Behold the Gold Bull!
The
naysayers claimed it would never happen. The Keynesian socialists claimed
there was no place for gold in their brave new age of fiat paper. The
Wall Street perma-bulls claimed that gold was dead. The lions share
of mainstream investors didnt even know that gold existed in the real
world, believing it to be some mythical fairy-tale concoction.
They were all dead wrong.
The magnificent and exciting events unfolding in the new gold bull market in
the past days have rendered the naysayers endless prattle completely impotent.
The radical anti-free-market crowds who continue to oppose and fear gold are
now exposed naked to the world as the fools they have been.
With all the subtlety of a mighty sledgehammer blow to the skull, the Ancient
Metal of Kings crushed its legions of critics into dust as it burst out of its
long-festering $325 shackles and screamed towards the heavens. What a
wondrous sight to behold for longsuffering gold investors!
Hallelujah!
Dear friends, golds spectacular breakout is a huge, huge deal. Even
as a wordsmith I find myself at a loss for words this week on how to effectively
communicate just how important the events we just witnessed are in the grand
scheme of the markets. As a speculator I have learned the hard way in
the trenches that I need to suppress my own lethal emotions when trading, but
I have to admit that golds stellar breakout this week was one of the most
exciting market events I have ever witnessed. What a wonderful Christmas
blessing!
The anticipation for this glorious week has been building for a long time amongst
the vibrant international community of contrarian investors. The $325
level has been vexing gold and gold-stock investors since 1997, seemingly a
lifetime ago when considering all the market chaos through which we have sojourned
since those days.
Last year less than a month after the new gold bull was born we published an
essay called Gold Prepares to Erupt on May 25th, 2001. In
this essay I wrote, With these recent historical technical precedents,
we believe $325 gold is the current mega-critical level, the nexus of the struggle
to liberate gold from its oppressors.
While
gold proved hopelessly unable to rise to the occasion to challenge the $325
line in the sand in 2001, several valiant assaults on these fabled levels were
launched this year. Unfortunately they all failed, demoralizing countless
gold investors as is quite evident in gold-stock prices since June. Yet,
just one month ago a new glimmer of hope emerged from the ever-enigmatic markets.
As any freshman economics student can tell you, manipulating markets always
turns out badly. The free markets are naturally designed to perfectly
match supply and demand of everything through the mechanism of price.
As long as the price of anything trades freely, it will have no surplus or deficit
and scarce resources will be allocated efficiently to their best possible use.
No, I am not talking about physical gold here, but the mighty US dollar.
Since 1913 the hideous unconstitutional abomination that haughtily calls itself
the Federal Reserve, even though it is neither federal nor a reserve, has utterly
destroyed the very US dollar it was supposed to protect. Over 95% of the
original value of the US currency has been destroyed by the Feds disastrous
ever-inflationary policies. The Fed has shamelessly raped and pillaged
the savings of the American middle class like a demonic vulture straight out
of the abyssal pits of Hell.
The Fed is just like the worthless old Communist Russian Central Planning Committees
as it doesnt produce any valuable goods and services. All it can
do is manipulate the quantity of US dollars outstanding and the price of the
US dollar, commonly known as interest rates. Manipulation of markets is
always ultimately futile and inevitably creates far bigger problems than it
initially sought to solve. Last month the Fed finally pushed the limits too
far and manipulated real interest rates negative for the first time in over
two decades.
As far as I know, there is no more powerful and incendiary rocket fuel for a
gold bull market than negative real interest rates. Negative real rates
are an artificial and inherently unstable environment that occurs when a government
decides to rob its savers through an immoral stealth tax on their savings, inflation.
If you are interested in more detail on real interest rates, I have written
three essays on them in the last 18 months.
In the most recent, Real Rates and Gold 3 just published a month
ago, it was growing increasingly obvious that the next stage in the gold bull
couldnt be delayed much longer with negative real rates rearing their
ugly heads again for the first time since October 1980. I said
Even though many gold investors grow pretty forlorn when gold is repelled
from $325 under heavy fire, the new negative real rates today change the whole
ballgame. Historically negative real interest-rate environments have been
one of the ultimate indicators that a massive gold bull market is underway,
and today this signal flare has been shot up into the heavens again. I
believe the $325 Maginot Line will fall, with gold surging through to the upside,
if the real interest-rate environment remains negative. ... Gold will not remain
shackled under $325 if real rates remain negative!
And so it was, praise God!
The magnificent fall of the mighty gold-short fortresses hulking along the seemingly
impregnable Golds $325 Maginot Line in recent days was every
bit as spectacular as I had long hoped. The steadfast contrarians are
once again vindicated!