Palladium; the Silent Champion
While we remained bullish on the precious metal's sector when it took a beating towards the end of 2008 to early 2009, instead of pushing Gold or silver our main focus was on Palladium. The reason, it was the single most ignored precious metal out there. Mass psychology dictates that when a market has taken a massive beating, makes for a good investment and is being completely overlooked by the masses, the astute investor should aggressively start building up a position. When it was trading close to its lows, we even stated that it made for a better opportunity than Silver (that advantage is now over). This position appears to have paid off for Palladium has outperformed all the precious metals; from low to high Palladium tacked on over 155% making it the best performing precious metal in the past 12-13 months. From low to high Silver tacked on 120% and Gold from low to high tacked on roughly 80%.
We also published the above info publicly on the 30th of March 2009 Full article. Almost everything that was stated in the article has come to pass. It is also the only precious metal that did not immediately pull back when the dollar started to rally this year. For awhile it actually traded in tandem with the dollar and went on to put in a several new highs before pulling back. We made the following comments on Jan 5th, 2010 to our market update subscribers.
It subsequently traded to and surpassed the 450 mark. The next step now is for a pullback as Palladium has mounted a very strong rally and once the correction gathers steam we will be in a better position to determine which precious metal will be the next top performer. A break below 420 for 3 days in a row should take it down to the 380 ranges. A weekly close below the 350-360 ranges has the potential to take it down all the way to the 280-300 ranges; this is also roughly the zone the main uptrend line runs through. From a long term perspective, all strong pull backs in the precious metal's sector (Gold, Platinum, Palladium and Silver) should be viewed as buying opportunities.
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