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November
27
2017

Oil heads for best weekly gain in month on Keystone disruption
Heesu Lee

Seoul - Oil headed for its best weekly advance in a month after an outage on the Keystone pipeline added to speculation crude supply could tighten and as investors await the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec)’s decision on extending output curbs.

Futures gained as much as 1% in New York. News that TransCanada was said to have cut 85% of Keystone’s November shipments because of last week’s spill in South Dakota has helped West Texas Intermediate prices head toward a 3.5% gain this week.

Meanwhile, Brent crude has climbed just 1.3%, leading to the narrowest spread on a closing basis between the grades since early September.

The US benchmark settled above $58 a barrel for the first time since mid-2015 this week on heightened optimism Opec and its allies will agree to prolong cuts at a November 30 meeting in Vienna.

Prices are up more than 7% in November, heading for a third monthly gain in what would be their longest winning streak since May last year.

“The Keystone outage is putting upward pressure on oil prices," Kim Yumi, a Seoul-based market strategist at Kiwoom Securities, said by phone. "While expectations over Opec’s supply-curb extension has already been reflected in prices, there’s a high chance we may lose a clear price direction next week as the market may take a wait-and-see stance close to the meeting."

WTI for January delivery was at $58.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 7:43am in London, up 53 cents. The contract added $1.19 to $58.02 on Wednesday. 

There was no settlement on Thursday because of the Thanksgiving holiday in the US and all transactions will be booked on Friday.

Brent for January settlement added 6 cents, to $63.61 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices rose 23 cents to $63.55 on Thursday. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $5.01 to WTI.

This week, the front-month contract for WTI on Nymex turned more expensive than the second-month contract, a structure known as backwardation, driven by the November 16 shutdown of the Keystone pipeline after a spill.

Also aiding prices this week is data showing US crude inventories declined to about 457.1 million in the week ended November 17, according to the Energy Information Administration.

Stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, dropped by 1.83 million barrels to 61.2 million, the largest draw since July. Meanwhile, American production gained for a fifth week to 9.66 million barrels a day.

Oil-market news:

There may not be a firm announcement on an extension of Opec’s output cuts on November 30, Energy Aspects analyst Michal Meidan said at China International Oil and Gas Trade Congress in Shanghai on Thursday.

Saudi Arabian Oil is in supply talks with petrochemical conglomerates that are building some of the world’s biggest plants in China, said Mushabab Al-Qahtani, vice president of the marketing department at its Asia unit, without identifying the firms.

Heesu Lee

Seoul, South Korea

 Energy Markets Correspondent — Bloomberg News

 Business and Finance, Energy

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