bail out of New York and come home to London, Snowdon urged: "British
credit is the best in the world. The British market is the safest in the world
for those who are satisfied with reasonable investments and not lured into wild
speculations." [NYT, 4 October 1929]
When J.P. Morgan read this speech, he was reportedly apoplectic that Snowdon
had repeated his catchphrase of "orgy of speculation" so many times. But J.P.
Morgan was also in the process of going short.
Snowdon's speech was widely applauded in the City of London, the New York Times
reported the next day, and his "reference to the effect of the American speculation
on the international situation was also approved...the feeling is that such movements
must be allowed to bring their own correction." [NYT, 6 October 1929] The "correction" was
now only a few weeks away.
On October 21, 1929 the Great Crash began. On October 24, at the height of the
panic, Winston Churchill appeared briefly in the visitors' gallery of the New
York Stock Exchange to view the boiling trading floor and savor the chaos he
had wrought. On October 29, the principal market index lost 40 points on a volume
of almost 12.9 million shares, an all-time record in that epoch.
One of the remarkable features of October 29 was the large number of immense
block lots of stock that were dumped on the market, in contrast to the previous
days when the panic had mainly involved smaller margin-leveraged investors. In
those days the financial editor of the New York Times was the veteran journalist
Alexander Dana Noyes, who had played the role of Anglophile Cassandra of the
Coolidge market: at every periodic convulsion in the speculative fever, Noyes
had proclaimed that the day of reckoning had finally come. In his later autobiography,
The Market Place: Reminiscences of a Financial Editor (Boston: Little Brown,
1938), Noyes admits in passing that the British had played a key role in the
dumping of these large blocks of stock: "Afterward, it came to be known that
the forced selling was not only stock which had been bought for the rise by the
hundreds of of thousands of outside speculators, but represented also the closing-out
of professional speculators who had been individually 'carrying' immense lines
of stock. Possibly London, which after its habit had been joining in the American
speculation...started indiscriminate foreign selling." [p. 330]
By the end of October, the total value of stocks listed on the New York Exchange
had declined by 37%. That, it turned out, was only the beginning. By the time
the bottom was finally reached in March, 1933, stocks had declined in price by
more than 80%. By 1932 commodity prices had fallen by 30 to 40%. World manufacuring
production was down by 30 to 50%. World trade declined by two thirds. The International
Labor Office in 1933 said that approximately 33 million persons were out of work.
By Halloween, Norman was able to reduce the London rate from 6.5% to 6%. The
Economist gloated:
"Seldom has the country received a more agreeable surprise than that sprung upon
it by the Bank of England when at, twelve o'clock on Thursday morning, it announced
that its rate had been reduced from 6 1/2 to 6 per cent. Five weeks ago, when
Bank rate was raised from 5 1/2 to 6 1/2 per cent., doubts were freely expressed
lest the new rate might not prove effective in correcting the exchanges and stemming
the flow of gold from this country; and voices were heard foreboding that 6 1/2
per cent. might have to be followed by 7 1/2 per cent. in a few weeks' time.
Less than three weeks sufficed to confound the school of extreme pessimists,
for by the middle of October [when the New York panic began] it was plain that
all danger of a higher Bank rate had passed. The dollar was nearer the import
than the export gold point, the mark was back to par, and London and the sterling
was proving a magnet for the world's floating balances.
"The final collapse of the Wall Street boom under the avalanche of selling which
began on Thursday of last week, and which must be regarded as the main factor
in the Bank's decision, has confounded optimists and pessimists alike. ...it
must be borne in mind that the Bank rate was raised to 6 1/2 per cent. last September
solely to make London an attractive centre for short money. ...the crux of the
situation lay in the attraction of the New York market both for floating balances
to be lent at call, and for the funds of private investors anxious to participate
in the profts of a boom which appeared to have no end. Steps had to be taken
by the Bank of England to counter a situation which threatened to become critical
for its own reserves.
"Even before Wall Street's 'Black Thursday,' events showed that the new Bank
rate was achieving its objects to an extent surpassing expectations....With the
final collapse of the Wall Street boom, and the definite end of a critical phase
in the world's monetary history, in which New York had been an inconveniently
overwhelming competitor for international funds, the Bank of Ebgland decided...to
lose no time in allowing Bank rate to drop to the level of the market rate....
"...it would be premature to jump to the conclusion that the Wall Street break
has cleared the world's monetary and commercial horizon of every cloud...there
is warrant for hoping that the deflation of the exaggerated balloon of American
stock values will ultimately be for the good of the world....we look for a gradual
improvement in the international monetary situation as the huge balances hitherto
concentrated in New York redistribute themselves over the rest of the world -
thus greatly easing the strain on the British banking system and opening possibilities
for a further reduction in Bank rate in the not very distant future....
"The cessation of the westward flow of funds, even if the reversal of the process
does not lead to the early recovery by London of all, or nearly all, her lost
gold, should greatly ease the difficulties presented by the problems of international
debt payments and the interrelated Reparations issue...The 6 1/2 per cent. rate
HAS DONE ITS WORK AND DONE IT WELL." [London Economist, 2 November 1929, pp.
805-806, emphasis added]
On November 23, when the smoke had cleared on Wall Street and the wreckage there
was more clearly visible, the Economist catalogued "Reactions to the Wall Street
Slump." Again they recurred to Montagu Norman's interest rate hike of September
26: "That advance...was a by no means negligible factor in turning into the opposite
direction the tide of funds which had been flowing so strongly toward New York,
and in causing the edifice of the American speculation to totter." [London Economist,
23 November 1929, p. 955]
By mid-December the London discount rate was down to 5%. The Economist in its
year-end review of 1929, repeated its praise for Norman's bank rate strategem: "In
the financial world we faced and met a crisis which, in the opinion of the doubters,
threatened even to endanger the gold standard in this country. But after enduring
a long-continued drain of gold...the Bank at a critical moment took a course
as bold as it was successful, and in the event it proved necessary only to put
up with acutely dear money for a matter of weeks." In that holiday season of
1929 the Economist saw "a depression from across the Atlantic of cyclonic force" but
since "Great Britain's monetary position in regard to gold need give rise to
no anxiety" and British "industry starts a New Year ...on more even terms with
our competitors than for many years past," Norman had scored a "success."
Norman had succeeded in torpedoing the US economy, but he had also unleashed
a world depression. The British had been in a depression anyway, so getting the
rest of the world to join them in their misery was a highly positive development.
As for Benjamin Strong, he had died in October, 1928.
FROM
COLLAPSE TO DISINTEGRATION
During 1930, levels of employment and production declined sharply in most of
the world. British unemployment went from a colossal 1.34 million at the end
of 1929 to an astronomical 2.5 million at the end of 1930. By late in the year
Lord Keynes was writing of the "Great Slump of 1930," as a result of which mankind
was living "this year in the shadow of one of the greatest economic catastrophes
of modern history." [Essays in Persuasion, p. 135] Keynes estimated that the
level of new capital investment in the United States was by late 1930 already
20% to 30% less than it had been in 1928. [p. 145]
1930 also saw a series of post-crash banking failures, especially among smaller
banks of the rural south. These bank failures struck Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas,
and North Carolina. There was also the insolvency of the Bank of United States
in the New York City garment district.
With Wall Street crippled, London quickly became the center of what today would
be called international hot money, with short term sterling balances that were
ready to rush anywhere in the world a better rate of return could be obtained.
During the period of uncertainty about the fate of the French franc between 1924
and 1926, large amounts of French hot money had shifted into London and had remained
there. This money would exit with particular abruptness in case of trouble in
London. This meant that a sudden collapse of confidence in London could easily
lead to panic and the massive flight of capital.
THE COLLAPSE OF EUROPE
In late 1929 and 1930, the British financiers noticed very little change in their
usual depression routine. But the explosion in New York cut off loans and wrecked
the banking system in central Europe, as signalled by the Kreditanstalt banruptcy
in Vienna in May 1931, and the fall of the Danatbank and the rest of the German
banks in July of the same year.
Vienna had been chronically troubled because of its status as the full-sized
head of a truncated body after the breakup of the Austro- Hungarian Empire. The
Kreditanstalt, a Rothschild property, was the survivor among the Vienna banking
houses, which had succumbed one by one to the post-Versailles slump. As a result,
Kreditanstalt owed $76 million abroad, mainly to UK and US investors. An international
effort to bail out the Kreditanstalt with the help of the Rothschilds, the Bank
for International Settlements, the Bank of England, and others availed nothing.
Failure of the Kreditanstalt meant the bankruptcy of much of central Europe.
The crisis of the German banks took center stage. Even more than in Austria,
the drying up of New York as a source of lending was the main culprit here. It
was estimated that Germany had to meet yearly foreign payments of $800 million,
including the onerous reparations. A run on the Berlin banks developed. Within
a short time Germany was forced to export two fifths of her gold reserves for
a total of $230 million.
The crisis in Berlin inevitably had immediate and serious repercussions in London.
Some believed that British financial houses had been too slow to pull their money
out of Berlin, and that large sums owned by the British had been frozen in Berlin
when the banks there were shut down. Part of the panic travelled to London by
way of Amsterdam: the Dutch banks had loaned heavily in Germany, and the Dutch
withdrew their considerable assets from London to stay afloat. Now the tremors
unleashed by the Crash of 1929 had undermined the entire banking system in Germany,
Austria, Romania, Hungary, and the rest of central Europe.
It was at this point, with a cynical treacherous reversal of their entire policy,
that the British decided to wreck the sterling- centered international monetary
system which they had re-assembled after World War I. Their gesture was similar
to the speculative attacks on the pound mounted by George Soros and other British-
backed speculators in September, 1992, which aimed at destroying the European
Exchange Rate Mechanism, a grid of relatively fixed parities among the continental
currencies. In soccer terms it was an "autogol" or own goal, scored against one's
own purported team.
In the midst of the German crisis the fact that German reparations and interallied
war debts could not be payed was finally recognized by US President Herbert Hoover,
who was realistic enough to proclaim the debt moratorium which bears his name
- the Hoover moratorium of June, 1931, which froze all reparations and war debt
payments for 1 year. This moratorium was approved by the US Congress with sweeping
majorities in December, 1931. But the Hoover moratorium was too little and too
late. By the time Hoover had made up his mind to act, Schacht's Reichsbank was
just a few weeks away from defaulting on gold payment and imposing strict controls
on all currency transfers to the outside world. Another problem with the Hoover
moratorium was that it was announced for only one year - it should have been
for the duration of the crisis. The Hoover Moratorium also contained a domestic
political trick: if the European governments were not required to pay their debt
to the United States government, then those same Europeans might still have enough
liquidity to pay back their loans American privately owned banks and businesses.
So the US Treasury would have suffered, for the benefit of the private sector.
In December, 1932 France, Belgium and other debtors defaulted, and the Hoover
Moratorium became permanent in practice.
Under the guidance of Schacht and Montagu Norman, the Germany of Chancellor Heinrich
Bruening rapidly evolved into the prototype of the autarkical currency bloc of
the 1930's. Most of the classical Schachtian apparatus later employed by Hitler
was already in place before Hitler ever came to power.
The emergence of the mark zone was also assisted by Hoover's Secretary of State,
the notorious Anglophile Henry Stimson -- the ego ideal of the youthful George
Bush. It was in fact Simson who, while attending the London Conference on the
German crisis, proposed the so-called Standstill Agreements, which stated that
creditors owed money by the German government or by German banks and businesses
would be obliged to refrain from demanding payment, and in any case not to take
their money out of Germany. This gambit was found especially appalling by Jacques
Rueff, who was in attendance. A debt moratorium for the duration of the crisis
would have been simpler and far more effective. As it was, the ability of German
residents to buy and spend abroad was throughly curtailed. Soon all trade was
restricted, and frozen and blocked accounts were instituted. The Reichsbank rediscount
rate went to a strangulating 10%, and the rate on collateral loans went to 15%.
In the domestic economy, deflation and austerity were the order of the day. All
of this played politically into the hands of Hitler and the Nazis, which was
precisely the intention of Montagu Norman.
LONDON'S SINGAPORE DEFENSE OF THE BRITISH POUND, 1931
The surrender to Japan of the British naval base and fortress of Singapore on
February 15, 1941 was the culmination of one of the most absurd military farces
in the history of Perfide Albion. This was the result of a long-term, conscious
and deliberate committment to surrender Singapore as soon as possible if attacked
by Japan, combined with the need to make a sham of defending the place so as
not unduly to arouse the suspicions of the bloody Yanks. The British were looking
ahead to the postwar world. They wanted the Japanese to have plenty of time to
attain and fortify their defense perimeter, so that the US losses in rolling
back Nippon would be nothing short of catastrophic. At the same time, the British
wantesd to hide this treachery from the US public. It had to look as if they
were caving in to force majeure.
At the time, every schoolboy knew that the British had fortified their coast
defense artillery so that the guns could only point out to sea, and not to the
land approaches, which were the axis of attack chosen by the Japanese. The British
troops present, mainly imperial conscripts, were more or less overtly told not
to fight. Once the needs of dramaturgy for the US market had been satisfied,
Gen. Percival, the British commander, surrendered with all deliberate speed.
The feeble efforts to save the pound mounted by Montagu Norman's Bank of England
and by Ramsay MacDonald's national unity cabinet in the summer of 1931 can be
usefully summed up as a "Singapore defense" avant la lettre -- a bungling bogus
sham that was deliberately designed to fail.
NORMAN INTENDED TO DEFAULT ALL ALONG
There is sold evidence that Montagu Norman's decision to provoke a British default
on gold payment dated back to mid-July, 1931, well before the pound got into
trouble. The following is an account of Montagu Norman's meeting with the German
delegation during the London Conference of July, 1931, which had been called
together to deal with the crisis of the German banks and currency. Norman's preferred
recipe for Germany was default on gold payment, standstill agreements, and a
possible debt moratorium. As we see here, Norman told German State Secretary
Schaeffer that in a few weeks it would be clear what he was driving at -- which
in retrospect was understood by all concerned as an allusion to Norman's own
coming British default on gold payment:
"Zur fuer die ganze Konferenz entscheidenden internen Sitzung kam es am 21. [Juli
1931] in der britischen Treasury, an der Reichskanzler Bruening, Ministerialdirektor
Schwerin-Krosigk, Staatssekretaer Schaeffer und Geheimrat Vocke auf deutscher
und Montague Norman, Sir William Leith-Ross und Waley auf britischer Seite teilnahmen.
In dieser Sitzung erklaerte Montague Norman mit aller Offenheit, dass er bei
vollem Verstaendinis fuer die deutsche Lage nicht imstande sei, ueber die Bank
von England zu helfen, da dise selbst durch die anhaltende Geldabzuege der letzten
Tage (taeglich bis zu 2 Mill. Pfund) unter schwerstem Druck stehe. Sein einziger
- und unter den gegebenen Verhaeltnissen auch einzig moeglicher - Rat waere,
die Konferenz schnell zu beenden, deutscherseits selbst private Stillhaltevereinbarungen
mit den Auslandsglauebigern zu treffen, gegebenfalls ein Auslandsmoratorium -
und im Inneren Suspendierung der Goldeinloesungs- und Golddeckungspflicht, mit
anderen Worten genau das, was England acht Wochen spaeter selbst zu tun gezwungen
war. Dass Norman dabei bereits an diese spaetere eigene Politik dachte, geht
daraus hervor, dass er im Anschluss an die Sitzung Staatssekretaer Schaeffer
persoenlich erklaerte, dass Schaeffer ihn in wenigen Wochen wohl verstehen wuerde." [Rolf
E. Lueke, Von der Stabilisierung zur Krise (Zuerich: Polygraphischer Verlag,
)
This report not only illuminates the timing of Norman's decision to default.
It also shows how explicitly Norman pushed Germany into the status of an autarkical
currency bloc, with all international payments subject to strict government controls.
On August 23, Norman (who was nursing one of his periodic nervous breakdowns
in Canada) talked by telephone with Harrison of the New York Fed. Harrison asked
Norman if he though that the austerity program proposed by the new British National
Government were adequate. Norman replied that he believed that the austerity
program was not adequate, and that any inadequate program was bound to cause
trouble within a year or so. Norman recommended exploiting the current crisis
to force through an economic adjustment featuring a drastic reduction in wages
and in the cost of production, so as to make British goods competitive again.
If this were done, Norman thought, there would be no need for any loans. Harrison
objected that it might be risky to rely exclusively on a balanced budget to defend
a currency. Norman was signalling a new defeatist policy for the Bank of England
-- one that impotently called on the British government to impose more austerity.
HARVEY LIES TO THE CABINET
The Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Sir Ernest Harvey - the man who actually
terminated the British gold standard - was uniformly defeatist throughout the
crisis. At a cabinet meeting on September 3, Harvey expressed his conviction
that "the future course of events depended largely upon the attitude of the British
public towards the Government's proposals." This view, expressed at the height
of the crisis, was at odds with the entire Bank of England and postwar central
bank ideology, which stressed the autonomy and power of the central banks over
the flailing of the politicians and governments. For three centuries the Bank
of England had considered itself responsible for the fate of the pound; now Harvey
was talking out of the other side of his mouth. This reversal of attitude was
also expressed in Lord Norman's constant refrain that the crisis of the pound
had to be solved by a balanced budget on the part of the British government,
and not by an increase in the Bank Rate of other measures which only the Bank
of England itself could take.
As contemporary observer Palyi writes, "several 'eyewitnesses' have told this
writer that both those in the Treasury and in the Bank had convinced themselves
that Britain's house could not be brought into order without first 'teaching
a lesson' to a public which was either indifferent or indolent." [Palyi, p. 269]
But that was a cover story for deliberately scuttling the pound.
At that same cabinet meeting of September 3, Sir Ernest Harvey told the cabinet
that total losses by the Bank of England since the beginning of the crisis amounted
so far to 130 million pounds in gold and foreign exchange. Harvey then deliberately
lied to the cabinet, stating that since the loans made to London by the foreign
central banks would have to be repaid in gold if they could not be paid any other
way, this "amounted in effect to a lien on a portion of their existing gold holding
and reduced their actual free holding to little more than 80 million pounds or
about the equivalent of the new government credit." As one historian comments, "This
alarming exposition of the credit agreements was...seriously misleading. They
did not provide for a lien on the Bank of England's gold or anything close to
it. Rather they contained a gold payment clause which required that payment be
made in gold." [Kunz, p. 122]
LONDON REFUSES TO RAISE BANK RATE TO CRISIS LEVEL
As Robbins notes, the monetarist orthodoxy of British financial experts between
the two world wars was that if a country got into economic trouble, "You must
put up your bank rate and you must limit your fiduciary issue. Anything else
is bad finance." Curiously, when the terminal crisis of Montagu Norman's much-vaunted
gold standard finally arrived, the British did neither of these things.
British monetarist ideology featured the faith that an increase in the Bank of
England's bank rate could pull gold up out of the ground, or even attract gold
to London from the moon. The bank rate was at the heart of the entire British
fetish of usury.
Fiduciary issue of currency was a means used to regulate the supply of credit.
These were extra bank notes issued by the central bank. Cutting fiduciary issue
would have meant a credit contraction - tight money. In the midst of the summer,
1931 pound and gold crisis, the British actually increased their fiduciary issue,
when their own orthodoxy would have dictated a sharp cut. But the Norman's Bank
of England persistently increased fiduciary issue in the face of the crisis.
NORMAN'S REFUSAL TO HIKE THE BANK RATE
As for the Bank Rate, the Bank of England acted in violent contradiction to its
own monetarist orthodoxy. As one scholar later summed up:
"On May 14 [1931], immediately after the collapse of the Kredit-Anstalt, the
Bank Rate was actually lowered, from 3 to 2 1/2 per cent. It was not changed
until July 23rd, when at last it was raised to 3 1/2 per cent. During the last
week or so of July the Bank of England lost over 25 million pounds in gold. On
July 30th the Bank Rate was again raised, but only to 4 1/2 per cent, and there
it remained until September 21st. Great Britain had always advocated a high Bank
Rate as the remedy for a financial crisis and a drain of gold. She had been on
the gold standard, in effect, for over two hundred years, with only two breaks
- one during the Napoleonic wars and one during the last war [1914-1925]. Now
for the first time in her history she suspended gold payments in time of peace
and with a Bank Rate of 4 1/2 per cent ! Does it follow that the British monetary
authorities were secretly glad to leave the gold standard? ....why was the Bank
Rate not raised but actually lowered after the Kredit Anstalt closed? Why was
it not raised to 8 per cent or perhaps 10 per cent in July or even in August?" [Benham,
Monetary Policy, pp. 9-11] These are good questions.
Back in 1929, when Montagu Norman had been concerned with precipitating the New
York stock market panic, 6.5% had not seemed too high a Bank rate in view of
the desired result. In April 1920, when the Norman had wanted to undercut New
York, the Bank Rate reached 7%, and had stayed there for a full year. But now,
4.5% was the nec plus ultra.
A worried J.P. Morgan of New York cabled on September 7 to Morgan Grenfel in
London:
"Are the British Treasury and the Bank of England satisfied that the present
method of dealing with the sterling exchange is the best that can be devised?
In this connection the question naturally arises as to why the Bank of England
does not use the classic remedy of Bank Rate instead of apparently pegging the
exchange." [Kunz, p. 126]
Apologists for Norman and his retainers have advanced various lame arguments
to explain the gross treachery of Threadneedle Street. One argument was that
the British domestic economy was already too depressed to survive a rise in the
Bank Rate. But on September 21, after defaulting on gold, the Bank of England
raised the Bank Rate to 6% and left it there for five months, regardless of the
impact on the credit-starved domestic British economy.
Then there is the argument of "prestige," which claims that radically to raise
the Bank Rate under the pressure of foreign gold demands would have undermined
the prestige of the pound sterling. Was it then more prestigious to default?
"It had been intimated that the decision to devalue was due to British 'sensitivity':
the Treasury and the Bank found it 'undignified' to balance the national budget
under pressure of foreign bankers. Was their dignity better served by defaulting?" [Palyi,
p. 294]
As the same author sums it up, "the reluctance to use the discount weapon was
at the root of the widely disseminated charge that 'perfidious Albion' had intentionally
'trapped its creditors," especially given the fact that British foreign obligations
were denominated in pounds, not in the currency of the lending country. So these
foreign obligations could be paid off in cheaper pounds after a default and devaluation.
THE FRANCO-AMERICAN LOANS
The British judged that their sham defense of the pound required at least some
semblance of support operations for their own currency in the international markets.
For this purpose, it was decided to procure loans from the United States and
France for these support operations. The main effect of these loans was to make
the lquidity crisis that followed the British default more acute in both Paris
and New York.
British representative H.A. Siepmann arrived in Paris on August 24 to begin negotiating
the French loan. Given the fast pace of the crisis, Siepmanm should have been
a man in a hurry. But Siepmann "took the approach that the question of a credit
was not a top priority matter, a rather suprising one in the cirumstances and
one that not only confused Governor Moret but diverged totally from the viewpoint
held by Morgan's (N.Y.) and Harrison" at the New York Federal Reserve. [Kunz,
p. 113]
Morgan's for its part had been reluctant to undertake the British loan. The mood
among other American banks was shown by the unprecedented number of refusals
to participate in the underwriting of the loan which arrived in response to the
offer cable sent out by Morgan's. Banks refusing such an offer ran the risk of
being excluded from future Morgan loan syndications. The refusals show the extreme
liquidity anxieities already besetting the US bankers.
This state of affairs is reflected in the following cable from Morgan, New York
to Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Snowden in London:
"In reference to the proposed interest rate in America we may emphasize that
there is not a single institution in our whole banking community which actually
desires the British Treasury Notes on any terms either as to commission or interest.....Every
institution is probably making strenuous endeavours to get its position more
liquid." [Kunz, p. 116-117]
As it was, the British took in the loans, which were obtained by the British
Exchequer from New York and Paris. Starting on August 1, the British government
organized a loan of $250 million, mainly from the United States. On August 26,
the British requested and were granted a further US loan of $400 million. [Hoover,
pp. 81-82]
The British loan was the biggest made by Morgan between the world wars. The loan
took the form of a pledge by Morgan and 109 other American banks to purchase
dollar-denominated Treasury Bills of the British government for periods of 30,
60 and 90 days.
AUGUST
4 CRISIS- NO INTERVENTION BY BANK OF ENGLAND
During the first days of August, the British authorities announced that they
would receive loans from foreign central banks for the purpose of conducting
support operations for the pound sterling. But on August 4, the Bank of England
and its agents were inexplicably absent from the currency markets, and the pound
quotation collapsed below the gold export point to New York. Norman and his crew
had "forgotten" to defend the pound that day -- clearly a conscious decision
to sabotage their own pound. The confidence-building effect of the central bank
loans was completely dissipated. To make matters worse, support operations seem
to have been virtually "forgotten" again two days later.
GOLD SOVEREIGNS SUSPENDED
Around the middle of September, the Bank of England suddenly discontinued its
habitual practice of paying out gold sovereigns -- that is, gold coins -- to
those who wanted to exchange pound sterling banknotes. This measure came at a
time when gold bullion was still freely available for those who wanted to trade
in larger sums. This amounted to the transition to a gold bullion standard. Bu
the effect on market psychology turned out to be catastrophic. The suspension
of official payment in gold sovereigns was seen for what it was - the immediate
prelude to the default on all gold payment.
AFTERNOON POUND BREAKS IN NEW YORK
On August 29, Morgan partner Thomas Lamont send a cable to Grenfel in London
commenting on the loss of confidence in the British government that was spreading
on Wall Street. A cable two days later stressed the concern felt at Morgan's
New York about "the poor handling of the sterling exchange, a symptom of which
was the frequent breaks in the value of sterling in the New York market after
the London market had closed. It apppeared that the Bank of England agents in
New York were setting their watches to London time, and knocking off for the
day after lunch. When the pound crashed just before tea-time, Norman's minions
were at home.
NO ATTACKS ON BEARS A LA POINCARE
In the same missive, Morgan's (N.Y.) also suggested better liaison between the
Bank of England, the Bank of France and the FRBNY so that the credits would become
an offensive weapon rather than a sitting duck for rapacious financiers." [Kunz,
p. 120] To be effective in stopping speculation, the monetary resources obtained
by the Bank of England had to be employed dynamically. The Bank of England could
not just sit there, buying unlimited quantities of pounds at the floor price.
Rather, the money had to be used aggressively to buy pound futures so as to drive
the pound quotation up, if only temporarily, with the result that some of the
specualtors who had sold the pound short would have been severely burned. The
pound would have received additional support through short covering purchases.
The Bank of England needed to organize a short squeeze or bear squeeze so as
to create genuine doubt about whether shorting the pound was a sure way to lock
in profits. Bear squeezes and short squeezes had been actively organized by French
Premier Poincare' during his defense of the French franc some years earlier.
ONLY 2 SMALL BANKS USED
Another feature of Norman's Singapore defense was the method used to organize
support operations for the pound. All support operations were conduited through
two small banks. Support operations against the dollar were done through the
British Overseas Bank, and support operations against the franc were done through
the Anglo- International Bank. This absurd method guaranteed that everyone in
the markets knew exactly when and in what amount the Bank of England was interveneing,
and that everyone also soon knew exactly how much of the various French and American
support loans remained unused. If it had wished to be effective, the Bank of
England would have intervened in its own name, and would also have conduited
other operations through the big British clearing banks. The small size of the
banks actually used also limited the amount of pound futures they could buy,
since their credit was so limited.
LOW FORWARD PRICE OF POUNDS
On September 1, Morgans (N.Y.) cabled their London partners an analysis of the
London and New York sterling markets with special focus on the weakness and lack
of depth of the forward market. [Kunz, p. 121] The elementary strategy for defending
the pound would have been to keep the price of pound futures above the spot price
for pounds in the cash market. If that could be accomplished, arbitrageurs would
have been impelled to sell the pound futures and buy the spot pounds, generating
an updraft around the pound quotations. But if pound futures were allowed to
sink lower than current pounds, financiers would obviously sell pounds and buy
pound futures to lock in their profit.
POUND PEGGED TOO HIGH
Harrison of the FRBNY cabled Harvey on September 3 that in his opinion the British
were attempting to peg the pound/dollar rate much too high. The British were
attempting to support sterling at $4.86 to $4.86125, which was considerably above
British gold export point. In Harrison's view, the artifically high peg only
encouraged sales of sterling. Harrison wanted the pound to fluctuate just above
that currency's gold export point. Harvey declined to make this change, saying
that although he was in general agreement this was not the time to change tactics.
[Kunz, p. 121]
DUTCH GUILDER RATE NEGLECTED
In yet another deliberate British fiasco, while the pound to dollar and pound
to franc rates were supported, the pound to Dutch guilder quotation received
no support of all. Given the considerably importance of the Dutch currency at
the time, this was insane folly. The pound/guilder exchange rate went below the
gold export point in September, and significant amounts of British gold were
shipped to Amsterdam during the final phase of the bogus defense of the pound.
FOREIGN SECURITIES NOT USED
Lord Reading, the Foreign Secretary, suggested to Snowden between September 10
and September 14 that the Treasury prepare a plan for the mobilization of foreign
securities held in Britain for the purpose of depending the pound. Reading thought
that this operation could be modeled on the methods used for the same purpose
during the First World War. Lord Reading also wanted MacDonald to order the Bank
of England to prepare detailed financial data for the use of the Financial Subcommittee
of the cabinet, composed of MacDonald, Snowden, Reading, and Neville Chamerlain.
[Kunz, p. 129] None of this was carried out.
BRITISH SPECULATORS: OWN GOAL
On Monday, September 14, there was the first meeting of the Financial Subcommittee
of the cabinet. Lord Reading wanted to determine exactly who it was that was
dumping all the pounds on the international markets. Reading thought that many
sales appeared to be British-inspired, and that the cabinet ought to consider
a method of cracking down on such transactions. Harvey, who was present, expressed
pessimism about the ability of the Government or the Bank to halt British flight
capital, and "he further made the false statement that the sale of sterling by
British citizens was not really an important problem."
Harvey himself knew this was nonsense. In reality, "Harvey had been sufficiently
alarmed about British sales of sterling to write to various culprits such as
Lord Bradbury to ask them not to continue to purchase dollars. Also Fisher had
told [US diplomat] Atherton that internal capital flight was one of the causes
of Britain's problems. As the Bank of England, not the Treasury, kept track of
currency movements, Fisher could only have known this if the Bank so informed
him." [Kunz, p. 143]
The London Daily Star was upset enough about flight capital to write that if
the National Government were really national, "it could act at once against the
traitors who are sending their gold abroad...." [New York Times, September 18,
1931]
On the fateful Default Day of September 21, 1931, the New York Times related
the comments of the London correspondent of Le Matin of Paris. This journalist,
Stephane Lauzanne, is quoted as saying:
"The most recent purchases of foreign exchange were not undertaken for foreigners,
as is stated in the official British statement, but in fact by British subjects.
There were considerable withdrawals of foreign capital, but these took place
mostly several weeks ago. During the past few days I have been assured by one
of the most influential representatives of French banking circles in London that
to his personal knowledge orders for the sale of sterling and purchases of dollars
were given to the London banks by great numbers of British clients. Even as late
as Saturday [September 19] 10,000,000 pounds left the Bank of England's vaults." [New
York Times, Monday September 21, 1931] Even on the eve of the default, London
was still exporting capital - getting the most out of available pounds to buy
up assets around the world.
THE INVERGORDON FARCE
In late September 1929, Norman had used the Hatry bankruptcy as a pretext for
raising the Bank Rate, which he had wanted to do for reasons of economic warfare
against the USA. In 1931, an indispensable part of the orchestration of the British
default was an alleged "mutiny" in the Royal Navy in protest over pay cuts.
On Tuesday, September 15, Sir Austen Chamberlain, the First Lord of the Admiralty,
informed MacDonald of a trifling incident which had taken place at Invergordon.
About 500 sailors of the Royal Navy had assembled for meetings to discuss the
pay cut for experienced seamen which the National Government was proposing. The
seamen ignored orders to return to their ships until their protest meetings were
over. In response, the Admiral of the British Atlantic Fleet announced the postponement
of the scheduled naval maneuvers, and also the dispersal of the Atlantic fleet
to its various home ports. It was these latter actions which "elevated what might
have remained a small incident into a mjor occurrence. Sensational headlines
around the world pointed to the parallels to the Russian revolution of 1905 and
1917 and the German revolution of 1918, both of which had been marked in their
early phases by fleet mutinies. The Revolution was about to overpower the Royal
Navy itself! In addition to this hysterical hype, there was also the sense that
the austerity program would have rough sledding from other groups in Britain
as well. [Kunz, p. 131]
THE BANK OF ENGLAND DEMANDS DEFAULT
A despatch of September 17, 1931 to the New York Times reported that Sir Ernest
Harvey, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, and other financial leaders had
gone that evening to the House of Commons to convey to Prime Minister Ramsay
MacDonald "a grave warning that the stability of the pound was again imperiled." "It
is stated that they gave two reasons for this emergency - first, the naval unrest,
and, second, the report that a general election was imminent."
Saturday September 18 was the day the British cabinet officially decided to default
on Britain's gold obligations. MacDonald called it the most solemn conference
ever held at 10 Downing Street. True to form, it was the Bank of England that
proposed the abrogation of the gold standard through the mouth of its Deputy
Governor, who announced that the only course of action left was for Britain to
leave the gold standard. [Kunz, p. 135] Harvey deliberately created the false
impression that he had discussed the situation after the close of trading on
Friday with Harrison of the New York Fed. This was not true. Harvey, in response
to a question from MacDonald, added that he did not think it worthwhile to raise
even 100 million pounds ($450 million) if people were only going to withdraw
it. MacDonald quickly agreed to default, and the rest of the cabinet meeting
was devoted to technical details of how to terminate the gold standard. [Kunz,
p. 135]
It was only on Saturday, September 19 that Harvey informed Harrison of the New
York Fed of what the British government was now doing. Harrison was described
as greatly shocked by this decision, which came as a surprise to him. Harrison
persisted for a time in exploring possible alternatives to London's default,
and offered further loans. [Kunz, p. 137] But the Bank of England remained committed
to immediate default. More help could have been obtained from Paris as well.
Then there is the embarrassing fact that during the last week of the gold standard
the Bank of England's gold stocks INCREASED from 133,300,000 to 135,600,000 pounds.
[Palyi, p. 277]
THE END OF THE WORLD
On Sunday, September 20, 1931, the British government issued its statements announcing
its decision to "suspend for the time being" the clause of the Gold Standard
Act of 1925 requiring the Bank of England to sell gold at the fixed price. All
the other elements of the official British mythology were also present. "His
Majesty's Government have no reason to believe that the present difficulties
are due to any substantial extent to the export of capital by British nationals.
Undoubtedly the bulk of withdrawals has been for foreign accounts." The bloody
wogs, as we see, were once again the root of the problem. Furthermore: "His Majesty's
Government have arrived at their decision with the greatest reluctance. But during
the last few days international markets have become demoralized and have been
liquidating their sterling assets regardless of their intrinsic worth. In the
circumstances there was no alternative but to protect the financial position
of this country by the only means at our disposal." As we have seen, there were
other means. Finally, there was the obligatory stiff upper lip: "The ultimate
resources of this country are enormous and there is no doubt that the present
exchange difficulties will prove only temporary." [New York Times, September
21, 1931]
The worldwide shock was severe. In the words of Jackson E. Reynolds. then President
of the First National Bank of New York, "when England went off gold it was like
the end of the world."
THE BANKERS' RAMP
With the help of demagogic headlines in the London afternoon tabloids, the British
oligarchy placed the blame for the fall of the mighty pound on a "bankers' ramp" led
by foreign central bankers. A favorite target was poor George Harrison of the
New York Federal Reserve, who was rewarded with slander and obloquy for his pathetic
and servile devotion to the currency of British imperialism. Another fall-guy
was the Banque de France.
One British chronicler of these times sums up the official line of scapegoating
the foreigners as follows: "It was basically the American trade cycle, and not
British monetary policy, that made life so wretched for us." [R.S. Sayers, 97]
JACQUES RUEFF ATTACKS BRITISH HANDLING OF CRISIS
During the weeks of the British crisis, the economist Jacques Rueff was serving
as the Financial Attache at the French Embassy in London. This meant that Rueff
was in practice the manager of the French sterling balances.
Palyi cites the "'posthumous' charge by Rueff that the "Bank of England defaulted
intentionally in order to damage the creditor central banks, the Bank of France
in particular...." [Palyi, p. 268]
On October 1, 1931, Rueff completed his memorandum entitled "Sur les causes et
les enseignements de la crise financière anglaise," which was intended to be
read by French Finance Minister P.-E. Flandin and the French Prime Minister,
Pierre Laval.
Rueff first described the modes of intervention of the Bank of England: "Elle
avait...deux instruments: le taux d'escompte et la politique dite d''open market'....Depuis
1929 la Banque d'Angleterre a constamment utilisé ces deux instruments pour maintenir
aussi bas que possible les taux en vigeur sur le marché de Londres. Elle a toujours
retardé aux maximum les élévations de taux d'escompte qui s'imposaient, cependant
qu'elle cherchait à augmenter, par ses achats de valuers d'Etat, l'abondance
monétaire du marche." [Jacques Rueff, De L'Aube au Crépuscule, p. 301]
For Rueff, the British were guilty of violating the implicit rules of the gold
exchange standard, since they tried to maintain their liquidity despite a gold
outflow. "on peut affirmer notamment qu'en 1929 et 1930, presque sans exception,
la politique d''open market' de la Banque d'Angleterre a été faite à contresens.
Les mouvements d'or, en effet, tendent à se corriger eux-mêmes, puisque toute
sortie de métal tend à provoquer une restriction de crédit, qui hausse les taux
du marche. Or, en 1929 et 1930, toutes les fois que de l'or sortait de la Banque
d'Angleterre, celle-ci achetait des valeurs d'Etat sur le marché, remplacant
ainsi les disponibilites qui venaient de dispara&itremas;tre." [302]
"Autrement dit, pendant les deux années 1929- 1930, la Banque d'Angleterre a
constamment paralysé le jeu des phénomenes qui tendaient à adapter la balance
des paiements anglais aux nécessites résultant de la politique économique suivie
par le pays." [p. 303]
Because of these policies, Rueff found, the British had weakened themselves even
before the German crisis had begun: "Or, en 1931, ces fautes ont été commises,
provoquant des mouvements de capitaux qui ont été mortels pour le change anglais.
Il est très probable que l'Angleterre aurait pu y résister, si elle n'avait pas été mise
préalablement dans un état de paralysie économique et financière, interdisant à son
organisme les réactions spontanées d'un marche normal." [p. 303]
Rueff repeatedly condemns Stimson's intervention at the London Conference of
July, 1931 with the proposal for standstill agreements which immediately created
a liquidity crisis and put world banking in difficulty: "Toutes les banques du
monde, voyant soudain immobilisé une fraction très importante de leurs capitaux
a court terme, ont cherché à récupérer toutes les réserves qu'elles pouvaient
rendre disponibles." [304}
But the British always blamed the wogs:
"...l'opinion britannique ...recherche a l'exterieur la cause de ses difficultés." [305]
The British had been wallowing in a depression since 1918, and that for them
made it a world economic crisis: "Il faut d'abord remarquer que, pour l'opinion
britannique, la crise économique d'après guerre n'est pas chose nouvelle. Depuis
que l'Angleterre souffre du chomage permanent - c'est- à-dire depuis la guerre
- l'opinion britannique et les experts anglais affirment que le monde est en état
de crise. Depuis la guerre, même lorsque le monde, sauf l'Angleterre, était en
pleine prospérite, les représentants britanniques ne cessaient de demander à la
Société des Nations de trouver un remède à la crise économique, qualifiée de
mondiale parce qu'elle affectait les intérêts du Royaume-Uni de Grande-Bretagne
et d'Irlande." [307]
A key British problem was their high unemployment, which they had chosen to deal
with by means of payments to the unemployed, called the dole: "Et cela explique
que la hausse des prix soit pour l'Angleterre, dans le régime ou elle s'est volontairement
placée, une nécessité vitale. Ayant fixe une catégorie des prix, elle est conduite à vouloir
y adapter tour les autres....Cette hausse des prix anglais peut, il est vrai, être
réalisée sans hausse des prix mondiaux, par la dépréciation de la livre sterling
et aussi - bien que dans une mesure probablement insuffisante - par un tarif
douanier. D'ou des diverses solutions envisagées en Angleterre, l'une d'entre
elles - la dépréciation monétaire - étant déjà en voie de réalisation...." [308-309]
For Rueff, all British proposals for international monetary cooperation were
strategems designed to shift the crisis from Britain to the rest of the world: "Il
reste enfin à évoquer la dernière des formules par lesquelles l'Angleterre prétend
que le monde devrait etre reconstruit: la cooperation financière internationale.
C'est là un programme dont le sens n'a jamais été défini, probablement parce
qu'il n'en a aucun....Il n'est pas douteux que tous les plans présentés à Genève
ou a Bale, plan Norman, plan Kindersley, plan Francqui, tendent seulement a réaliser
le trust des entrprises en faillite et a y investir des capitaux qui sans cela
se seraient refusés. Par là, ils sont un merveilleux instrument pour transférer
les difficultes financières des Etats qui les ont provoqués, a ceux qui ont été assez
sages ou assez prudents pour s'en préserver...Tel est d'ailleurs le sens profond
et l'objet véritable de tous les efforts tendant a réaliser la solidarité internationale,
solidarité que l'on invoque toujours lorsque l'on veut profiter de la prosperité des
Etats voisins, mais jamais lorsque l'on peut leur venir en aide." [318-319]
Rueff suggested a Franco-American accord capable of putting an end to the British
game.
THE BANK OF ENGLAND'S DUTCH TREAT
By September 20, most of the sterling balances held by foreigners who were disposed
to liquidate them had already been liquidated. The exception were sterling balances
held by foreign central banks, like the Dutch, and these would be loyal to London,
partly because their estimate was that the crisis was not so severe as to force
the British off gold. The little people of the British public were proving docile
enough to make no attempt to turn in their pound notes for gold. The Big Five
clearing banks were undisturbed by panic runs or the specter of insolvency.
There is no doubt that during the weeks before default, the Bank of England practiced
the most cynical deception on other central banks. The Bank of England twice
assured the Bank of South Africa that it would do everything in its power to
maintain gold payments. The Bank of England acted with great treachery towards
the Netherlands Bank, the central bank which had shown itself to be the truest
friend of the pound, supporting it in crisis after crisis. The president of the
Netherlands Bank, Mr. Vissering, telephoned the Bank of England on September
18, 1931 to enquire whether there was any truth to the rumors about a forthcoming
sterling devaulation. The Bank of England official who answered the phone emphatically
denied that there would be a devaluation, and offered to pay off the Netherlands
Bank sterling balances in gold on the spot. The Dutch decided to keep their gold
in London.
A few days after the call summarized above, "Dr. G. Vissering of the Netherlands'
Central Bank called Harvey to request that the Dutch gold held by the Bank of
England be earmarked [separated from the Bank of England stocks as a preliminary
to shipment to the Netherlands]. Harvey huffily refused, saying that the Dutch
could either take their gold back to Amsterdam or keep it in London but if they
chose the latter course they would not be placed in the position of a preferred
creditor. Vissering backed down. To assuage Vissering's fears Harvey wrote him
about the credits and stressed the total committment of the National Government
to the maintenance of the gold standard [Kunz, pp. 119- 120] As a result, "the
Netherlands Bank felt, and for good reason so, that it had been deceived by the
Bank of England, a turn that was scarcely befitting Norman's idea of central
bank cooperation, or the 'ethics' of the gold standard." [Palyi, p. 278]
The Netherlands Bank thought that the Bank of England should safeguard the Netherlands
Bank against all the sterling losses to which it was subjected. A discussion
of this British betrayal is found in the 1931-32 Annual Report of the Netherlands
Bank. [see Brown, vol, 2, pp. 1170-1172]
Montagu Norman claimed that he had personally not been a participant in the decision
to default on gold. As we have noted, Norman's cover story was that he had suffered
a nervous breakdown, and had taken a vacation at the Chateau Frontenac in Quebec,
Canada. When the Bank of England suspended gold payment, Norman was on board
ship in the middle of the Atlantic. Norman claims that he knew nothing of the
decision to go off gold until he landed at Liverpool on September 23. Norman
was thus able to blame the default on one of his resident whipping-boys, Deputy
Governor Sir Ernest Harvey. Harvey himself suffered a nervous breakdown because
of the stress of serving under Norman.
When the British stopped paying in gold, they were quickly followed by Denmark,
Sweden, Norway, Holland, Bolivia, and India - most of whom were candidates for
inclusion in the sterling bloc. Other countries, including Greece, Italy, Germany,
Austria, and Hungary were already operating under exchange controls and other
measures which effectively prevented gold outflow. [Hoover, p. 82]
The British strategy for saving the golden pound had included histrionic international
appeals from Prime Minister Ramsay MacDonald, who pleaded with other countries
not to drain off the last of the British gold. After the British had defaulted,
MacDonald's perfidy caused much resentment abroad. In the words of an American
economist, "Hardly had Ramsay MacDonald stopped sobbing over the international
radio that Britannia should not be forced to sacrifice her honor, than he began
to smile broadly because the fall of the pound gave her marked advantage in exports." [Mitchell,
p. 14]
THE
BRITISH GAME
A British estimate of the London predicament of the early 1930's reads as follows: "...Great
Britain is a highly populated industrial country, carrying a terrific burden
of internal debt, dependent predominantly for existence on foreign trade, enjoying
the benefits of being the world's chief banking centre, possessed of a large
net income from long-term investments abroad, but heavily indebted (in her role
as world's banker) to other centres on short- term account." [Economist, September
26, 1931, p. 548]
The British racket up until September 1931 had been to use a high pound to maximize
their buying up of the world's productive assets and resources. After September,
1931, a devalued pound meant that pound-denominated foreign claims on the British
financial system - and these were the vast majority - were automatically reduced.
Five months after the British default, Norman and the British oligarchy embarked
on a policy of cheap money. At this time a series of Bank Rate reductions was
started which soon brought the discount to 2.5%, where it stayed for many years.
Montagu Norman himself, the former gold addict, became the main theoretician
of Cheap Money in the new era of competitive monetary devaulations. The British
stock market quickly recovered amd kept rising during most of the 1930's. But
unemployment hovered around 2.5 million until the beginning of the Second World
War.
"For years, Continental opinion had been coming to the view that the British
system was dying of ossification," wrote Lionel Robbins [p. 93] "Now the British
had increased their own relative importance compared to their continental rivals,
who had joined them in perdition."
The post-1931 British strategy also included Imperial Preference and trade war: "Britain
entered the lists with the Import Duties Act of March, 1932 (reaching 33 1/3
per cent), and the later Ottawa Agreement establishing empire tariff preferences
spurred other countries in the process of retaliation. Sterling losses of so
many countries spread deflation through the struggle for liquidity. The contest
between economies that remained on gold and those that had left it became acute." [Mitchell,
p. 14]
Soon, US exports to the rest of the world had dropped to about one third of their
1929 level. [Hoover, p. 83] European purchases of American agricultural products
ceased almost entirely. US unemployment increased rapidly. Tax revenue fell by
50%. [Hoover, p. 89]
BRITISH DEFAULT: TEN MORE YEARS OF WORLD DEPRESSION
The Gibraltar of British Empire finance had crashed. The old saying, "as safe
as the Bank of England" was now a mockery. "It was only vaguely understood, if
at all, that at stake was what is called today the 'world monetary system.' It
was still a sterling system. The likely alternative to...the gold standard, at
the old sterling parity, may have been the breakdown of that system. That is
what happened after September, 1931.' [Palyi, p. 86] "The cooperation of the
central banks in the 1920's ended in a breakdown of the entire system, having
been essentially a cloak that masked the ultimate purpose of its chief ingredient,
the gold exchange standard, which was to maintain Britain's gold standard without
obeying the rules of the gold standard." [p. 146]
During the 18-month period after the British default, most world currencies also
terminated gold payments through external default. Until March, 1933 the US dollar
and some of its satellite currencies in central America were able to keep up
payments on gold. Otherwise, the gold standard was maintained by a group of countries
called the "gold bloc," comprehending France, Holland, Belgium, Switzerland,
Italy, Poland, and Estonia. Estonia was forced off gold, and Italy and Poland
imposed gold export controls. The Belgian franc was devalued in March, 1935.
France imposed a gold embargo in September, 1936. Switzerland and Holland announced
devaluations immediately thereafter.
Of the fifty-four nations that had been on the gold standard at some time between
1925 and 1931, none remained on gold in 1937. The world monetary system had indeed
disintegrated.
CHART:
COUNTRIES LEAVING THE GOLD STANDARD APRIL
1929 - APRIL 1933
1929
APRIL - URUGUAY
NOVEMBER - ARGENTINA
DECEMBER - BRAZIL
1930
MARCH - AUSTRALIA
APRIL - NEW ZEALAND
SEPTEMBER -VENEZUELA
1931
AUGUST - MEXICO
SEPTEMBER - UNITED KINGDOM, CANADA, INDIA, SWEDEN, DENMARK, NORWAY, EGYPT, IRISH
,FREE STATE BRITISH MALAYA, PALESTINE
OCTOBER - AUSTRIA ,PORTUGAL, FINLAND ,BOLIVIA, SALVADOR
DECEMBER - JAPAN
|
1932
JANUARY - COLOMBIA, NICARAGUA, COSTA RICA
APRIL - GREECE, CHILE
MAY - PERU
JUNE - ECUADOR ,SIAM
JULY - YUGOSLAVIA
1933
JANUARY - UNION OF SOUTH AFRICA
APRIL - HONDURAS, UNITED STATES
|
|